September 2020 San Francisco Real Estate Market Update

By
Real Estate Agent with Park North Real Estate CA DRE# 01893222

In September the median sales price for single family homes was up again year-over-year as well as compared to August, while the condo/ loft market continued to see decreases over the same periods. Condo pricing has softened due to large inventory on the market as discussed in last month's update. The condo market has been slowly eroding for about the last year, but COVID seems to have sped up the process. 

 

I also included 3rd quarter stats here. Read them all below.

 

Median Price September:

Single family home prices rose 9.5% year-over-year, while condos and lofts decreased 8.9%. As you can see in the 2nd chart, it's the $2 million-plus segment of the condo market that took the greatest hit in September.

3rd Quarter Median Price:

The third quarter mirrored what we saw for median prices in September. Single family home prices rose 5.2% over the quarter, while condo and loft prices decreased by almost 2%.

New Listings September:

New listings for both single family homes and condo/ lofts decreased year-over-year in September. There were also fewer listings than in August of this year. September is typically the start of the Fall selling season and when we usually see an uptick in inventory after a languid summer. 2020, though, has been anything but usual. The March shelter-in-place resulted in a lot of sellers either temporarily pulling their listing or holding off on selling until things settled down. As a result we had more listings than usual over the summer, and now as we approach the election that may be slowing down.

3rd Quarter New Listings:
Given the above, it's not surprising that we saw an increase in listings for the quarter. We saw a big uptick in listings in July as a result of the delayed Spring selling season. Single family home new listings were up 15% for the quarter Condos and lofts saw an almost 44% increase in new listings.

Active Listings September:

Active listings, the number of listings for sale at the end of the month, increased for both single family homes and condos/ lofts. A lot of new homes came on the market over the summer and it's taking some of them more time to sell through. Single family home active listings were up 10% while condos and lofts were up 71%.

3rd Quarter Active Listings:
Both single family homes and condo and loft active listings were up also for the quarter; the former were up 33% and the latter were up 100%.

Percentage of Properties Selling Over List Price September:

With more inventory on the market and sellers pricing closer to their target now that there are no public open houses to drive up demand, the percentage of homes selling over their list price has been decreasing. In September 65% of single family homes sold for over their list price, down over 11% year-over-year, while almost 33% of condos and lofts did, a decrease of almost 44%.

Q3 Percentage of Properties Selling Over List Price:

In the third quarter 65% of listings sold over list price, down about 18%. Condos and lofts saw 38% selling over list price, down 40% and overall slightly more than September. This is a reflection of more inventory on the market, especially for condos, as well as more transparent pricing.

Average Percentage of List Price Received September:
In September single family homes sold for an average of 107% of list price, down 4.5%. Condos and lofts sold for an oaverage of 100.1%, down 4.8% year over year.

Q3 Average Percentage of List Price Received:

Similar to September, single family homes on average sold for 107% of their list price, down 6.5% compared to the same timeframe last year. Condos and lofts sold for an average of 100.6% of list price, down 5.5%.

Months Supply of Inventory:

MSI was up for all properties in September. Single family homes had 3.8 months of inventory, up 15% year over year. Condos and lofts had 7.5 months, up 92%. As I discussed in last month's blog, not all neigbhorhoods are experiencing this the same. I broke down the areas with the greatest MSI in that blog.

Q3 Months Supply of Inventory:

Similarly MSI for all properties were up for Q3. Single family homes had 4.2 months of inventory, up almost 45%, while condos and lofts had 7.6 months of inventory over the quarter, up 130%.

Average Days on Market September:

Single family homes spent an average of 25 days on market, down almost 11% compared to September 2019. Condos and lofts spend 42 days on the market on average, up 31.3%.

Q3 Average Days on Market:
Single family homes spent an average of 25 days on the market before accepting an offer, the same as the 3rd quarter last year. Condos and loft spent 39 days on average, up almost 26% compared to the same timeframe in 2019.

 

The fine print: All information deemed reliable but not guaranteed or warranted. Data comes from MLS so does not include off-market and most new construction condo sales. The San Francisco real estate market is dynamic so statistics can change on a daily basis. These statistics are meant to be a snapshot of the day and time they were pulled.

Posted by

 

Debra Donovan

Park North Real Estate

Direct: (415) 518-3489

Email: DebDonovanSF@gmail.com

Website: DebDonovanSF.com

 

For more information about the San Francisco or Oakland-area real estate market, reach out to me directly at (415) 518-3489 or email at debdonovansf@gmail.com. To sign up for my monthly newsletter, click here.

 

 

 


 

 

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