The next mortgage crisis?

By
Real Estate Agent with Progressive Realty (Boise Idaho) www.Progressive-Realty.info DB-17066

Are Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's newly announced 3% down program just another case of trying to prove how quickly we forget the past, or is a good move?

http://www.housingwire.com/articles/32269-fannie-and-freddie-officially-approve-3-down-payment-mortgages

I always see posts about how we need to go back to 20% down payments so buyers have more to lose to minimize defaults.  However, loot at the VA Home Loan.  It has the least down payment . . . $0 yet it consistently over the years has the lowest default rate.  

Doesn't that sound like an oxymoron?  No when you analyze the differences:

  • VA assigned the appraiser, not selected by lender
  • VA did a Certificate of Reasonable value double checking the valuation
  • VA requires a higher standard on the condition of the home upon sale
  • VA was only for home owner occupants - not investment property
  • VA has never offered a sub-prime loan
  • VA looks at residual income calculations, not just long term revolving debts to determine ratios
  • VA is proactive if the veteran starts to go into default - they don't ignore the problem
  • VA doesn't outsource their processing or underwriting to some center overseas

Here is a chart showing VA and FHA default rates over the years:

VA verses FHA default rates

 

If you can stick it out in the military long enough to get your DD214, you probably learned to make enough adjustments in your life to figure out a way to keep from loosing your house when times got tough.  We should take some lessons from the VA mortgage process.  If we do, we can help avoid the next mortgage crisis.

 

Comments (6)

Richie Alan Naggar
people first...then business Ran Right Realty - Riverside, CA
agent & author

The only thought that comes to mind is that when people own their own homes, skin in the American game makes it all work to optimum. Greed is the wild card

Dec 20, 2014 12:13 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

The past mortgage program problems were caused by poor underwriting, often intentional falsification of information.

If the down payment were the problem, the VA loan would not have the lowest default rate of all loan types.

Dec 20, 2014 12:29 AM
Jim Paulson
Progressive Realty (Boise Idaho) www.Progressive-Realty.info - Boise, ID
Owner,Broker

Reminded my of the scene from the movie Wall Street where Gordon Gecko says "Greed is Good".  I am a self professed capitalist pig, so I kind of like that statement; however, I also was taught by a good friend of mine that "Hogs get fat, pigs get slaughtered!"

Dec 20, 2014 12:30 AM
Raymond E. Camp
Howard Hanna Real Estate Services - Ontario, NY
Licensed Real Estate Salesperson Greater Rochester

Good morning Jim,

As long as the person buying the home is qualified and able to make the payments I see nothing Wrong. As Lenn Harley points out it is the fabrication that buries them.

Make yourself a great day.

Dec 20, 2014 12:50 AM
Mark Don McInnes, Sandpoint
Sandpoint Realty LLC - Sandpoint, ID
North Idaho Real Estate - 208-255.6227

Excellent points all Jim.  Good people need help getting into homes again after draining savings over the past years just to survive.  "stated income" would not be considered help in my book.  Merry Christmas with a safe and prosperous New Year.  Mark

Dec 20, 2014 12:54 AM
Sandy Padula and Norm Padula, JD, GRI
HomeSmart Realty West & Lend Smart Mortgage, Llc. - Carlsbad, CA
Presence, Persistence & Perseverance

Jim Paulson Another super blog post from you; Thank you! I think the buyers considering the 3% FHA Program are fooling themselves. Just the MI is enough to push a borrower out of the acceptable envelop of safety. And, I agree; FHA has forgotten the past.

Dec 20, 2014 01:20 AM

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