Montgomery Alabama Local Market Conditions May - 08

By
Real Estate Agent with Apex Listings LLC Montgomery Alabama

What follows is a local monthly market conditions report for Montgomery Alabama.  This particular report is for the month of May, 2008.  Unemployment figures are provided for the previous reporting period.

In March, Montgomery MSA (Metropolitan Servicing Area) is listed as having a civilian labor force of 173,425 with 166,222 employed and an unemployment rate of 4.2%.  Since January 2008 the unemployment rate has varied from 4.1%(Jan), and 4.4%(Feb).  Alabama's unemployment rate (seasonably adjusted)increased to 4.1 percent up from 3.7% reported in February. Alabama's March rate was below the national rate of 5.1% (March) and the current national unemployment is being reported as 5.1%(April). Government jobs represent the highest number of jobs in Montgomery with 43.0% of the local work force. (U.S. Department of Labor Bureau, Labor Statistics)

The market remains slow with buyers looking for the better deals. Market concern may be a factor for some buyers but investors are still in the market helping in the sale of some depressed homes.  Some builders holding vacant new homes are making great deals and in some cases offering properties for rent and lease purchase to assist their bottom line.  A number of homes are being sold on the foreclosure market and these range in price from 30k up to over 350k. Theses comments and statistics are updated every month with new comments being added by the 10th of the month. 

The following information is derived from statistics extracted from the local Multiple Listing Service (MLS) for the month of April and includes the entire local area market to include the four counties of Montgomery (Montgomery and Pike Road City), Autauga (Prattville), Elmore (Millbrook and Wetumpka) and to a small degree Lowndes. A complete MLS map of the local area can be found on the http://RealtyVan.com web site at http://realtyvan.com/mls_search.html.

Total number of Houses Under Contract 511, is a decrease from last month (524) AND a major decrease from 637 over the same month last year.

Total number of Houses Sold and Closed 387, is a decrease from last month (473) AND a decrease from 522 over the same month last year.

Average Selling Price of homes this past month: $152,774 close to the same as last month ($150,671) and a decrease from $199,577 over the same month last year.

The Median Sales Price for the total market being $130,000.

On May 8, 2008 there were a total 3,554 properties on the market of which 652 were new construction. A new statistics which is now being included is the number of active homes which are also listed as vacant 1,654. Changes in the the number of homes listed as vacant may provide a future indication of possible home foreclosures.

A total recap for the year of 2007 using the complete MLS servicing area has the total number of properties sold as 5,393 totaling in price $905,179,202 with the average home selling for $167,843. representing 97.26 of the average listing price of $172,569 and averaging 92 days on the market.
A listing of all local Market condition reports can be found at: http://realtyvan.com/MarketConditions.html

The Montgomery Chamber of Commerce reports the top 10 local area employers as: 1. Maxwell Gunter AFB 12,280;  2. State of Alabama 9,500;  3. Baptist Health 4,300;  4. Montgomery Public Schools 3,700:  5. Alfa Insurance Companies 2,568;  6. City of Montgomery 2,500; 7. Hyundai Motor Manufacturing 2,000; 8. Operations and Sustainment Systems Group 1,943; 9. Jackson Hospital & Clinic 1,300; 10. Rheem manufacturing 1,050.  www.MontgomeryChamber.com  

Is the Montgomery market headed for a recession?  It is rather hard to find the statistics for my following observations but the logic appears to hold.  In analysing the major sources of income to the are it appears are 5 major sources of income which do not follow the trends which impact the nation as a whole.  First, Montgomery is the state capital and employees any number of state employees.  Does a state government ever cut jobs?  If the state government maintains current employment levels you hear of the hardship placed upon any number of state organizations.  Second, Montgomery supports Maxwell Air Force Base and its annex Gunter.  During the past decade when any number of base foreclosures occurred Maxwell only gained.  Third and Fourth, retirees from the state government and the military find the area most inviting due to the low cost of living and a property tax that is one of the lowest in the nation.  Since their retiree paycheck is more or less indexed to the economy this only adds to a stable income flow into the area.  Fifth, Montgomery was the previous  capital of the south and an undercurrent of "old" money still exists in the area.  So when other parts of the nation are affected from a turn down in the economy, Montgomery in my estimation is less effected.  In the future I will look for statistics which confirm or refute the above observations.

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Rainer
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Tom Davis
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Local folks in your market are probably appreciative, good info.

Tom Davis - Delaware Realtor

May 13, 2008 01:29 PM #1
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