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Gas Prices & Real Estate Values - Chicken, Egg, Issue or Non-Issue?

By
Real Estate Agent with Realty One Group Mountain Desert AZDRE# SA582422000

This weekend, the Arizona Daily Star ran an article that discussed increasing gas prices possibly affecting the price of homes in the suburbs.  In the article, a few homeowners talked about how their cost of commute had drastically increased, impacting their lifestyle.  Others spoke of the benefits outweighing the drawbacks.  The article posed the question of gas prices possibly causing the price of homes in outlying areas to decrease.

While I read the article, I couldn't help but start debating the issue on both sides, always returning to the same thought:  "This is really a discussion of lifestyle, and placing a monetary value on it."  Some will place a higher value on one or the other side...is it really an issue that will play much in the marketplace?

I look forward to some discussion on this topic!

 


        Kent Simpson
Kent Simpson REALTOR®, e-Certified®, AHS® (with The Pepper Group™ Diversified Real Estate): Real Estate Agent in Tucson, Pima County, Arizona  web counter

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Comments(24)

Mike Jones
SUNSTREET MORTGAGE, LLC (BK-0907366, NMLS 145171) - Tucson, AZ
Mike Jones NMLS 223495

Kent,

Drill in ANWAR!  What's the problem?  (and did Vishal text that comment in to your blog?)

Mike in Tucson

May 14, 2008 10:39 PM
Kent Simpson
Realty One Group Mountain Desert - Tucson, AZ
Real Estate Is About People

Vickie, Robert, Vishal, Sam & Mike - thanks for stopping by.  I'm enjoying the variety of thoughts so far!  Especially the creativity shown in texting in comments lol  A new AR innovation?

May 15, 2008 12:24 AM
Adam Waldman
Westcott Group Real Estate Company - Hauppauge, NY
Realtor - Long Island

KENT - At some point, it becomes a numbers game, just like any product.  By that I mean, at what point does it become more expensive to live further away from a major city?  Not just for gas, but also for all living expenses combined.  Different people have different reasons for choosing where they live.  In my area, you tend to get less for your money as you get closer to New York City.  The commute from further out is more expensive, but similar homes are less expensive.  If anything, I think that more people may look into public transportation or working closer to home.  The only way that home prices will drop because of gas is if people set their sights lower because they cannot afford to buy gas and a home.

May 15, 2008 12:31 AM
Chuck Willman
Chuck Willman - Alpine, UT
NewHouseUtah.com

I see a definite correlation between gas prices and distance people are willing to travel... however it appears to be related more to the low end of the market as far as I can see.

May 15, 2008 04:00 PM
Eric Murrietta
Homeowners Financial Group USA, LLC - Scottsdale, AZ

Cost of gas definitely impacts cost of living and therefore would impact the amount of home you can afford and where you can afford it.  Of course it is a discretionary expense (to a point) and one could scale back travel outside of the work commute to help with the costs.  However, I think a lot of it is psychological.  For example, we hardly notice the small changes from week to week and so become desensitized to it.  It is really only those people that are aware of the amount in total they spend on gas that may be affected.  The truth is that home prices and sales in places where there is a lack of infrastructure or far from jobs (queen creek, el mirage, goodyear, etc.) are being hit and cost of commute may be one reason.

P.S.  I would have loved to see the link connected to the article so I could have read the article as well as your blog. 

May 16, 2008 07:29 AM
Chuck Willman
Chuck Willman - Alpine, UT
NewHouseUtah.com

Wait a minute... can I inject some more contraversy? OK... what's with the price of diesel? My goodness!

May 16, 2008 12:24 PM
David Saks
Memphis, TN
Broker / Industry Analyst

Increasing gas prices are impacting the things we need most, Kent. I've heard predictions from gas station owners of five bucks a gallon before the end of July.

May 16, 2008 12:30 PM
Richard Weisser
Richard Weisser Realty - Newnan, GA
Richard Weisser Retired Real Estate Professional

Kent,

In our area, typical long commutes have really caused the more distant bedroom communities to flounder, while downtown Atlanta real estate is holding it's own!

This is directly related to the cost of gasoline.

May 16, 2008 01:04 PM
Cameron Wilson
Labrum Real Estate - Murrieta, CA
The Short Guy - Murrieta,Temecula,Menifee Californ

The rising cost of gas will affect all industries housing included.

May 18, 2008 12:18 PM
Kent Simpson
Realty One Group Mountain Desert - Tucson, AZ
Real Estate Is About People

I've been super-busy the past 10 days, so I regret not getting back to the 'Rain to follow up on comments.
Adam, Chuck, Eric, David, Richard & Cameron - thanks for your input.  Any other thoughts folks?

 

Chuck, I have to follow your lead on instigating some controversy (LOL):  will ethanol-producing areas benefit or start rising? 

May 19, 2008 04:04 PM
Melody Botting
Broker Associate PenFed Realty - San Antonio, TX
You Deserve The Best

The price of gas is affecting the way I do business.  I am giving out more referrals to other agents than ever before.

May 20, 2008 12:47 AM
Dale Baker
Baker Energy Audits and Commercial Properties Inspections - Claremont, NH
New Hampshire Relocation Real Estate Information

Howdy Kent

Seeing that New Hampshire and Vermont are both rural State's.

Most folk's here commute 36 mile and more, one way to work.

The cost of gas is dfinitely impacting folk's here. A long with cost of heating fuel to heat their home's in the winter.

I am paying $4.00 a gal. as of today. I do use the top grade of gas in my Jeep.

God Bless The U.S.A.

May 20, 2008 09:31 AM
Leslie Stewart
Oregon Licensed Broker with Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Real Estate Professionals - Stayton, OR
Realtor, ABR, CRS, Oregon Licensed Broker

The cost of gas and groceries is having profound impact on the market here. I have never in my 17 years of real estate seen it this slow.  I live in a rural area and my husband works in a local lumber mill  in our home town.  My office is 20 miles away.  I have hooked up wireless internet in order to work more from home and not drive if I don't absolutely HAVE to go to the office.  Home prices in our home town have always been less money than those in the larger cities.  They are dropping in price like everything else. 

May 20, 2008 10:02 AM
Jim Crawford
Long & Foster - Fredericksburg, VA
Jim Crawford Broker Associate Fredericksburg VA

It is a major issue.  In the late 70's real estate values in the exburbs plunged! So did the value of getaway homes.

May 20, 2008 11:48 AM
Kent Simpson
Realty One Group Mountain Desert - Tucson, AZ
Real Estate Is About People

Melody - I'm being more selective in when and how often I'm willing to just drive over somewhere.

Dale - $4 a gallon already?  I'll count my lucky stars we aren't there...yet.

Leslie - sorry to hear things are so slow for you--hopefully they'll pick up soon.

Jim - there are a lot of parallels to the 1970s in many different aspects.

May 20, 2008 01:55 PM
Barrie Clulow
My Time Is My Own - Uxbridge, ON

Kent - The rising cost of fuel was a small factor in my retiring. At todays rates that is about $500 a month I am no longer spending. It is fast approaching, and will probably exceed $1,000 in pre tax income that I do not need to have or could spend on other things.

May 22, 2008 12:25 AM
Dale Baker
Baker Energy Audits and Commercial Properties Inspections - Claremont, NH
New Hampshire Relocation Real Estate Information

Howdy Kent

my friend

Thank ya for stopping by. I have written a response to your question.

Now heres something for ya to think about, this was said in Washington D.C.

Gas to be up to $7.00 a gallon by med. to late summer, up to $12.00 a gallon by winter.

God Bless The U.S.A.

May 23, 2008 04:23 PM
Dale Baker
Baker Energy Audits and Commercial Properties Inspections - Claremont, NH
New Hampshire Relocation Real Estate Information

Howdy Kent

My friend is everything ok with ya ?

Ain't seen ya for a few day's now, in the rain community.

God Bless The U.S.A.

May 27, 2008 02:42 PM
Kent Simpson
Realty One Group Mountain Desert - Tucson, AZ
Real Estate Is About People

I'm here, Dale - thanks for your concern...just got caught up in doing other things non-work related for a change!  Now about that $7 gas...we'll see it, but not real soon:  nobody wants revolution in the streets!

May 27, 2008 03:45 PM
Dale Baker
Baker Energy Audits and Commercial Properties Inspections - Claremont, NH
New Hampshire Relocation Real Estate Information

Howdy Kent

Thank ya for stopping by to visit.

I think some one dose, but it not anyone here in the U.S., I can't say who it is. Bot this has been in the works for some time. Even before the war. I was over there for the first one.

God Bless The U.S.A.

May 28, 2008 01:45 PM