Should you invest in residential real estate?

By
Industry Observer

There are a lot of folks who feel that the best possible investment right now is single family rental property.  Not only are individuals pursuing low cost homes to own and rent out for income, but there are a fair number of corporations doing likewise.  The corporations are buying where the prices are most depressed, and where the upside opportunities seem greatest over the longer term.  Investment buyers have probably contributed significantly to the recent home price increases and lower overall inventory.

When compared to other investments, is real estate really that good?  It's hard to say because, like buying cars, buyers of investment real estate often believe that they have the "secret sauce" that makes them and their purchases way above the curve, and that they can make much more than the average return, whatever that is.  Certainly, if you include all the midnight warriors who learned everything they know about investment real estate on late night infomercials, it's easy for a prudent investor to beat the averages.  But, is real estate the best way to invest, or even a good way?   

Everyone who buys a new car or a piece of real estate feels that they got a great deal.  Actually, market forces do a fair job of  leveling the field to the point that everyone gets about the same deal.  So, with what I believe to be the acquisition optimization myth set aside, I think it's safe to assume that everyone pays relatively the same amount for like value cars and real estate, almost everyone pays market value.  If that's a valid assumption, then it should follow that just about everyone with equal skill and execution gets about the same return on their investments.

My quick and general calculations tell me that the best annual return is going to be about 8%.  If you can get monthly rent equal to one percent of the acquisition price of the property, and if taxes, insurance, and maintenance can be kept down to 3.5% of the acquisition cost annually, and if vacancies are only one month in each two years, you can book around 8% on your investment dollars.  Certainly, leverage and tax losses can help increase the yield, but that is true for other investments also.  Compared to some equities like REIT's, MLP's, and BDC's, the yield on them is comparable with more liquidity and no physical labor needed.

Perhaps it comes down to the comfort factor.  If an investor enjoys lots of hands on maintenance of property and tenants, if an investor feels good about looking at where the money went, if an investor has attained the level of knowledge needed to carry on the active business of owning rental property, it could be an adequate fit.  For others, my advice is to consider alternative investments.

 

 

 

Posted by

 Mike Carlier  Lakeville, MN

 

612-916-3033

 

Comments (8)

John Dotson
Preferred Properties of Highlands, Inc. - Highlands, NC - Highlands, NC
The experience to get you to the other side!

Like investing in anything, if you know enough about the product - and yourself, you should be able to make a competent judgment about your investment.

If someone is just thinking about how to "get rich quick" they should remember the stock market "tech bubble."  

Some things are just smoke and mirrors.

Apr 12, 2013 12:47 AM
Richard Wilson
Cherry Creek Properties, LLC - Colorado Springs, CO
Town or Country, in Colorado, we do it all.

Every investor seems to think they have something figured out when they make the investment.  I have known of real estate investors who seem to think they can buy, hire everything out, and make a profit.  It seems those investors do not last long.  On the other hand, investors who put in lots of sweat equity, and do as much as possible for themselves, seem to be more steady.

Apr 12, 2013 01:07 AM
William Feela
WHISPERING PINES REALTY - North Branch, MN
Realtor, Whispering Pines Realty 651-674-5999 No.

A very personal decision for sure, but nowis the best time at least in my area as rentals are short and expensive.

Apr 12, 2013 01:06 PM
Mike Carlier
Lakeville, MN
More opinions than you want to hear about.

John, you certainly got that right.  Investing in anything blindly or even just lacking in a comprehensive applicable skill set is not investing, it's gambling.  Unfortunately, buying high and selling low is more common than not.  If I were to look for the closest thing to a steal in real estate, I'd seek out distressed investors.

Apr 13, 2013 09:47 PM
Mike Carlier
Lakeville, MN
More opinions than you want to hear about.

Richard, that does seem all too common.  It may be the reason why the corporations like Silver Bay and Blackstone choose to exit the single family home rental business without great profit.  For the average unskilled individual investor, something that's a little less "hands on" would be a better choice.  I guess the person with the ability to wear many hats and enjoy it could do OK.

Apr 13, 2013 09:53 PM
Mike Carlier
Lakeville, MN
More opinions than you want to hear about.

Bill, now's a great time to own income property, but the supply and demand pendulum swings pretty fast in the rental business.  Rents and vacancies could remain strong for a long time, but that is often not the pattern.  The relative illiquidity of real estate makes it difficult to respond to market changes quickly.

Apr 13, 2013 09:58 PM
Joe Petrowsky
Mortgage Consultant, Right Trac Financial Group, Inc. NMLS # 2709 - Manchester, CT
Your Mortgage Consultant for Life

I have invested in real estate for more years than I care to admit. It has served me will and continue for many more years.

Apr 14, 2013 11:58 PM
Mike Carlier
Lakeville, MN
More opinions than you want to hear about.

Joe, thanks for your comment and congratulations on your successful investment strategy.  Would you agree with an 8% non-leveraged annual return as about average?

Apr 15, 2013 01:14 AM

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