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Mortgage Rate Update 6-9-14: Trends & Projections

By
Mortgage and Lending with CMG Mortgage, San Diego, CA NMLS 259027

Although no economic data will be released today, the market has opened in negative territory after Friday's rough closing.

Pricing has opened 0.250 WORSE to the points/credits associated with each interest rate option.

This daily mortgage interest rate report is designed to provide Borrowers & Real Estate Profesionals with factual data regarding where rates are at any given time and what trends are propelling current mortgage pricing on any given day. Feel free to browse the library and research historical rate updates dating back over 2 years at www.JasonGordon.info whenever desired.  To make things easier, I have also posted a quick report on How To Read The Charts Below.

Also, make sure to learn THE TOP 10 THINGS TO KNOW ABOUT MORTGAGE RATES (to help understand the relationship between rates & fees/credits) along with THE TRUTH BEHIND MORTGAGE QUOTES (to better understand the relationship between up-front closing costs and mortgage interest rates so you don't get duped by clever advertising campaigns). Remember, we all make better decisions in life when we have the actual facts to analyze...share this report with those whom you care about!

San Diego Mortgage Rates - Jason Gordon - www.JasonGordonMortgage.com

The Mortgage Street Smarts of where mortgage interest rates are going (and why):

The following information is current as of Monday 6-9-2014 and will help you understand today's best mortgage rates. If you are a Buyer/Borrower who is still on the fence (or if you are a Real Estate Agent attempting to educate your "on the fence" Buyer), please review these trends and secure an historically low interest rate before it is too late.

The market closed Friday with a SIGNIFICANT WORSENING to pricing. Friday's SIGNIFICANT WORSENING netted a change of 27 basis points (bps).

(Note: Upward activity on these charts is GOOD, downward activity is BAD)

Lowest Mortgage Rates in San Diego - www.GordonMortgage.com

The following chart summarizes todays market activity:

Lowest Mortgage Rates in San Diego - www.GordonMortgage.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 10 days (hint: green is good, red is bad):

 Lowest Mortgage Rates in San Diego - www.GordonMortgage.com

The following chart shows market activity over the past 1 month:

Lowest Mortgage Rates in San Diego - www.GordonMortgage.com

Daily Interest Rate Snapshot (sample of rates from one of the country's largest Lenders...individual pricing will vary based on specific Borrower qualifications): NOTE: This Lender has quoted a 1.00% Origination Fee (1 Point) to accompany this pricing. It bears noting that this chart does not necessarily represent todays best mortgage rates.

Lowest Mortgage Rates in San Diego - www.GordonMortgage.com

Market Commentary (Neil Trenerry)

FNMA
Cpn 3.0 Chg -0.1875 Bid 97.85938
Cpn 3.5 Chg -0.1563 Bid 102.21875
Cpn 4.0 Chg -0.1250 Bid 105.48438

Treasury
UST 5 YR Chg -0.1719 Bid 99.11719 Yield 1.6860
UST 10 YR Chg -0.1875 Bid 98.96875 Yield 2.6190
UST 30 YR Chg -0.2500 Bid 98.53125 Yield 3.4540

Currency
Euro Bid 1.3596 Chg -0.0046
Pound Bid 1.6796 Chg -0.0003
Yen Bid 102.49 Chg 0.020
Light Crude
Last 103.52

Key Economic Data:
7:00: Employment Trends for May: Last 118.0.

Advice:
Treasuries fell, pushing yields to the highest level in four years versus their Group of Seven peers, before data this week that economists said will show improvement in the U.S. labor market and consumer confidence. The extra yield that 10-year Treasuries offer over their G-7 counterparts was 72 basis points, the most since April 2010, after European Central Bank policy makers last week unveiled an unprecedented stimulus package. A report yesterday showed Chinas exports rose more in May than economists forecast and the trade surplus widened to a five-year high. The U.S. is scheduled to sell $62 billion in notes and bonds over three days starting tomorrow. With China and the euro zone coming under pressure, that really did affect the Treasuries market, said Orlando Green, a fixed-income strategist at Credit Agricole SAs corporate and investment banking unit in London. The market can now focus a bit more on the U.S. internal dynamics and how its recovery is coming along. Yields are certainly too low in Treasuries and any upwards move that we see is a realignment towards fundamentals. The U.S. 10-year yield climbed three basis points, or 0.03 percentage point, to 2.62 percent at 6:49 a.m. New York time, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader prices. The 2.5 percent note due in May 2024 fell 1/4, or $2.50 per $1,000 face amount, to 98 31/32.

My position on MBS:

Short term stays Neutral.
Long term stays Short.

Long = I anticipate pricing to improve which leads to lower Rates.
Neutral = Market should stay close to open plus or minimums 25bps.
Short = I anticipate pricing to weaken which leads to higher Rates.

Short term = 1 - 2 days out
Long term = 30+ days out

Trusted Industry Advisor

San Diego Mortgage Rates - Jason Gordon - www.JasonGordonMortgage.com

The above information was compiled and distributed by San Diego Residential Mortgage Specialist, Jason E Gordon in an effort to provide transparency regarding true mortgage rate activity and market guidance to consumers and professionals interested in this activity. All Market Commentary is provided via The Mortgage Coach and/or their RateWatch technology software.

As a Certified Mortgage Planning Specialist (CMPS) Certified Distressed Property Expert (CDPE) and Certified Mortgage Coach (CMC), Jason E Gordon utilizes his advanced training to examine a prospective Client's complete financial picture, while carefully listening to their overall goals. If it is mutually agreed that a new loan makes sense to pursue, Jason strives to make the entire loan process as seamless as possible. He truly believes that providing open communication and patient educational guidance to his Clients and Business Alliances has been a pivotal component to building his business, while enhancing his reputation in the Mortgage Industry as a Trusted Advisor. Visit www.GordonMortgage.com or www.ApprovingSD.com or more information.

Click here for daily mortgage interest rate updates and projections for San Diego's best mortgage interest rates

Randy Shamburger
Movement Mortgage - Greenville, SC
FHA, VA, USDA and Conventional Mortgage Expert

Great market report, thanks for sharing.

Have a Big day,

Randy

Jun 09, 2014 04:02 AM
Jason E. Gordon
CMG Mortgage, San Diego, CA - San Diego, CA
Sr Loan Officer, CMA, CMPS, CDLP, CDRE, RCSD, CDPE

Thanks Randy, much appreciated!

Jun 09, 2014 04:46 AM