Experts Predict Where US Home Prices Are Headed
Home prices have risen in most U.S. markets this year, with most states reaching price levels not seen since the real estate boom year of 2006. How long will they continue to rise? Check out these predictions from four top housing economists:
National Association of Realtors Chief Economist Lawrence Yun
"We are in a multiyear housing recovery. For the next five years, we think four of those next five years will be an improving year in terms of home sales given the size of the pent-up demand, provided mortgage rates rise in a modest way."
NAR’s price prediction: Home prices will rise 5 to 6 percent in 2014 and 4 and 5 percent in 2015.
CoreLogic CEO Anand Nallathambi
"Most states are reaching price levels not seen since the boom year of 2006. Our data indicates that this trend will continue, with more states hitting new all-time peaks this year and into 2015 as the recovery continues."
CoreLogic’s price prediction: Prices will rise by 5.7 percent from July 2014 to July 2015.
Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan
"On the demand side, there appears to be a conservatism among consumers and their willingness to take on big-ticket purchases, such as homes. We currently estimate that 2014 will finish lower in total sales figures than 2013 – and that 2015, while stronger than 2013 and 2014, will not be the breakout year some are expecting."
Fannie Mae’s price prediction: Prices will rise 5.6 percent in 2014 and 4.3 percent in 2015.
Freddie Mac Chief Economist Frank Nothaft
"House price growth was very strong in 2013 but we don’t expect a repeat performance. Instead, we see housing prices moderate over the next couple of years before settling into its long-run average of about a 1 percent real house price growth per quarter."
Freddie Mac’s price prediction: Prices will rise 5.0 percent in 2014 and 4 percent in 2015.
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