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Charlotte Area Remains The Lone Appreciating Market in February in Case/Shiller Survey

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Jonathan and Associates, Inc

Out today, the numbers for S&P's Case/Shiller survey for February, which examines home values in 20 housing markets.  While Miami and Las Vegas were at the bottom with 22.8% and 21.7% 1 year price decreases, Charlotte was the only city in the study with appreciation, even though it was a mere 1.5% year over year.  The study also compares the index numbers from January to February, which showed declines across the board including Charlotte down -.4%.  I don't put as much weight in the month-over-month numbers because real estate, in most markets, is very seasonal.  The market will always slow in months like November, January, February and some as early as October. 

While these modest gains are great news, recent layoffs at some of the areas banks may put a strain on the market however we have been fortunate enough to have press releases announcing almost as many job openings as are being cut.  The other strain is the level of inventory in the Charlotte area.  A tremendous boon for the Charlotte economy has been the large number of folks (25,000 - 50,000) moving here from places like Florida, California, the mid-west, and the north east.  However, many of them who have been moving lately for jobs or work have been taking up residence in temporary housing as their old home has yet to sell.  With declines in those markets, they means they'll have less to spend here in Charlotte.

Overall, the early spring has brought a lot of buyers in the market who are taking advantage of the higher inventories and the summber market should once again show strong area-wide sales. 

To read the entire study, visit the Standard and Poors website

Jonathan Osman
Charlotte NC Homes, Charlotte Real Estate

Chris Compton
RE/MAX Greater Atlanta - Dacula, GA
I moved to Atlanta from Southern California and I can tell you that the run up in prices out west was obscene. They will be digging out for a while - hopefully not a long while. Fortunately for those of us here in the southeast, our run up was more moderate and we are still in the ballpark as far as our price to value ratio goes. You make a great point about people moving in with no money to spend. just an example of how problems in a local economy can trickle to other parts of the world.
Apr 30, 2008 01:41 AM
John Gray
Windermere Real Estate - McKenzie Bridge, OR
McKenzie Valley Realtor
Jonathan - I checked out the survey, and agree with your month-to-month perspective.  Every market is different - and local.  The macro view of these surveys can be very misleading when applied to local markets.  There are quite a few localized areas in Oregon within the Portland and Eugene/Springfield markets that have experienced substantial price appreciation over the last year.  Those numbers are offset at the macro level by more local areas with declining prices - but interpreting the numbers across the board in many instances paints the wrong picture for local real estate markets. Appreciation year to year in our primary local market (Mckenzie Valley), according to the latest RMLS data, was 13.1%, and we're not alone in double-digit appreciation. Unfortunately, a lot of macro-level survey headlines further undermine consumer confidence across the board, when there are, in fact, many localized bright spots that could presage a turn, albeit not a sudden one.  We're optimistic!
Apr 30, 2008 02:14 AM
ActiveRain City and State Listing Group
Christiansted, VI

It would be nice if you guys in Charlotte would spread out some of the wealth to the Asheville area. We may not have as many banks and corporate headquarters, but the mountains sure beat the heat and high traffic counts.

Apr 30, 2008 06:03 AM