Good News, Naples…NOAA Trims its Forecast for a “Busy Hurricane Season”
The Atlantic Hurricane Season may not be quite as busy as predicted at the beginning of the season
Although the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration trimmed its forecast for Atlantic hurricanes, it continues to stand by its prognostication for “…an unusually active and potentially dangerous few months to come.” NOAA now predicts between six and nine full-fledged hurricanes, which is a couple less than the May prediction. The agency believes that between three and five of those predicted storms will be “major” with winds gusting at more than 110 MPH. A normal year in Florida has 12 named storms of which six become classified as hurricanes and three are classified as major storms.
Lead hurricane forecaster Gerry Bell of NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, which is located in College Park, Maryland, said, “Make no bones about it, those ranges indicated a lot of activity to come. We’re just now coming into peak hurricane season.”
Since the beginning of hurricane season – June 1st -- there have been four named storms. That number during June and July is about twice as high as usual. Mid-August to mid-October is considered to be “peak hurricane season.” Of course, these forecasts don’t include where these storms might land, if at all. Despite the higher number of recently hurricanes the last time a major hurricane struck the United States was Wilma in 2005, which caused considerable damage throughout Collier county on it’s way from the Gulf to the Atlantic. Given that Florida hasn’t sustained a hit in seven and a half years – the longest length of time on record – the odds for this year are probably greater than many believe. Finally, one can never overlook the stark reality that just because a storm isn’t classified as “major” doesn’t mean it can’t create havoc. Just ask our friends in New York and New Jersey…so-called super storm Sandy cause massive flooding, was responsible for the loss of 147 lives and caused $50 billion in damage.
Get your 2013 Hurricane Guide courtesy of NBC 2 by clicking here