Home Values rising faster than Appraised Values.....Buyers Beware!

By
Real Estate Appraiser with Lanier Appraisal Service CR004373

This has been a fairly recent development so please consider this: No question that home values are on the rise and that multiple offers are the new reality and that supply is low and demand is high.....BUT  Is the value for these homes really there?

Appraisals take into consideration PAST sales and we are looking closely at PENDING Sales. If they are strong pending sales which allow us to make a time adjustment upward along with very recent sales, then the appraisals may be able to keep up with the apparent perceived value. HOWEVER....Lenders will not allow Pending sales and recent listings to dicate value. There must be recent sales that prove we are in an increasing market. We cannot rely solely on the fact that supply is way down or non existent and that a BUYER is willing to pay whatever for a home because there is nothing else to choose from!

I have had several appraisals involving Sales in the past 2 weeks fall short of sales price by a considerable amount. Trust me, I tried to hard to find some kind of proof in the market that would justify the sale, but there was nothing. If there are no very recent sales and only listings or pending sales that show an increase in values, lenders will not typically ALLOW an across the board TIME adjustment to "catch up with the market" so to speak. Values must be Bracketed, Which means the value for the subject must NOT be HIGHER than all the sales included in the report. This is a RED flag for lenders. 

So before you want to shoot the appraiser. Sellers are raising their prices for a few reasons: Realtors are allowing them to do this and/or Realtors are telling them to do this, due to lack of supply. Then a buyer comes along and BINGO they pay that price. Problem is just because the BUYER is willing to pay the price does not mean the home is worth that price in the market. 

So what I suggest is this: ALL SELLERS and BUYERS should obtain an appraisal before they list and before the buy, this will save alot of deals that fall apart and alot of heartbreak all the way around

We are conduting many pre listing and pre sale appraisals this year. Almost 50% of our business has included this kind of work. It is the smartest MONEY that buyers and sellers will pay to avoid disaster of having deal fall thru or PAYING too much for a home. 

 

 

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Comments (7)

Bob Miller
Keller Williams Cornerstone Realty - Ocala, FL
The Ocala Dream Team

Hi Mary.  Aren't we in a catch-22 then?  If they won't appraise, then they won't close.

May 26, 2013 10:29 PM
Mary Thompson
Lanier Appraisal Service - Flowery Branch, GA
Lake Lanier Appraiser in North Georgia

Bob, Well the only way they will not close is if the seller is not willing to renegotiate the price (which they need to as they will keep running into the same problem - at least in the near future) OR the buyer is willing to pay the amount out of pocket which is over the appraised value OR a combination of these. It should not just die on the vine if all parties are willing to negotiate. 

May 26, 2013 10:42 PM
Dorie Dillard Austin TX
Coldwell Banker Realty ~ 512.750.6899 - Austin, TX
NW Austin ~ Canyon Creek and Spicewood/Balcones

Hi Mary,

I'm seeing it all depends on how knowledgeable the appraiser is about the area if the home appraises. If they are from 50 miles away and end up appraising they don't understand the nuances of why some sections of a community or why different communities obtain a higher price. It's getting better because there are more comparable sales for an appraiser to use. I don't envy the job of an appraiser.They are slammed with home appraisals to get out and turned in. I've seen 2 appraisals completed on the same home and a swing of $30K on the value!!! So now a third will be done!

May 26, 2013 11:32 PM
Mary Thompson
Lanier Appraisal Service - Flowery Branch, GA
Lake Lanier Appraiser in North Georgia

Totally agree that the appraier needs to be knowlegeable of the area and I have even seen some Realtors ask the appraiser before they come to the property, where they live and what kind of experience they have and if they do not have the experience, they will not allow them in the home and turn them away! Of course that will not always work as the appraiser gets in via Lockboxes all the time. But sometimes it worked and I do not blame that Realtor for trying!

But in areas where I have been appraising for years and know them well, some homes are still not coming into value for the reasons noted in my Blog. So there are times when the home is just not worth the contract price and they need to realize this before they enter into the agreement. 

May 27, 2013 02:01 AM
Mike Crosby
Mike Crosby Realty - Placentia, CA
Placentia- Yorba Linda Real Estate - 714-742-2897

Should seller get a presale appraisal?

As I tell sellers, the buyers collectively tell the seller what the properties are worth.   

Appraisals do impact the real estate mostly because that is how lenders determine how much they will loan on properties. 

I once had a commercial appraiser use this analogy. If you have a bath tub of water it is easy to measure the depth of the water. But if you get a couple of kids playing and splashing around in the tub then it is much harder to measure the depth of the water.

If you get an independent appraisal the lender for the buyer will not use it for the buyers loan they will have their own appraiser value the property.  

 

If having a presale appraisal would give you peace of mind and the cost is ok with you then go ahead and get an appraisal.  

Jul 12, 2013 12:56 PM
Mary Thompson
Lanier Appraisal Service - Flowery Branch, GA
Lake Lanier Appraiser in North Georgia

Mike

I complete MANY Pre-Listing Appraisals for the reasons you specify. I think the $$ spent for the appraisal iw worth every penny and not just because I am an appraiser. The seller will know how to reasonably price their home AND they can use that appraisal for negotiations in case they get a low ball offer, which is still happening in some cases. Correct, the buyer cannot take that appraisal to get their loan for the home, but as a negotiation tool, it can work wonders. 

Many people are still under the impression that their home is worth more than it really is, especially now when values are rising, they tend to RISE the value on their home above what the market will bear. 

 

 

 

 

Jul 12, 2013 10:25 PM
Jack Hughes
Hughes Appraisal Group Inc. HUD/FHA Approved) - Lehigh Acres, FL

Mary ,

Very Good Post, We are experiencing the same problems here in SW Fla.

Nov 13, 2013 10:37 PM

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