Special offer

Record High Prices, Yet all I Hear is Gloom and Doom

By
Real Estate Agent with eXp Realty 2021016812

There seems to be a big difference between reality and perception in the real estate business.

While looking at the numbers for Oahu (Honolulu County) for May 2008 something jumped off the page at me.  The median price for condos and townhouses hit a record all time high.  The median price for single family homes was just a hair short of the record high.

How many times have I heard buyers are waiting for the market to bottom?  They may be waiting a long time here.  The market has gone up not down.

Dream HomeOUR MARKET IS NOT CRASHING AND BURING! 

Prices have held and even climbed a little.  Interest rates have remained low.  Sales volume is down; but the inventory has gone down proportionately in many of the areas.  There are a few communities that have seen drops in price due to supply and demand issues created by new development competing with resale homes.  Those areas are the exception, not the rule.  Many areas have remained steady like Mililani, and some have seen increases.

I am constantly hearing from struggling agents how the market is dropping and how bad it is out there.  I can bet very few of them ever looked at the actual numbers.  I run the numbers every month in the communities I service.

Recently an agent called me three times to insist one of my listings was priced too high, before showing it to her clients.  She had not seen the home and not looked at the numbers.  I recommended she do both before drawing an opinion and before giving advice to her clients. She kept insisting the market was dropping fast.  I asked her where she got her numbers from. Her response was that it was common knowledge.  I let her know that was not what I was seeing and the numbers were not reflecting that.

Two sources of some agents gloom and doom attitude is:

  1. Constant negative reports in the news media.
  2. A slow down of their own business. 

Sales volume is down.  Multitudes of part time and hobbyist agents are struggling.  Their lack of marketing and presence in the market place is just not cutting it.  Clients know the market is changing and are looking for a professional to guide them through it.  Many of full time professionals I know are doing quite well.  The last two months my business has been the busiest I have ever seen.  I am hoping to finish 2008 with my biggest year yet.

So what does this all mean?

For agents:

  1. Know your market, know your numbers.
  2. Increase your marketing.  You need to have name recognition and you need to gain market share when sales volume is down.
  3. Do not skimp on education.  Clients want the highest trained professionals they can find.
  4. Have a business plan; success does not come by accident.
  5. Keep a positive attitude; no one wants to work with a defeated agent.

For buyers and sellers:

  1. Use a top professional who knows the market and knows the proper strategies.
  2. Interview the agent before committing to them. If you are listing a home, have them present their marketing plan for your home before signing anything.
  3. Real estate is local.  Be sure you know the real facts for your market and the particular neighborhood you are looking at.
  4. Buying or selling a home is a team effort.  Be sure you know your role and the agent's role in the process.
  5. If you are a buyer, ask the agent for the names of a few top loan officers who work your community.

With so much irresponsible press, our role as industry professionals includes keeping the public informed as to the actual market conditions in your communities.

Posted by

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Randy L. Prothero, REALTOR®

Broker-in-Charge, ABR, AHWD, CRB, CRS, e-PRO, GRI, MRP, SFR

eXp Realty

Team Leader - "The Prothero Group"

Randy Prothero is well established as an expert in working with military / VA clients and first time home buyers.  His home seller's (listing) campaign is one of the most aggressive marketing programs in the area.  His luxury home listings sell faster and for more money.

Based out of Mililani, Hawaii. Randy services the island of Oahu (Honolulu County) Performs mediations and ombudsman services for the Board of Realtors.  To improve overall professionalism in his area Randy also offers classes for real estate agents. 

www.HawaiiRandy.comOahu (Honolulu County) Property Search  Hawaii Military Relocations

Comments(31)

Randy L. Prothero
eXp Realty - Hollister, MO
Missouri REALTOR, (808) 384-5645

Mindy & Jay - :)

Mihaela - You are right.  it seems they are trying to create the news rather than report it.

Jun 24, 2008 02:27 PM
Marchel Peterson
Results Realty - Spring, TX
Spring TX Real Estate E-Pro

Randy, Our prices are up also, not by much mind you but they are at all time highs even if it is only a 1% higher than last year.  The news prefers the doom and gloom.

Jun 24, 2008 03:41 PM
Randy L. Prothero
eXp Realty - Hollister, MO
Missouri REALTOR, (808) 384-5645

Marchel - It is the same everywhere.

Jun 24, 2008 05:53 PM
Jesse Clifton
Jesse Clifton & Associates - Fairbanks, AK

Outstanding post, Randy.  We're a little sluggish here but our prices are still climbing... albeit slowly.  Folks waiting for the bottom here might have a long wait as well.  Excellent points!

Jun 24, 2008 06:33 PM
Randy L. Prothero
eXp Realty - Hollister, MO
Missouri REALTOR, (808) 384-5645

Jesse - You can never time the bottom.  They will only know it hit the bottom when it starts climbing.

Jun 24, 2008 07:23 PM
Jenniffer Lee
RE/MAX Complete Solutions - Boca Raton, FL
Broker/Owner/Realtor at RE/MAX Complete Solutions

Great post!  You are right, the media is creating a false sense of gloom.  You are also right that when business slows we need to market more.  Many agents have cut back, but that is the opposite of most successful businesses would do in slow down.

Jun 25, 2008 02:51 AM
Randy L. Prothero
eXp Realty - Hollister, MO
Missouri REALTOR, (808) 384-5645

Jennifer - The ones cutting back are also the ones that are the slowest.

Jun 25, 2008 04:22 AM
Margaret Woda
Long & Foster Real Estate, Inc. - Crofton, MD
Maryland Real Estate & Military Relocation

Just when we think we know it all, we take a class and find out...

Jun 25, 2008 10:05 AM
Randy L. Prothero
eXp Realty - Hollister, MO
Missouri REALTOR, (808) 384-5645

Margaret - I know I always have more to learn.  I used to think I had seen it all; since becoming a real estate agent I see something new every month (sometimes every week).

Jun 25, 2008 07:56 PM
Michael Fowler
Fowler Realty Quad Cities - Davenport, IA
Broker, Owner Fowler Realty

Our market in the midwest is one of the most conservative and is completely in a downturn.

Jul 01, 2008 03:24 PM
Randy L. Prothero
eXp Realty - Hollister, MO
Missouri REALTOR, (808) 384-5645

Michael - I am sure there are some positive things happening in there.  Possibly some really good values for buyers and investors?

Jul 01, 2008 04:38 PM
Amanda Pangelina
Benicia, CA

Randy!

Great post! I've been thinking more seriously about moving to Hawaii in the next 2 years. My thought was when I do to get back in RE but wasn't sure how your market was holding up. Your post is VERY helpful in helping make my decision and starting the game plan!

-Amanda Pangelina

Jul 07, 2008 04:51 AM
Randy L. Prothero
eXp Realty - Hollister, MO
Missouri REALTOR, (808) 384-5645

Amanda - I just posted the statewide stats for June.  Oahu has been very stable for price, but down considerably for sales volume.

Jul 07, 2008 06:42 AM
Pete Jalbert
The Maui Real Estate Team, Inc. - Paia, HI
R(S)

Randy, Sounds like Oahu is seeing the same trends as Maui on volume. The official stats aren't out, but looking at MLS numbers, we saw a big dip in volume.

Jul 07, 2008 02:14 PM
Randy L. Prothero
eXp Realty - Hollister, MO
Missouri REALTOR, (808) 384-5645

Pete, Here are the stats statewide:  Hawaii - State Wide Resale Home Sales for June 2008

 

 

Jul 07, 2008 10:41 PM
Kelsey Barklow
Hurd Realty - Johnson City, TN
423/948-9154

Seems I'm the only one here without a photo or tags. Anyway, great post. Nicely said. I love the team part - it's so true and I think it needs to be put out there in the beginning so everyone understands their part in the process.

Feb 25, 2009 12:34 AM
Randy L. Prothero
eXp Realty - Hollister, MO
Missouri REALTOR, (808) 384-5645

Kelsey - I see you photo and tag line.  If we are not all on the page with the same goals, it will be hard to find success.

Feb 26, 2009 04:01 PM
Scott Guay
Berkshire Hathaway Home Services PenFed Realty - Ocean Pines, MD
Associate Broker. Ocean City and Ocean Pines MD

Knowing your market is key when representing buyers or sellers. Follow the trends and be ahead of the game.

Oct 14, 2009 05:50 AM
Rob Lang
At Home Kansas - Shawnee, KS
Local Expert in NE Central Kansas Real Estate Home

 

 

 

How is the market doing now? Do you have enough homes to sell? We are running out.

 

 

 

Mar 15, 2012 04:50 PM
Randy L. Prothero
eXp Realty - Hollister, MO
Missouri REALTOR, (808) 384-5645

Rob - Inventory is down and sales are up. Prices have been climbing the last few months.  It has been a buyers market for so long it is nice to see a sellers market again.

Mar 16, 2012 06:50 PM