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Market Optimism, true or False?

By
Home Builder with Phillip Wallace Homes, LLC

After digesting the March housing data for our nation I sence optimism. Not because of the small increase in housing starts or the a rebound in building permits, but because it seems we have adjusted to the economic and real estate information out their. I sence that for the most part we have accepted the current state of our market.

As a builder, it is crucial that I "live in today" and make plans that are taylored for my situation. So reading positive tidbits even though the sales environment is sluggish gives e hope. We are accepting our situation and adjusting our business' accordingly.

I see that total housing starts have posted monthly increases in three of the last four months. I also see that April was the first month in over a year in which single-family permits posted a monthly gain. But what does that mean? It is spring, right? We historically see more starts in spring, right? Does this indicate that hesitant buyers will move off of the sidelines as mentioned by one analyst, or should I interpret this as expected, but still below average? Add to this the state of the current mortgage rates, which are historically low and buyers for the most part can make great deals, and confusion sets in....again.

Well, at least some people are building and buying homes. And most of us believe that it could not get much worse.

And at the heals of the past year or so, thats optimistic.

 

Comments(5)

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Russ Ravary ~ Metro Detroit Realtor call (248) 310-6239
Real Estate One - Commerce, MI
Michigan homes for sale ~ yesmyrealtor@gmail.com

In Metro Detroit you need to be positive, but I don't think our market is going to improve for a few years. 

May 19, 2008 01:58 PM
Dennis Sanchez
Coldwell Banker Tenafly - Hackensack, NJ

It seems that the market is making a change for the better, but there is still a lot of competition.  We need more quality homes and properly staged.  Either that or lower prices

May 19, 2008 01:59 PM
Heather the Realtor Orlando, Lake Mary
LemonTree Realty - Orlando, FL
First Time Home Buyers, Bank Owned Homes

Russ I feel for you poor detriot. What potential it has in the old factory buildings, the state needs to do more to attrach business. Your housing market wasnt affected by housing but it's own economy. Good blog Phillip

May 19, 2008 02:03 PM
Phillip Wallace
Phillip Wallace Homes, LLC - Fayetteville, GA

Again, I build custom homes. With new construction, the fact is the cost to build has gone up, not down. Any petroleum based component went up automatically, shingles for instance. Any component that requires a lot of fuel to make is rising steadily, concrete and drywall for instance. The remaining components are more expensive to deliver due to higher transportation costs. Lumber, even though at a low, is still higher than it needs to be because it has to be transported from the forest to the building lot.

The good news is that my customers seem to be aware of this. They are adjusting by either lowering expectation, or just accepting the cost.

I do believe the changes are for the best. We are adapting, and learning from the past.

 

May 19, 2008 02:13 PM
Sonja Babic
Sonja Babic/PRIME Realty NC, LLC - New Bern, NC
New Bern NC, PRIME Realty NC, LLC

I am starting to see some positive changes here in my market, and people that are still here and working are actually doing very good job!

May 19, 2008 02:21 PM