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Why Now is the time to Buy - By the Numbers

By
Managing Real Estate Broker with Keller Williams Western Realty Lic #23590
Here's some actual number crunching that shows why one should not wait too much longer to get into a home. Just to keep to nice round numbers for the purposes of showing how much interest rate changes impact a buyer's buying power will take a $200K loan amount, at 4%. The monthly principle and interest (taxes and insurance would be added to the monthly payment but are the same regardless of interest rate changes so they are not included in this analysis) would be $954.83.  At 4.5% the monthly principle and interest goes to $1,013.37 for the same loan amount. That's a 6.1% increase in monthly payment for 1/2% increase in interest rate.
 
Converting this to buying/borrowing horsepower, a 1% increase in interest rates reduces the loan amount by about 10% to keep one's payment close to the same (the in the field rule of thumb).
 
To be precise for example the above, the payment of $954.83 is for a loan amount of $200K at 4%. At 5% interest, a payment of $955.54 is the payment on a loan amount of $178,000 (11% less than $200K to keep the payment about the same).
 
So you can see how interest rates play a fairly significant role in what someone can buy/borrow for "X" amount of a payment budget. As an agent, I have more attention on increasing interest rates pricing some buyers out of the market rather than the increases in asking prices. However at the moment we have both increasing prices and increasing interest rates. For this reason it is of my opinion that buying sooner rather than later is to a buyer's advantage.
Posted by

Dan & Laurie
Pittsenbarger Team
Managing Broker - Keller Williams Bellingham

360-739-5857  | dan@pittsenbargerteam.com

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Comments (6)

Brenda Mullen
RE/MAX Associates - San Antonio, TX
Your San Antonio TX Real Estate Agent!!

This is some really good information for buyers to get off of that fence and buy NOW.  Buyers need to get in at the lowest interest rates possible and my guess is that may keep going up.  

Jul 09, 2013 10:59 AM
Dan & Laurie Pittsenbarger Team
Keller Williams Western Realty - Bellingham, WA
Lakeside & Coastal Single Family Homes

Hi Brenda - yeah there's lot's of this kind of data out there - I just put some numbers on it in an attempt to show buyers that we're not just trying to "sell" when we encourage folks to act - there is a real benefit in taking action in these times. Hopefully you can some of your buyers off the couch and in the game.

Jul 09, 2013 11:16 AM
Graziella Bruner
NCS Premier Real Estate - Detroit, MI
Associate Broker - Serving Wayne & Oakland County

Great information to share with buyers.  A percentage does make a big difference.

 

Jul 10, 2013 12:32 AM
Lora "Leah" Stern 914-772-4528
Coldwell Banker, 170 N Main Street, New City NY 10956 - New City, NY
Real Estate Salesperson

If more buyers were aware of this we souldn't have quite so many still sitting on the fence wondering if now is the time to buy.

Jul 11, 2013 09:39 AM
Hella Mitschke Rothwell
(831) 626-4000 - Honolulu, HI
Hawaii & California Real Estate Broker
I had that conversation with a seller today, and he feels the buyers will shrink because there are less good homes for sale at that lower level.
Jul 11, 2013 02:33 PM
Dan & Laurie Pittsenbarger Team
Keller Williams Western Realty - Bellingham, WA
Lakeside & Coastal Single Family Homes

Graziella & Lora - thanks for the comments.  If one wanted to take a bit further one could take the $58.54 monthly payment increase for the 1/2% increase in interest and start multiplying that out. In a year that's $702.48 more paid in interest. In 5 years it comes to $3,512.40. It starts getting expensive to wait.

Hella - Our inventories are down in our area - even though "new" listings are up - the number of solds is way up making the active listing inventory down for the year.

 

Jul 12, 2013 02:05 AM