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Worst Real Estate Equity in 40 Years?!!

By
Real Estate Agent with Realty Exchange

On the news tonight I heard a story that I have a hard time believing.  As we all know, every newscast has something bad to say about the real estate market and it just feeds the fears of the buyers and sellers.  Now tonight I hear that we are, for the first time in 40 years, in a negative equity situation.  The story claimed that some homeowners have houses they are paying for that are worth only 50% of the loan value they owe.  Alright - so where exactly are these homes located?  I am in Tennessee and it sure itsn't here.  We have a market that is seeing more foreclosures, yes but we aren't flooded with them.  Also, our price per square foot is holding fairly stable.  We haven't seen the big bubble that other parts of the country have, therefore we aren't seeing the big burst either. 

 I know you are thinking this is another post on the negative media we face daily.  Maybe so but this type of story is so extreme that  I would love to know the source and exactly where they are talking about.  These blanket statements are scaring people and not helping the overall picture for our economy in general.

Karen Anne Stone
New Home Hunters of Fort Worth and Tarrant County - Fort Worth, TX
Fort Worth Real Estate

Yes Shelby:  I heard that too this afternoon on the radio on the way home.  I think the fifty percent mark is because of two things.  First, in many areas, property values are dropping, and in doing so, homes obviously have less equity.  But secondly, and definitely as important, is the fact that because of the economic slow-down... many home owners have taken out equity loans, and have used that money either for improving their home, paying off bills, just buying new stuff, or... as in many cases... just using the money to live on.  That would take care of quite a bit of each home owner's former equity.  Unfortunate, but probably true.  Shelby... thanks for sharing.

Now... in re-reading your post before I was going to hit the submit button, I took the radio announcement to mean actual "equity" in the home.  Which means... a home with a $200,000 loan balance, that was worth perhaps $500,000 two years ago... at that time the owner had a home with $300,000 equity.

If the value of that same home dropped by $75,000, they would have a property worth $425,000 with a loan balance of $200,000... leaving $225,000 in equity.  That alone, is a 25 % drop in equity.

If perhaps, that same seller took out an equity loan last year, while appraisals were still coming in as they had been... the seller may have taken out another $100,000 home equity loan... leaving them a property now worth $425,000... with a loan balance... $200,000 original plus $100,000 equity loan... equalling a total loan balance of $300,000.  That would mean a home valued at $425,000 with a total loan amount of $300,000... would now only have $125,000 in equity.

So... going back to the beginning... in the original case, the owner's "equity" was $300,000.  Now, after the drop in value, and after the equity loan, the owner's "equity" is now $125,000.  That would mean that as of now... the owner's equity was 41.7 % of what it was a few years ago.  That would mean that the owner's equity had dropped about 58.3 %  That is my take on what I think they meant.  I could be wrong, but that is my take.  Again, thanks for sharing.  I hope my examples and numbers made sense.  Take care...

Mar 06, 2008 05:49 PM
Shelby Morris
Realty Exchange - Columbia, TN
Karen - if the news reporter giving the statistic was as thorough as you the message he was sending would have sounded better.  Thanks for responding and take care.
Mar 06, 2008 11:40 PM