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Mortgage Rate Update 2-12-14: Trends & Projections

By
Mortgage and Lending with CMG Mortgage, San Diego, CA NMLS 259027

Tuesday was an extremely turbulent day for mortgage rates, which ultimately finished with inferior pricing. No major economic news is expected today. Pricing has opened 0.125 - 0.250 WORSE to the points/credits associated with each interest rate option.

This daily mortgage interest rate report is designed to provide Borrowers & Real Estate Profesionals with factual data regarding where rates are at any given time and what trends are propelling current mortgage pricing on any given day. Feel free to browse the library and research historical rate updates dating back over 2 years at www.JasonGordon.info whenever desired.  To make things easier, I have also posted a quick report on How To Read The Charts Below.

Also, make sure to learn THE TOP 10 THINGS TO KNOW ABOUT MORTGAGE RATES (to help understand the relationship between rates & fees/credits) along with THE TRUTH BEHIND MORTGAGE QUOTES (to better understand the relationship between up-front closing costs and mortgage interest rates so you don't get duped by clever advertising campaigns). Remember, we all make better decisions in life when we have the actual facts to analyze...share this report with those whom you care about!

San Diego Mortgage Rates - Jason Gordon - www.JasonGordonMortgage.com

The Mortgage Street Smarts of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why):

The following information is current as of Wednesday 2-12-2014 and will help you understand today's best mortgage rates. If you are a Buyer/Borrower who is still on the fence (or if you are a Real Estate Agent attempting to educate your "on the fence" Buyer), please review these trends and secure an historically low interest rate before it is too late.

The market closed Tuesday with a SIGNIFICANT WORSENING to pricing. Tuesday's SIGNIFICANT WORSENING netted a change of 30 basis points (bps).

(Note: Upward activity on these charts is GOOD, downward activity is BAD)

San Diego Mortgage Interest Rates - www.GordonMortgage.com

The following chart summarizes todays market activity:

San Diego Mortgage Interest Rates - www.GordonMortgage.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 10 days (hint: green is good, red is bad):

 San Diego Mortgage Interest Rates - www.GordonMortgage.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 1 month:

San Diego Mortgage Interest Rates - www.GordonMortgage.com

Daily Interest Rate Snapshot (sample of rates from one of the country's largest Lenders...individual pricing will vary based on specific Borrower qualifications): NOTE: This Lender has quoted a 1.00% Origination Fee (1 Point) to accompany this pricing. It bears noting that this chart does not necessarily represent todays best mortgage rates.

San Diego Mortgage Interest Rates - www.GordonMortgage.com

Market Commentary (Neil Trenerry)

FNMA
Cpn 3.0 Chg -0.0625 Bid 96.39063
Cpn 3.5 Chg -0.0938 Bid 100.76563
Cpn 4.0 Chg -0.0625 Bid 104.32813

 

Treasury
UST 5 YR Chg -0.0703 Bid 99.75781 Yield 1.5510
UST 10 YR Chg -0.1563 Bid 100.03125 Yield 2.7460
UST 30 YR Chg -0.2344 Bid 100.82813 Yield 3.7040
Currency
Euro Bid 1.3566 Chg -0.0068
Pound Bid 1.6547 Chg 0.0099
Yen Bid 1023730 Chg -0.260
Light Crude
Last 101.20

 

Key Economic Data:
Mortgage Market
Index: Actual 397.2, Last 405.2.
Purchase: Actual 171.5, Last 180.5.
Refinance: Actual 1690.0, Last 1693.2.
30-yr Rate: Actual 4.45%, Last 4.47%.
11:00: Federal Budget for Jan: Consensus -27.5b, Last 53.2b.

 

Advice:

 

Treasury 10-year notes declined for a second day before the U.S. sells $24 billion of the securities as the Federal Reserve pledges to keep cutting debt purchases. Benchmark 10-year yields climbed to the highest level in two weeks after Fed Chairman Janet Yellen told Congress yesterday only a notable change in the outlook for the economy would lead policy makers to slow the pace of reductions. Treasury 10-year yields also climbed to a three-week high versus their Group-of-Seven counterparts. We didnt get any signals from Yellen that the Fed changed their mind about the economic recovery, said Allan von Mehren, chief analyst at Danske Bank A/S in Copenhagen. Thats why were seeing a bit of pressure on fixed income. The data has been softening a bit so its hard to see a big selloff. The U.S. 10-year yield rose two basis point, or 0.02 percentage point, to 2.74 percent at 7:16 a.m. in New York, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader prices. The 2.75 percent note due in November 2023 fell 5/32, or $1.56 per $1,000 face amount, to 100 2/32. The yield climbed to 2.75 percent, the highest since Jan. 29 The extra yield 10-year Treasuries offer over their G-7 peers was 48.7 basis points, the highest level since Jan. 22. The average for the past year is 18 basis points. The U.S. is also scheduled to sell $16 billion of 30-year bonds tomorrow. It auctioned $30 billion of three-year securities yesterday.

 

My position on MBS
Short term Neutral.
Long term Neutral.

Market Commentary (Dan Rawitch)

Below is a video update:

 

Trusted Industry Advisor

San Diego Mortgage Rates - Jason Gordon - www.JasonGordonMortgage.com

The above information was compiled and distributed by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, Jason E Gordon in an effort to provide transparency regarding true mortgage rate activity and market guidance to consumers and professionals interested in this activity. All Market Commentary is provided via The Mortgage Coach and/or their RateWatch technology software.

As a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist (CMPS) Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) and Certified Mortgage Coach (CMC), Jason E Gordon utilizes his advanced training to examine a prospective Client's complete financial picture, while carefully listening to their overall goals. If it is mutually agreed that a new loan makes sense to pursue, Jason strives to make the entire loan process as seamless as possible. He truly believes that providing open communication and patient educational guidance to his Clients and Business Alliances has been a pivotal component to building his business, while enhancing his reputation in the Mortgage Industry as a Trusted Advisor. Visit www.GordonMortgage.com or www.ApprovingSD.com or more information.

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