Who's Worse, Economists or Politicians?

By
Industry Observer

We all know the old cliche about when politicians lie, "When the lips move."  How about the economists?  Perhaps, " When the pencil (or calculator, or slide rule) moves?  Although there may be more legitimate intent among economists, the result is similar.

Today, we have been informed that November housing prices are down 0.1%, or have we?  According to a Marketwatch report, November prices are down 0.1%, but seasonally adjusted November prices are up 0.9%, and year over year November prices are up 13.7%.  In the meantime, D R Horton (DHI) reported a huge increase in earnings today which they attribute to increased demand and their ability to raise prices

I'm not an economist or a politician, but it's obvious that political "facts" and economic statistics are so plentiful that there is at least one that will support any assertion.  How's the (real estate) market?  I think it's any way you want it to be.

Posted by

 Mike Carlier  Lakeville, MN

 

612-916-3033

 

Comments (7)

Elite Home Sales Team
Elite Home Sales Team OC - Corona del Mar, CA
A Tenacious and Skilled Real Estate Team

I know what you mean Mike.  Let's make it a great year.

Jan 27, 2014 11:03 PM
Bill Reddington
Re/max By The Sea - Destin, FL
Destin Florida Real Estate

Think it is really a question of who manipulates the numbers and for what reason. Don't trust either of them.

Jan 27, 2014 11:03 PM
William Feela
WHISPERING PINES REALTY - North Branch, MN
Realtor, Whispering Pines Realty 651-674-5999 No.

Both groups have to keep putting out information, any thing at all, just to try and prove their usefulness.

Jan 28, 2014 03:28 AM
Ralph Gorgoglione
Maui Life Homes / Metro Life Homes - Kihei, HI
Hawaii and California Real Estate (310) 497-9407

Perception is reality, Mike, so whichever politician or economist crunches the numbers as he sees them, that is their reality.

Jan 28, 2014 11:16 AM
Mike Carlier
Lakeville, MN
More opinions than you want to hear about.

Perception can be manipulated easily, and politicians know that better than economists.  Here's some good news, bad news to ponder:  You're making twenty dollars an hour, and I'm your employer.  I need to cut your pay by 10%, but only for a week.  Next week, I'll give you an 11% raise.  Isn't that wonderful of me?  Actually, no.

Jan 28, 2014 11:17 PM
Lisa Von Domek
Lisa Von Domek Team - Dallas, TX
....Experience Isn't Expensive.... It's Priceless!

Hello E.J.,

The politicians "massaging" of numbers have made it impossible to believe any statistics that come out in any industry.  If the numbers don't meet what the lie of the day is, they just find a new way to adjust them!

Feb 02, 2014 09:48 PM
Mike Carlier
Lakeville, MN
More opinions than you want to hear about.

Lisa, the classic number manipulation I recall is Ronald Reagan in a press conference with a chart showing that, " The rate of increase in inflation is decreasing."  After well over two decades, I'm still scratching my head on that one. 

Feb 02, 2014 10:50 PM

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