What the market looks like!

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Hamm Homes

Weekly Mortgage Report - August 12, 2022

  • According to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, the 30-year fixed rate was up 23 basis points last week, a reminder that recent volatility remains persistent. Although rates continue to fluctuate, recent data suggest that the housing market is stabilizing as it transitions from the surge of activity during the pandemic to a more balanced market. Declines in purchase demand continue to diminish while supply remains fairly tight across most markets. The consequence is that house prices likely will continue to rise, but at a slower pace for the rest of the summer.

  • Hiring in July was far better than expected, defying signs that the economic recovery is losing steam, the Bureau of Labor Statistics stated, after reporting that nonfarm payrolls rose 528,000 for the month. Dow Jones had this number much lower, at around 258,000. Despite these expectations, the July gains were the best since February and well ahead of the 388,000 average job gain over the past four months. So what does this mean for rates? While the jobs report is a good sign for the overall economy, it’s possible the Fed might use it as proof they can keep pushing rates higher to get inflation back in line with their target.

  • Speaking again of inflation, it appears to be cooling. The Labor Department issued July numbers on Wednesday, which saw core CPI rising 0.3% - about 0.2% below forecasts. The consumer price index increased 8.5% from a year earlier, down from the 9.1% June figure. You may have noticed this at the pump. A decline in gasoline offset increases in food and shelter costs. Markets reacted positively to the report, with futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average up more than 400 points and government bond yields down sharply according to CNBC. “Things are moving in the right direction. This is the most encouraging report we’ve had in quite some time,“ said Aneta Markowska, chief economist at Jefferies.

  • The New York Federal Reserve reported that stress on global supply chains eased in July to the lowest level since January 2021 as port congestion and other snags eased. It was the third straight month of declines. The bank’s index known as the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index, tracks shipping costs, delivery times, backlogs and other statistics into a single measure compared to historical norms. The index is now down more than 50% from last December's record high.

Comments (7)

Gwen Fowler-864-710-4518 SC * Mountain* Lake*Home
Gwen Fowler Real Estate, Inc - Walhalla, SC
Gwen Fowler Real Estate, Inc.

Correction in the market is happening.  I hope the feds don't increase the interest rates again next month.

 

Aug 12, 2022 08:28 AM
Curtis Van Carter
Better Homes & Gardens Wine Country Group - Yountville, CA
Your Napa Valley Broker Extraordinaire

Will

You are the go to person for tidbits, facts and just good old fun, cheers cvc

Aug 12, 2022 09:35 AM
Will Hamm
Hamm Homes - Aurora, CO
"Where There's a Will, There's a Way!"

Hello Gwen and thanks for stopping by, I agree.

 

Aug 12, 2022 11:19 AM
Will Hamm
Hamm Homes - Aurora, CO
"Where There's a Will, There's a Way!"

Hello Curtis, You are funny, thanks

 

Aug 12, 2022 11:19 AM
Brian England
Arizona Focus Realty - Gilbert, AZ
MBA, GRI, REALTOR® Real Estate in East Valley AZ

I agree with Curtis Van Carter and you are right, he is a funny man Will Hamm 

Aug 13, 2022 05:27 AM
Roy Kelley
Retired - Gaithersburg, MD

Thank you very much, Will, for sharing this report. Have a productive weekend.

Aug 13, 2022 05:52 AM
Lawrence "Larry" & Sheila Agranoff. Cell: 631-805-4400
The Top Team @ Charles Rutenberg Realty 255 Executive Dr, Plainview NY 11803 - Plainview, NY
Long Island Condo and Home Specialists

Nice list of what the  market is looking like Will. I know the market is softening in some areas, but we're not experiencing that here yet.

Aug 13, 2022 07:59 AM