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Pending home sales hit another low

By
Services for Real Estate Pros with Harlan and Associates, LLC

From CNN:

The number of homes under contract for sale fell in March, hitting a record low for the second consecutive month, according to a report released Wednesday.

The National Association of Realtors' (NAR) Pending Home Sales Index fell to 83 in March, down 1% from a downwardly revised reading of 83.8 in February. The rate of decline was in line with a consensus estimate of economists compiled by Briefing.com.

March's reading was down 20.1% from the same period last year and 35% from the index's peak in April 2005.

and from Bloomberg:

Fewer Americans signed contracts to buy previously owned homes in March for the second consecutive month as falling prices and tougher loan rules discouraged buyers.

The index of pending home resales fell 1 percent to 83, following a 2.8 percent drop in February that was larger than previously reported, the National Association of Realtors said today in Washington. The decline matched the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

The glut of unsold properties is driving down home values, while rising defaults on subprime mortgages have prompted lenders to restrict access to credit, representing more hurdles for buyers. The slump in residential real estate may persist for much of the year, hurting economic growth.

Yet another record low in the pending-sales index .

With home prices falling, inventory surging, and credit and mortgage options limited, the downward trend in home sales seems to have reasserted itself after a brief uptick last fall.

These latest NAR numbers, which show a continuing decline in pending home sales as well as a downward revision from the last report, only serve to confirm what's been said many times before: that we are still months away from a recovery in the real estate housing market.

The future does look bright, at least according to the NAR. The group maintains that sales will continue to drop for the first half of the year, but for the numbers to improve in the second half.

 

We'd love to be your metro-Atlanta closing attorneys. Want to know more? Contact us and we'll be happy to discuss how Harlan and Associates can be of service to you!

 

L. Wayne Denton
Denton Properties, Inc. - Loganville, GA
I have a handle on your market!!!

I really think that when we start presenting positive information, we will have an impact on our communities market.  EVERYBODY ALREADY KNOWS THE MARKET HAS SLOWED DOWN.  Now, isn't it time that we who want to continue in business related to real estate, do something to make a change happen.  If everyone continues to report every little negative item, guess where our client's focus will remain? 

Every where you look, hear about, touch, smell, taste has a positive side to it.  Go find something very positive for the next post and we'll all be better off.

I like your web site because I collect fancy pens and wondered if possibly that one could be a Waterman?  I especially like the fountain pens and the one I use most is an oversize Mount Blanc that an attorney gave to me some 10 years ago.  It has a large nib on it and because of that it presents a very bold positive stroke.

 

May 07, 2008 09:36 AM
Stephen A. Harlan
Harlan and Associates, LLC - Sandy Springs, GA
Esq.

I respectfully disagree, to a point: not everyone knows the market has slowed. A survey in February showed that 75% of homeowners do not believe that their home has lost value in the past year, which has led to completely unrealistic expectations on the part of a lot of home sellers who have completely overpriced their homes in today's market. The sooner everyone realizes the market we're in, the sooner we'll be able to make progress and get out of it.

Our office has traditionally has had a large real estate investor clientele, and we've been long believers that in knowledge lies power. Only by knowing and understanding the current overall market forces at play can anyone expect to thrive in today's housing environment - and this is especially true for real estate investors.

I agree that the negative news can be at times overwhelming, but unfortunately that's the market we're in. And despite Lawrence Yun's rosy predictions of a turnaround by the end of the year, things are probably going to get a whole lot worse before they get better - and even ex-NAR economist David Lerah (he of 2006's "Why the Real Estate Book Will Not Bust") now agrees. So what do we do? Blame it on the media? Point fingers? Or accept it, understand it, and work with it?

Again, knowing and understanding the overall market is what allows us to thrive: we see more and more agents handling and coordinating short sales, for example. In a down market, they have turned into huge business for some of the Realtors we work with - that is, they've turned the market to their advantage.

The pen is not in fact a Waterman - but thanks for looking and asking! I've got several Watermans, but this pen is made by ACME Pen studios, which make a bunch of fun and whimsical fountain pens. I've always enjoyed using them, because they're more dramatic to point with.

May 07, 2008 10:16 AM