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How soon will Fed cut affect mortgages rates?

By
Mortgage and Lending with Cherry Creek Mortgage

Mortgage rates have declined dramatically over the past several weeks. But the Federal Reserve's latest rate cut does not guarantee that rates will keep dropping.  

In fact, mortgage rates often climb following a cut in the federal funds rate, and actually rose about 50 basis points after the Federal Reserve announced its emergency 75-basis-point cut Jan. 22.

"The Federal Reserve just lowered interest rates by three-quarters of a point and yet we saw one of the biggest one-day increases in mortgage rates that we've seen in 10 years," says Bob Walters, chief economist of Quicken Loans.

"It shows you that there isn't a correlation to the federal funds rate when it comes to mortgage rates," he says. "It also shows you how quickly things can change."

For that reason, now is the time to lock in a loan. You might wince if you secure a loan and rates continue to fall, but you'll really kick yourself if you hold out for a bottom, only to miss it.

Conclusion
It's impossible to guess where mortgage rates are headed after a federal funds rate cut. Trying to guess when -- or even if -- already attractive rates will fall further is a fool's game. Instead, lock in your rate now.

Konnie Mac McCarthy
MacNificent Properties, LLC - Cobb Island, MD
Broker/Owner - VA & MD "Time To Get A Move On!"

you know...although it does not positively affect the long term rates, it's good news, and I'll take any good news..right??  :)

Jan 31, 2008 01:28 PM
Joan Whitebook
BHG The Masiello Group - Nashua, NH
Consumer Focused Real Estate Services
It certainly is difficult to predict what will happen.  I was under the impression that the bond market had an effect on the mortgage interest rates -- what is you take on that?
Jan 31, 2008 01:40 PM
Rick Kellow
Cherry Creek Mortgage - West Bend, WI
FHA & Reverse Mortgage Expert

Joan,

I have found that the ten year bond has the closest measure of what the 300 mortgage market rate would do.

Jan 31, 2008 01:46 PM
Taunya Fagan Bozeman Real Estate
ESTATE House, Bozeman Real Estate - Bozeman, MT
Bozeman Real Estate: Luxury Homes, Land, Ranches
As a general rule, weaker than expected economic data is good for rates, while positive data causes rates to rise...
Jan 31, 2008 02:29 PM
David Robles
Milestone Mortgage - Upland, CA

I encourage all of you to check out Mortgage Market Guide most of your concerns can be addressed on this site with regards to interest rate movement and the best time to lock! mortgage backed securities move on a daily basis on the Chicago Board of Trade this is the correlation to interest rates. I won't go into the dynamics of the stock and bond market but I will tell you that stocks and bonds compete for the same investment dollar and that has a major impact on rates and pricing. Just go to the MMG website listed below for more information on this subject.

The Fed Funds Rate really has noting to do with fixed rate mortgages, the FFR is a short term rate that banks charge one another for overnight lending to keep the banking system liquid. it mainly affects HELOCS, auto loans, credit cards and most of your adustible rate morgages. I hope this info has been helpful.

 www.mortgagemarketguide.com

Feb 04, 2008 04:17 PM
Chuck Willman
Chuck Willman - Alpine, UT
NewHouseUtah.com
Excellent point, Rick... For many of the modern home owners the rate on their HELOC is of the most concern right now. Especially those who borrowed to the very last penny of appraised value of their homes.
Feb 04, 2008 04:32 PM
Thomas E. Elder
Mortgage Broker Compliance Consultants - Forest Hill, MD
Founder, Mortgage Broker Compliance Consultants

Thanks  for the great information.    I posted a good explantaion of this a week ago as it confuses most of our clients.   Mostly the presses fault with confusing reporting.   You can see this post here:

 

http://activerain.com/blogsview/355973/The-Federal-Reserve-and

Thanks again and best of luck. 

Feb 04, 2008 05:33 PM
David Robles
Milestone Mortgage - Upland, CA
Thanks Tom, your information was also very good commentary! We are hear to help one another in these difficult and uncertain times...
Feb 05, 2008 04:42 AM
Bryan Flynn
Regency Mortgage Corporation - Worcester, MA
Central Mass and Worcester Mortgages
David is right, mortgage market guide is unbelievable for mortgage brokers.  It pays for it self twice over on the first loan you do, it really does.  I save a ton and offer sound advice from this service.  I do have my finger on the pulse of rates and with good consistency I know where rates are going in the short term so I do time the locking of the rates for my clients well.
Mar 21, 2008 02:31 PM