Mortgage Rate Update 2-20-13: Trends Projections & Today's Best Rates

By
Mortgage and Lending with AmeriFirst Financial Inc, San Diego, CA NMLS 259027

Today's FED meeting caused quite a stir. Among the highlights of today's meeting were the following:

  • Employment had continued to expand at a moderate pace, but the unemployment rate remained elevated
  • Members saw the economic outlok as relatively little changed since the previous meeting
  • The Committee agreed that it would be appropriate to continue purchases of MBS at a pace of $40 Billion per month and purchases of longer-term Treasury securities at pace of $45 Billion per month, as well as to maintain the Committee's reinvestment policies
  • The Committee also retained its forward guidance about the federal funds rate, including the thresholds on the unemployment and inflation rates.
  • Some members remarked favorably on the move away from providing calendar dates in the forward guidance and toward highlighting the economic conditionality of future monetary policy

This daily mortgage interest rate report is designed to provide Borrowers & Real Estate Profesionals with factual data regarding where rates are at any given time and what trends are propelling current mortgage pricing on any given day. Feel free to browse the library and research historical rate updates dating back nearly 2 years at www.JasonGordon.info whenever desired.  Also, make sure to learn about THE TRUTH BEHIND MORTGAGE QUOTES to better understand the relationship between up-front closing costs and mortgage interest rates so you don't get duped by clever advertising campaigns.

Jason E. Gordon - Mortgage Rate Update - www.jasongordon.net

The Mortgage Street Smarts of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why):

The following information is current as of Wednesday 2-20-2013 and will help you understand today's best mortgage rates. If you are a Buyer/Borrower who is still on the fence (or if you are a Real Estate Agent attempting to educate your "on the fence" Buyer), please review these trends and secure an historically low interest rate before it is too late.

The market closed Tuesday with a WORSENING to pricing (and will typically warrant a pricing adjustment by most Lenders). Tuesday's WORSENING netted a change of 12 basis points (bps).

(hint: upward activity is good, downward activity is bad)

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows a summary of today's activity:

Today's Best Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 10 days (hint: green is good, red is bad):

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 1 month:

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Daily Interest Rate Snapshot (sample of rates from one of the country's largest Lenders...individual pricing will vary based on specific Borrower qualifications): NOTE: This Lender has quoted a 1.00% Origination Fee (1 Point) to accompany this pricing. It bears noting that this chart does not necessarily represent todays best mortgage rates.

Today's Lowest Interest Rates - San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist - Jason E Gordon - www.ApprovingSD.com

Market Commentary (Neil Trenerry):

FNMA 30-Year:
2.5 Coupon: Open 98.6875 Change -0.1875
3.0 Coupon: Open 102.6406 Change -0.1250
3.5 Coupon: Open 105.1406 Change -0.0625

Treasuries:
5 Year: Open 99.8984 Change -0.0469 Yield 0.8960
10 Year: Open 99.5625 Change -0.1875 Yield 2.0470
30 Year: Open 97.9375 Change -0.4531 Yield 3.2330

Key Economic Data
EUR/USD: Open 1.3384 Change -0.0002
GBP/USD: Open 1.5306 Change -0.0116
USD/JPY: Open 93.700 Change 0.140
Oil: Open 96.66

Key Economic Data:
Mortgage Market
Index: Actual 782.4, Last 795.8.
Purchase: Actual 192.1, Last 195.4.
Refinance: Actual 4244.6, Last 4315.8.
30-yr Rate: Actual 3.78%, Last 3.75%.
ICSC Chain stories
Month-on-month: Actual 2.7%, Last -2.5%.
Year-on-year: Actual 1.8%, Last 2.1%.
Housing starts for Jan:
Units: Actual 0.89m, Consensus 0.925m, Last 0.954m.
Permits: Actual 0.925m, Consensus 0.915m, Last 0.909m.
PPI for Jan
Index: Actual 0.2%, Consensus 0.4%, Last -0.3%.
Inflation year-on-year: Actual 1.4%, Consensus 1.4%, Last 1.3%.
Core month-on-month: Actual 0.2%, Consensus 0.2%, Last 0.1%.
Core year-on-year: Actual 1.8%, Consensus 1.6%, Last 2.0%.
Redbook
Month-on-month: Actual 1.5%, Last 1.1%
Year-on-year: Actual 3.1%, Last 2.4%.

Advice:

Treasury 10-year note yields traded close to the highest since April on speculation Federal Reserve minutes may provide details on when the central bank plans to start trimming debt purchases. Benchmark notes fell for a third day as a report showed builders broke ground in January on the most Single-family homes in more than four years and permits for future construction rose, an indication the industrys momentum carried over into 2013. Investors demanded the biggest yield premium in 11 months to buy notes in the U.S. instead of Japan. The difference between 10-year yields in the two nations widened to 1.30% points, the most since March 20. The Fed minutes is certainly the primary driver, said Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia. Were looking for the Fed to talk a little bit more about the downsides of their very expansionary monetary policy. The short-term data will take second seat to the Fed. The10-year yield climbed one basis point, or 0.01% point, to 2.04% at 8:32 a.m. New York time, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader prices. The 2% note due in February 2023 fell 3/32, or 94 cents per $1,000 face amount, to 99 21/32. The yield reached as much as 2.05%. It climbed to 2.06% on Feb. 14, the highest level since April 10.

My position on MBS stays Long.

( FNMA 2.50 Mar 98*29 )

Market Commentary (Dan Rawitch):

 

Here is the link to today's video:
 
We are still dancing in the danger zone. Lets hope we do not slip below 102.75ish. We get FOMC minutes later today (2:00 eastern)...those minutes could pull us out of the trading range. Meanwhile PPI was a tad higher than expected and that will pressure the morning.

Trusted Industry Advisor

San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist Jason E Gordon

The above information was compiled and distributed by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, Jason E Gordon in an effort to provide transparency regarding true mortgage rate activity and market guidance to consumers and professionals interested in this activity.

As a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist (CMPS) Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) and Certified Mortgage Coach (CMC), Jason E Gordon utilizes his advanced training to examine a prospective Client's complete financial picture, while carefully listening to their overall goals. If it is mutually agreed that a new loan makes sense to pursue, Jason strives to make the entire loan process as seamless as possible. He truly believes that providing open communication and patient educational guidance to his Clients and Business Alliances has been a pivotal component to building his business, while enhancing his reputation in the Mortgage Industry as a Trusted Advisor. Visit www.jasongordon.net or www.ApprovingSD.com or more information.

Click here for daily mortgage interest rate updates and projections for San Diego's best mortgage rates

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