Economist Expresses Concern About 3% Down Payment Loans

By
Mortgage and Lending with Right Trac Financial Group, Inc., NMLS# 2709 NMLS #1012303

A leading housing economist has expressed concern over the new(?) 3% Down Payment loan products that have been introduced by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  Robert Shiller, in an interview with CNBC as reported in National Mortgage Professional Magazine, indicated that the new products introduced recently by the GSEs create the possibility of problems for lenders and mortgage insurers.  He cites the small margin for error (3%) as being  the main area of concern.  Shiller sees this as a problem area in light of the deceleration in housing prices in the recent past. Housing prices continue to home price indexrise, but at a much slower pace recently.

Shiller raised two other issues as concerns to the housing industry.  He noted that the level of first time home buyers is lower than normal as millennials do not appear to be as interested in home ownership.  Secondly, he sees the possibility that there may be a shift in the housing market to suburban and rural areas and away from urban areas.  He points to the drop in gasoline prices as allowing people to commute a farther distance than in the past.

Robert Shiller is a co-founder of the Case-Shiller Home Price Index, an economics professor at Yale University, and a winner of the Nobel Prize in economics.  He certainly has the credentials to forecast economic problems in the housing market.  Is he right about the 3% down payment loan products from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? 

Image courtesy of econintersect.com

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Randy Kirsch, NMLS #1012303

Right Trac Financial Group, Inc. NMLS #2709

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Comments (2)

George Souto
George Souto NMLS #65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages - Middletown, CT
Your Connecticut Mortgage Expert

Randy, Shiller may have the academic credential, but I question if he has a clue of why we are seeing less First Time Homebuyers.  The main reasons in my opinion are lower DTI's and high fees by both FHA and Fannie Mae.  FHA is pricing Buyers out of the market with their MI, and Fannie with the points they are hitting Borrowers with because of credit scores.  One is pricing them out with higher monthly payments, and the other with higher Closing Costs.

Dec 16, 2014 07:56 AM
Joe Petrowsky
Mortgage Consultant, Right Trac Financial Group, Inc. NMLS # 2709 - Manchester, CT
Your Mortgage Consultant for Life

Good morning Randy. I am not the biggest fan of Shiller or most economist for that matter. Most of the time they don't really have a clue about the mortgage and real estate business. I'm glad he has a concern about this loan product.

Dec 16, 2014 05:21 PM

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