Low Low Low Low Inventory

By
Real Estate Agent with KELLER WILLIAMS ALASKA GROUP

By Cora Carleson:

I know, I know, I have said this all summer, but now….it’s even more true!  We actually have people out there who have money, and cannot find a home to suit their needs! I have had multi offers on a listing where of the 5 offers 2 of them were CASH!  So here are a few things that happen when inventory is low……

Prices go up!  Yup that old Supply and Demand thing.  If there isn’t much the price goes up!  If you are just thinking about maybe you might want to sell your house in the next 12 months, now is your opportunity get the most for it.

Values go up. Just because prices go up, doesn’t necessarily mean that values go up.  I know that sounds strange, but here is how real estate works with value. Appraisers use information from 6 moths to a year ago.  A year ago, our market isn’t were it is today!  So if a home is sold today for $300,000, an appraiser will go back and look at all the homes that are similar that have sold in the last 12 months.  Now, when we are in a hot market like we are now, they will sometimes go only 6 months back.  But even 6 months ago, the market wasn’t as tight as it is now.  So, with prices going up, the appraisal value must meet that price.  If the data the appraisers are using is 12 months old, it’s not going to appraise for its actual value today.  I hope that makes sense to you.  What I am saying is that values tend to lag behind a bit, and appraisers can only use sales comparables that have sold and closed!  In our market, we are seeing not just prices going up, but values as well. This means that our increasing market has lasted more that 6 months. 

New home starts.  Usually when we see a market like this, we see an abundance of new home starts. This year, we are a little different.  Because of covid, a lot of the new home starts didn’t….start! April and May are busy months for contractors, but with that nasty virus, it made things really difficult in this industry.  Builders were having that typical problem of not having enough labor to meet the construction demand.  Add to that the material shortages, and price increases we have the trifecta of a new construction shortfall for 2021.  Builders have had a terrible time this year keeping their budgets in line because materials are increasing so quickly, and their contracts already signed with new home buyers, they are having a terrible time just meeting the most modest of profit margins.  I expect to see the shortage of new construction to last into the 2021 season just because they are already behind the power curve just going into a new season.  I am comfortable in predicting that for the next 5 years, new construction will be behind.

Anxiousness to buy.  This is a result of the low interest rates.  When rates get this low, (I just closed on for 2.59%) there is an anxiety about missing out.  And sometimes, people will buy anything just because they don’t want to miss out.  Now, I would not suggest that you buy “anything” but you actually may be able to sell your current home and purchase a larger home and even though you are going to pay more that home, the difference in your interest rate and being able to use your equity to use as a down payment for the new and remove the mortgage insurance, (scheesh that’s a lot of words) your new and larger home may actually be the same house payment! Something to think about.

Investment properties. With rates this low, now is the time to buy an investment property.  You just cannot go wrong.  Really.  If you want to jump into that market, now is the time.  If you are a veteran, you can actually purchase a mulit family, live in one unit and rent out the other(s) and get into that multi unit market with ZERO down payment.  What, whoa, Really? Yes really!  This is the best way to start on the road to building that portfolio for yourself and your future. 

15 year mortgages. Right now the rate on a 30 year and a 15 year aren’t enough different to get really excited about.  However, with rates this low, you can actually increase your principle payment and take a big juicy bite out of that mortgage balance every month!  It’s so, so easy.  You still have a 30 year mortgage, so if things get a little tight, you can make your regular payment, but if you can – increase that payment – you can take years off your mortgage and who wins on that one? YOU DO!

So, what to do now.  Look multi family, see if you can buy a bigger more awsomer (I doubt that’s a word) home and see how close your payment is to your current home. Don’t miss out on rates, and know that if you do call me and put your home up for sale, it’s going to sell very quickly!

 

So, Remember, call me if you are interested in selling or buying!  Call me, I’ll ge your go to gal!

  

 

Comments (11)

Laura Cerrano
Feng Shui Manhattan Long Island - Locust Valley, NY
Certified Feng Shui Expert, Speaker & Researcher

I don’t know that much about Arkansas but thank you for the information via your blog, Cora!

Nov 01, 2020 05:53 PM
John Pusa
Berkshire Hathaway Home Services Crest - Glendale, CA
Your All Time Realtor With Exceptional Service

Hello Cora Carleson low inventory is a serious issue in most market..

Nov 01, 2020 06:51 PM
John Pusa
Berkshire Hathaway Home Services Crest - Glendale, CA
Your All Time Realtor With Exceptional Service

Welcome to the ActiveRain community. Congratulations on your first post.

Nov 01, 2020 06:52 PM
Paul S. Henderson, REALTOR®, CRS
Fathom Realty Washington LLC - Tacoma, WA
South Puget Sound Washington Agent/Broker!

Congratulations on posting this first post. It will probably be the hardest post you ever write. Congratulations on choosing ActiveRain Cora Carleson 

Nov 01, 2020 07:05 PM
Kathy Schowe
California Lifestyle Realty - La Quinta, CA
La Quinta, California 760-333-8886

Cora Carleson ,  What a wonderful post!  And a clear picture of the market now- in your area- and in ours as well.  Welcome to ActiveRain!  Kathy

Nov 01, 2020 10:13 PM
Matthew Klinowski, PA
Downing-Frye - Naples, FL
Golf Community Real Estate Specialist

Good morning Cora, congratulations on your first post. Welcome to ActiveRain. I hope you find the platform helpful.

Nov 02, 2020 05:09 AM
George Souto
George Souto NMLS #65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages - Middletown, CT
Your Connecticut Mortgage Expert

Cora Carleson welcome to ActiveRain and congratulations for successfully posting your first blog on this site.

Nov 02, 2020 04:26 PM
Cora Carleson
KELLER WILLIAMS ALASKA GROUP - Anchorage, AK
Existing homes, new construction, commercial, land

So just to be clear, AK is Alaska.  I know it seems strange but Alabama took our "L" so we had to use AK.  Most everyone things we are Arkensas but that is AR.  Our problem here is labor shortage and supply shortage.  I am encouraging all my clients NOT to build this year.  You cannot get supplies and if you can, very expensive - kind of a mess!

Nov 03, 2020 11:40 AM
Michael J. Perry
KW Elite - Lancaster, PA
Lancaster, PA Relo Specialist

Supply & Demand is king of the Hill  ! We have scarcity in all of our Price Points under $400,000

Nov 03, 2020 04:01 PM
Will Hamm
Hamm Homes - Aurora, CO
"Where There's a Will, There's a Way!"

Hello Cora and Welcome to the Rain where we all learn from each other and help each other.  Looking forward for more blogs from you!

 

Nov 08, 2020 09:24 AM
AJ Heidmann ~ CRS
McEnearney Associates, Inc. - Alexandria, VA
YOUR Alexandria & Arlington, VA Real Estate Expert

Cora ~ Welcome into the 'Rain and congrats on a great first blog post!  I look forward to seeing more of these from you...

Jan 01, 2021 08:46 AM