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Are Bristow, VA Home Prices Back to Pre-Crash Levels?

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Real Estate Agent with Long and Foster Real Estate VA License # 0225089470

Are Bristow, VA Home Prices Back to Pre-Crash Levels?

Near the end of November 2016, Case Schiller reported that national home prices had surpassed their pre-crash levels.  You can read the interpretation of that data by clicking this link.  Unfortunately, that is a national look at real estate prices.  If you want to know what's happening with home values, ask a local real estate agent.  

Since I can only speak about the market in which I work, I'm going to tell you about that state of Bristow, VA home values. What we discuss will hold true for Gainesville and Haymarket as well.  These are the areas I know like the back of my hand, though I strongly suspect the western suburbs of Washington, DC are all in a similar boat.  

Home values in Bristow, VA have recovered a lot of lost ground since our crash, but they aren't quite where they were at the height of the boom.  A full recovery of lost value is still underway.  We are at about 85-90% of what those values were.   This is why our Bristow marketplace has been experiencing Short Sales every year since 2007.  Home owners are still under water to what they may owe, especially if they purchased on a 100% financed, interest only loan.

Should you wait until values are fully recovered to sell your existing Bristow, VA home and buy one that fits your current needs?  Considering the stable market conditions that have held values rather flat for the past year or so, we would need to see buyer demand out pace market supply.  I don't know if that is going to happen.  

What we do know is mortgage interest rates have started to rise.  What you could gain by waiting to get your pre-crash home value, you will likely lose in higher interest rates.  After all, interest rates make up the majority of your mortgage payment.  A few more thousand dollars down isn't going to make nearly the dent in your mortgage payment, as avoiding rising interest rates will save you.

You probably think that calling a real estate agent is something you do when you are sure you know the next move.  I am here to tell you that you can call me to give you the information you need to decide on your next step.  Without accurate information, tailored to your specific home's value, and a look at local market conditions, you are flying blind.   Get in touch with me for a free market analysis of your Bristow, VA's home.

Comments (7)

Roy Kelley
Retired - Gaithersburg, MD

This is good information to share with families on the move. Home sellers and home buyers will be in very good hands when they use your professional real estate services.

Dec 28, 2016 06:13 PM
Chris Ann Cleland

Thanks, Roy Kelley .

Dec 29, 2016 10:12 AM
Myrl Jeffcoat
Sacramento, CA
Greater Sacramento Realtor - Retired

Good information to consider for home buyers and sellers not only in your area, but across the nation!

Dec 28, 2016 06:28 PM
Chris Ann Cleland

Myrl Jeffcoat --While our home values may be different in terms of their state of recovery, those mortgage interest rates are going to affect everyone equally.

Dec 29, 2016 10:12 AM
Scott Godzyk
Godzyk Real Estate Services - Manchester, NH
One of the Manchester NH's area Leading Agents

I have seen a mix of values. Those good areas, good homes are at or even higher than pre crash levels. But some areas and homes are still below 2005 values.  Have a good day Chris Ann Cleland 

Dec 29, 2016 06:13 AM
Chris Ann Cleland

Scott Godzyk --I took a listing this year that I sold in 2006.  They paid $210K.  The comps were $115K.  That was in a further out area, however.  

Dec 29, 2016 10:13 AM
Michael Jacobs
Pasadena, CA
Pasadena And Southern California 818.516.4393

Hi Chris Ann -- this serves as a reality check for your area. Of course, each home is different as is each selling/buying scenario.  Your post serves as a good starting point in discussing market value in a community.   

Dec 29, 2016 08:07 AM
Chris Ann Cleland

Michael Jacobs --Some homes can pull really great prices because they are updated and maintained in optimum condition.

Dec 29, 2016 10:14 AM
Dick Greenberg
New Paradigm Partners LLC - Fort Collins, CO
Northern Colorado Residential Real Estate

Hi Chris Ann - Excellent overview and good advice for your Bristow clients. Our market has gone significantly beyond pre-crash levels and doesn't look like it's going to stop until we get some more inventory - and we have only a very few short sales and foreclosures.

Dec 29, 2016 11:18 AM
Chris Ann Cleland

Dick Greenberg --You are very fortunate to be among the markets that have gone beyond pre-crash values.

Dec 29, 2016 11:49 AM
Elizabeth Weintraub Sacramento Broker
Elizabeth Anne Weintraub, Broker - Sacramento, CA
Put 40 years of experience to work for you

I look at it more as to when they bought or refinanced here in Sacramento. If it was prior to 2009, local sellers in Sacramento most likely have equity. If it was 2009 to 2011, they could be underwater a little.

Dec 29, 2016 01:03 PM
Chris Ann Cleland

Elizabeth Weintraub Sacramento Real Estate Agent, Top 1% of Lyon Agents --I like that approach.

Dec 29, 2016 06:08 PM
Debbie Reynolds, C21 Platinum Properties
Platinum Properties- (931)771-9070 - Clarksville, TN
The Dedicated Clarksville TN Realtor-(931)320-6730

Our values never fell drastically but with that said it took a while for any appreciation to happen. It is a much more stable market than even 2-3 years ago.

Dec 30, 2016 06:50 AM
Chris Ann Cleland

Debbie Reynolds --Ours saw some really good years of increase, but the last two have been rather steady and very slight growth.  At that pace, it's going to be a while before we see pre-crash values again.

Dec 30, 2016 10:04 AM