What's Happening with Home Prices?

By
Real Estate Agent with HomeSmart 0561240

Many people have questions about home prices right now. How much have prices risen over the past 12 months? What's happening with home values right now? What's projected for next year? Here's a look at the answers to all three of these questions.

How much have home values appreciated over the last 12 months?

According to the latest Home Price Index from CoreLogic, home values have increased by 18.1% compared to this time last year. Additionally, prices have gone up at an accelerated pace for each of the last eight months (see graph below):WhatsThe increase in the rate of appreciation that's shown by CoreLogic coincides with data from the other two main home price indices: the FHFA Home Price Index and the S&P Case Shiller Index.

The last year has shown tremendous home price appreciation, which is resulting in a major gain in wealth for homeowners through rising equity.

What's happening with home prices right now?

All three indices mentioned above also show that while appreciation is in the high double digits right now, that price acceleration is beginning to level off (see graph below):WhatsYear-over-year appreciation is still close to 20%, but its clearly plateauing at that rate. Many experts believe it will drop below 15% by the end of the year.

Keep in mind, that doesn't mean home values will depreciate. It means the rate of appreciation will slow, yet stay well above the 25-year average of 5.1%.

What about next year?

The recent surge in prices is the result of heavy buyer demand and a shortage of homes available for sale. Most experts believe that as more housing inventory comes to market (both new construction and existing homes), the supply and demand for housing will come more into balance. That balance will bring a lower rate of appreciation in 2022. Here's a look at home price forecasts from six major entities, and they all project future appreciation:

  1. Fannie Mae
  2. Freddie Mac
  3. Mortgage Bankers Association
  4. Home Price Expectation Survey
  5. Zelman & Associates
  6. National Association of Realtors

WhatsWhile the projected rate of appreciation varies among the experts, due to things like supply chain challenges, virus variants, and more, its clear that home values will continue to appreciate next year.

Bottom Line

There have been historic levels of home price appreciation over the last year. That pace will slow as we finish 2021 and enter into 2022. Prices will still rise in value, just at a much more moderate pace, which is good news for the housing market.

 

 

 

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“YOUR Rock-Solid Choice Realtor for Making Home Sellers a Profit & Home Buyers Equity”

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Comments (4)

Eric Bouler
Gardner Realtors, Licensed in La. - New Orleans, LA
Listening to your Needs

Great to let your clients and agents know how the prices have changed...

Nov 16, 2021 05:48 AM
Bill Salvatore - East Valley
Arizona Elite Properties - Chandler, AZ
Realtor - 602-999-0952 / em: golfArizona@cox.net

Going buzerk!  Here in Gilbert Arizona, prices year over years up $120,000. Thanks for the great post.  Make it the best Taco Tuesday you can.  Sell a house today.  bill

Nov 16, 2021 06:15 AM
Jim Crawford
Maximum One Executive REALTORS® - Atlanta, GA
Jim Crawford Atlanta Best Listing Agents & REALTOR

Shayne Stone Thank you for taking the time to share this information!  This is exactly the type of information that buyers and sellers need to make informed decisions! Well done!

Nov 16, 2021 07:50 AM
Kristin Johnston - REALTOR®
RE/MAX Platinum - Waukesha, WI
Giving Back With Each Home Sold!

Great information.  Thanks for sharing and enjoy your day!

Nov 18, 2021 06:44 AM