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Comparing Recent Housing Data with 2007 -- Troubling Similarity?

By
Real Estate Agent with DPR Realty LLC

Comparing Recent Housing Data with 2007 -- Troubling Similarity?

ZeroHedge.com posted an interesting article today, by Michael Snyder (of the Economic Collapse Blog).

You can link to the complete ZeroHedge.com article HERE.

The article begins by comparing two charts from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.  One illustrates the precipitous decline in existing home sales that took place in 2007.  The other shows a very similar decline that has taken place from summer 2013 to present day.

Other charts illustrate the decline which has recently taken place in new home sales.  A discussion regarding the decline in mortgage originations is also provided.

I would be interested in hearing observations from practitioners in various parts of the United States.  Here in the Phoenix metro, our inventory has increased and sales are in decline vs. the rebound we experienced in calendar 2012 and 2013.

As most know, the recovery in the real estate market was fueled by the low interest rate policies of the Federal Reserve.  If the housing market is rolling over now (even in an environment of accomodation) -- what does that have to say about the current health of the economy?

Comparing Recent Housing Data with 2007 -- Troubling Similarity?

Posted by

 

Eric S. Crane, PLLC
DPR Realty LLC


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in Greater Metro Phoenix Arizona

 

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DPR Realty LLC
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Endre Barath, Jr.
Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices California Properties - Beverly Hills, CA
Realtor - Los Angeles Home Sales 310.486.1002

Eric yes the feeding frenzy & the crazy price increases exist here in the greater Los Angeles....the difference in 2007 my cats and our dog would have received a "stated income loan"...today you need real income, real credit and real down payments from 10-25% so as far as I am concerned that is a huge difference, Endre

Apr 24, 2014 04:52 PM
Larry Johnston
Broker, Friends & Neighbors Real Estate and Elkhart County Subdivisions, LLC - Elkhart, IN
Broker,Friends & Neighbors Real Estate, Elkhart,IN

Hi Eric, I am not sure families can go through another recession like the last one. I don't thing the country can either.  I just hope it doesn't happen again.

Apr 25, 2014 01:24 PM
Eric Crane -- Your Full Service, Discount Fee Realtor®
DPR Realty LLC - Gilbert, AZ
Greater Metro Phoenix Arizona

Hi, Endre -- you are right -- the lending conditions are more rigorous.  so that brings up the thought that perhaps prices have already advanced beyond the limits of current income.  In other words, are buyers already getting priced out of the market?

Hi, Larry -- I hear you.  Hope you have a good weekend, my friend

Apr 25, 2014 02:38 PM
Lou Ludwig
Ludwig & Associates - Boca Raton, FL
Designations Earned CRB, CRS, CIPS, GRI, SRES, TRC

Eric

Thanks for sharing you insight and links. We are going through market adjustments as we speak.

Good luck and success.

Lou Ludwig

Apr 26, 2014 11:32 AM
Eric Crane -- Your Full Service, Discount Fee Realtor®
DPR Realty LLC - Gilbert, AZ
Greater Metro Phoenix Arizona

Thanks, Lou and I hope you are having a wonderful weekend!

Apr 26, 2014 12:46 PM
Lisa Von Domek
Lisa Von Domek Team - Dallas, TX
....Experience Isn't Expensive.... It's Priceless!

Hello Eric,

Washington's hype and spin control can't go on forever...the economy is still in big trouble that won't go away with the current policies in place.

Apr 27, 2014 09:41 AM
Bruce Swedal
Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate

Thanks for the insight into your market with this concise report. I enjoy learning about new areas. Local home buyers and sellers should look you up.

Apr 28, 2014 01:19 AM
Bob Crane
Woodland Management Service / Woodland Real Estate, KW Diversified - Stevens Point, WI
Forestland Experts! 715-204-9671

Far too many signs in the financial markets to indicate very troubling times ahead.

May 09, 2014 04:15 PM