New construction for January Nationally

By
Industry Observer with Howard Sumner Consulting

New construction for January Nationally

The box below is basically comparing January of 2012 to January of 2013. The new construction market shows improvements straight across the board which is a positive, as always when you are comparing smaller numbers the percentage increase show as huge move. Permits issued show a more positive outlook than the actually starts.

 

actual total for year permit issued   start of construction
    multi single   multi single single sales   
2013: Year to Date 65.5 40.5   58.5 39.6 31  
2012: Year to Date 46.3 29.9   47.2 33.1 23  
year over year + or  - 41.47% 35.45%   23.94% 19.64% 34.78%  

 

The numbers and comparisons below show how well the “recovery’ is actually performing you still see a 62% to 74% drop from the peak and 30% to 46% percent drop from the fifty year average. The bounce from the bottom shows marked improvement 57% to 71% from the bottom yet when taken with the above numbers merely means we know the patience is not dead but in serious condition. When new conduction gets to with 5% of the fifty year average then recovery has been accomplished, taking in consideration the new financing rules, the peak we achieved going into this down turn will be sometime far off in the future. 

seasonally adjusted          
  permits issued       permits issued total
  one unit structure       includes multi family
permits issued   584     925  
             
peak year   1682     2219  
permits % drop from peak   65%     58%
50 year average   911     1383  
permits % drop from 50 year   36%     33%
             
movement up from Bottom 353 65%   522 77%
             
  housing started       starts total  
  one unit structure       includes multi family
starts    613     890  
             
peak year   1611     2357  
starts % drop from peak   62%     62%
50 year average   1056     1481  
starts % drop from 50 year   42%     40%
             
movement up from Bottom 360 70%   520 71%
             
             
  housing sales          
  one unit structure          
new single family sales 437        
             
peak year July 2005   1283        
sales % drop from peak   66%      
48 year average from 1963 628        
sales % drop from 48 year average   30%      
Bottom August 2010          
movement up from Bottom 278 57%      

 

Comments (1)

Team Honeycutt
Allen Tate - Concord, NC

I am so glad to see the improvement in new construction starts. In our area a lot of the builders are starting a good many new spec homes.

Betty

Feb 28, 2013 07:33 AM

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