NUMBERS DON’T LIE

By
Real Estate Agent with Century 21 Olde Tyme

  

I am going to reprint this as I received it from California Bankruptcy website.  One reason is, I don't want you to think this is made up and yes, I know we are not to copy information directly.  However, this so staggered me that I just had to pass it on.

 We all know to well that the housing market is in deep trouble.  We have talked it to death.  It seems to me there are two camps in the thinking of the on going situation, those that say their business couldn't be better and those that are really struggling to stay afloat in the business.

 Just to let you know I live in California and I am one of those struggling and that story is for another blog.

 2008 Q1 FORCLOSURE STATS SHOW DIRE STATE OF INDUSTRY.

  Foreclosure statistics for the first quarter of 2008 were released this week, and, as predicted, things are getting worse for the housing market.  Q1 of this year saw a 23% rise over foreclosure filings from Q4 2007, and 112% rise over Q1 of 2007.

 In raw numbers, around 650,000 homes have between repossessed, or 1 in every 194 households in America.

  -foreclosures increased in 46 states and in 90 of the nation's 100 largest metro areas.

 -previously "safe" areas saw massive foreclosure filing: Connecticut saw 300% increase, while Massachusetts saw a 260% increase.

 -the worst area for foreclosures is the Southwest, specifically California, Nevada and Arizona.  Foreclosure hit 1 of every 54 homes in Nevada, and 1 in 44 homes in Las Vegas.  Stockton, California remains the epicenter of the crisis, with 1 in 30 homes being foreclosed, with Riverside/San Bernardino coming in second with 1 in 38 homes foreclosed.

 If we were to look at the total economy of  the United States, and especially California, Nevada and Arizona you will see that the gas has gone from $3.00 per gallon a year ago to $5.00 in  some areas now,  and at the least $ 4.89 per gallon. Food costs across the board have gone up in the first quarter by 6%.  People are not buying cars, furniture, going out to eat, remodeling their homes, going to movies, theya re opting to do their own yard work instead of having a gardener. and they are not going on vacations the way they were a year ago.  People area cutting back in every area of their lives and most if not all of this began with the housing market tumble.

 People are holding off selling their homes in the most devastated area due to the glut of houses they can buy for less because they are foreclosures.

 For the nay sayers I would say this, IF your market is good and you are still making the same money you did a year ago they I bless you and hope it continues, for those of you paddling in my boat, just put on your life jacket and keep rowing.

 Cowgirl 





Comments (11)

Connie Tebyani
Platinum Home Staging, Inc. : RESA-Pro - Calabasas, CA
Platinum Home Staging, Los Angeles and Ventura County

One inportant aspect of the foreclosure market that is NEVER mentioned in any of these statistics  are the number of homes that the mortgage companies are negotiating.  Yes, within the title relm of "foreclosures" are what the banks are reporting - yet record numbers of home owners are actualy able to GET THEIR ACCOUNTS CURRENT and KEEP THEIR HOMES while negotiating with the banks.

How many of the banks report a "once in foreclosure, but now it's not" scenerio?

Jun 14, 2008 07:37 AM
Matthew J Blum - (retired from the business)
Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Roberta, THese are very scary numbers.  I have seen in Florida the return of the investor lately.

Jun 14, 2008 07:52 AM
Roberta Lee
Century 21 Olde Tyme - Norco, CA
Norco Corona Riversid Homes For Sale

  Connie

While I appreciat what you are saying, and I know it is true, what is effecting the market and the economic situation of the country right now is the foreclosure rate.  I am happy for those that are being able to renegotiate their loans, but for those that weren't able it's "too little to late."  Still the foreclosure rate is what it is.  The numbers that we see do not include those that had the opprotunity to work with their lenders because they never foreclosed on that  home.

Thanks for stopping by and commenting and keep rowing.

 

Cowgirl







Jun 14, 2008 08:25 AM
Roberta Lee
Century 21 Olde Tyme - Norco, CA
Norco Corona Riversid Homes For Sale

Matthew

Good to see you!!! Thanks for stopping by and commenting. 

  Yes, they are scary and what's more scary is that they say the worst is yet to come.  Like I said to Connie above there are those that are being able to negotiate with their lenders and that's a good thing, what I didn't say is...there are still lenders out there that will NOT negotiate with the owner.  What are they thinking? 

 

Cowgirl





Jun 14, 2008 08:28 AM
Cowboy Gonzalez
Keller Williams - Norco - Norco, CA
This Cowboy rides the extra mile.

We all know to well that the housing market is in deep trouble.  We have talked it to death.  It seems to me there are two camps in the thinking of the on going situation, those that say their business couldn't be better and those that are really struggling to stay afloat in the business.

 Just to let you know I live in California and I am one of those struggling and that story is for another blog.

 2008 Q1 FORCLOSURE STATS SHOW DIRE STATE OF INDUSTRY.

  Foreclosure statistics for the first quarter of 2008 were released this week, and, as predicted, things are getting worse for the housing market.  Q1 of this year saw a 23% rise over foreclosure filings from Q4 2007, and 112% rise over Q1 of 2007.

 In raw numbers, around 650,000 homes have between repossessed, or 1 in every 194 households in America.

  -foreclosures increased in 46 states and in 90 of the nation's 100 largest metro areas.

 -previously "safe" areas saw massive foreclosure filing: Connecticut saw 300% increase, while Massachusetts saw a 260% increase.

 -the worst area for foreclosures is the Southwest, specifically California, Nevada and Arizona.  Foreclosure hit 1 of every 54 homes in Nevada, and 1 in 44 homes in Las Vegas.  Stockton, California remains the epicenter of the crisis, with 1 in 30 homes being foreclosed, with Riverside/San Bernardino coming in second with 1 in 38 homes foreclosed.

 If we were to look at the total economy of  the United States, and especially California, Nevada and Arizona you will see that the gas has gone from $3.00 per gallon a year ago to $5.00 in  some areas now,  and at the least $ 4.89 per gallon. Food costs across the board have gone up in the first quarter by 6%.  People are not buying cars, furniture, going out to eat, remodeling their homes, going to movies, theya re opting to do their own yard work instead of having a gardener. and they are not going on vacations the way they were a year ago.  People area cutting back in every area of their lives and most if not all of this began with the housing market tumble.

 People are holding off selling their homes in the most devastated area due to the glut of houses they can buy for less because they are foreclosures.

 For the nay sayers I would say this, IF your market is good and you are still making the same money you did a year ago they I bless you and hope it continues, for those of you paddling in my boat, just put on your life jacket and keep rowing.

Jul 03, 2008 08:51 AM
Fred Carver Personal Real Estate Corporation
RE/MAX Camosun Victoria BC Real Estate - Victoria, BC
Accredited Real Estate Consultant

Hi Reberta-Lee..sorry it's been a while since I dropped by. This is a serious story, It'll take a number of years to see a change. If people do not have to sell their home they'll have to wait, the only thing that will change the market is the inventory changing, as long as there are more homes than buyers, then prices will continue to decline...Don't you wish you could take all those homes off the market and just put enough For Sale for the number of Buyers there are? Home prices would stop declining over night.

Banks are to blame too, they should know better than to offer all their bad mortgage properties for sale at once, they are deluting there own market and running the risk of not getting their loan(mortgage) funds back. Here Lenders would live a Seller in a home and not force them out, even if they cannot make a mortgage payment.

We all will look back and say I wish I had bought then...hopefully you're nearing the bottom, as it's a huge buying opportunity for Buyers and a huge selection of homes to choice from, the smart home Buyers will be buying.

Good luck, thanks for sharing your story with us all in the the Rain!

Aug 23, 2008 03:09 AM
Bill Ladewig
LoanOfficerSchool.com - Escondido, CA
Experience Is Your Advantage

Hi Roberta Lee, 

It is a mess and getting messier but the good news is: "this too shall pass", in the meantime I'm rowing as fast as I can.

Aug 23, 2008 05:38 AM
Jay Lundeen
Jim Maloof REALTOR - Morton, IL

It is difficult for a lot of people especially for those that were lulled into believing they could live out of their means.

Aug 23, 2008 05:43 AM
LLoyd Nichols
Premier Florida Realty of SWFL - Fort Myers, FL
Southwest Florida Homes By The Sea

The truth hurts and we cannot deny these numbers, however I have seen not only in my area higher numbers of sales in the last quarters. It has been devastating for many in the country but some believe we are half way out of trouble.

Sep 09, 2008 04:49 PM
Mike Montague
sales representative : Keller Williams Experience Realty - Barrie, ON
"Who Moves You?"

When change comes, and it always does, there will be a whole generation who have come by most things pretty easy up to now, who now have gained a healthy respect of finances and investment. Our industry will be stronger than ever when it does, and for the next 4 (8) years you have a more than capable leader to encourage it. Hang in there.

Nov 25, 2008 02:02 PM
Roberta Lee
Century 21 Olde Tyme - Norco, CA
Norco Corona Riversid Homes For Sale

To all of you that commented on this blog I sincerely apologize for being out of touch for seven months.  Let's just say that it has been not only hard for the nation but for some of us as individuals as well.  I want to thank all of you that took your time to comment and give not only your thoughts on the blog, but your insight and advise.

 Coming back to Active Rain is like coming home after a long time gone.  So many new things that I have to learn all over again, new formats, new headings, and I'm sure new rules.  If I overstep my bounds please excuse me and let me know.  After all that is how we learn.

 Any comments or advise is appreciated.

 I'm glad to be back!  In case I haven't made it to my home page to edit it yet here is my email address;  rlwhitedov@ca.rr.com

Jan 18, 2009 06:07 AM

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