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The Brakes Have Hit Bend Oregon Home Sales

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Bend Premier Real Estate 200009031

Bend Oregon Real Estate | September 2022 Trends

Ask any real estate agent across the country about the current state of the market, they will tell you things have changed dramatically since earlier in the year.  Ask a Bend Premier Real Estate Broker about the local market, they will tell you that it is as if the brakes have been hit stopping a jet plane. The fed's increase in interest rates is being done to curtail inflation.  When it comes to the housing industry, this tightening is working. Bend home sales are falling, days on market are rising, yet home prices are still up. Mortgage interest rates are now approaching 7% for a 30 year fixed, a figure which hasn't been seen since 2002. Each percentage increase in interest rates reduces homebuyer's buying power by 10-12%. As the number of pending and sold Bend homes decrease, sellers who need to sell will have to understand that for many Bend homebuyers who are financing their purchase, either prices or mortgage rates will have to drop for them to afford their new home. Although down from the high in July, Bend home prices are still up month over month from 2021. If interest rates remain high, we anticipate that Bend home prices will need to drop for home sales to continue in a more balanced market.

Bend Oregon Real Estate Sales

When September 2022 Bend single family home sales on less than an acre are compared with those from 2021, the following changes can be seen:

  • Average sales price up 11.3% to $876,437*
  • Median sales price up 11.5% to $724,950
  • Average list price up 10.7% to $724,950
  • Median list price up 2.9% to $719,950
  • New listings down 23.3% to 184
  • Homes for sale up 26.5% to 382
  • Pending sales down 31.2% to 150
  • Sold homes down 22.9% to 182
  • Average days on market up 50% to 33
  • Median days on market up 185.7% to 20
  • Months of supply up 40% to 2.1
  • Average price per square foot up 8.6% to $416
  • Median price per square foot up 8.7% to $386
  • Average percentage of list price received down 1.3% to 99.4%
  • Dollar volume down 14.2% to $159,511,584

What Will Happen 4th Quarter With Bend Oregon Home Sales?

We are reaching a point in which Bend home prices must decrease to adjust with higher mortgage interest rates if we are to have a healthy Bend real estate market. The low interest rates we have had over the past few years greatly increased homebuyers' purchasing power, thus leading to higher sales prices - especially when combined with extremely high demand and limited inventory. That market is not our current reality. If mortgage rates stay high, sellers who need to sell will need to adjust their asking price to a figure that will enable home buyers to qualify for their loan.

Bend Oregon real estate

* Original blog can be read at Bend Premier Real Estate.

Ray Henson
eXp Realty of California, Inc. (lic. #01878277) - Elk Grove, CA
Realtor

The brakes have hit our market in the Elk Grove area too, probably a little more than in your area.  Thank you for your update!

Oct 10, 2022 05:19 PM
Lynnea Miller
Bend Premier Real Estate - Bend, OR
Premier Real Estate Service in Central Oregon

Thank you, Ray Henson.  This last month has been eye opening.  I sure hope the government doesn't continue in this path.  I am sure we  both recognize that housing has led the way out of every recession in the last 50 years.  Don't put us down too hard! 

Oct 10, 2022 08:06 PM
Ray Henson

I am worried that they have already gone too far, Lynnea Miller.  The Fed ignored inflation way too long and now they seems to be full steam ahead.  I just spoke with an agent that does a lot of listings in our area and she said she is getting ready to pull quite a few off the market. 

Oct 11, 2022 05:52 AM
Nina Hollander, Broker
Coldwell Banker Realty - Charlotte, NC
Your Greater Charlotte Realtor

Good morning, Lynnea... and interesting way to put it. I wouldn't say the brakes have hit the Charlotte market although we are tracking many of your trends, as well. We are more at a pre-pandemic level of activity, which was good activity. Of course, what remains to be seen is what happens now in the fourth quarter, especially if the Fed raises rates again in November.

Oct 11, 2022 04:30 AM
Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

Lynnea, great market report, and we are seeing some brakes in our market too.

Oct 11, 2022 05:45 AM
Bill Salvatore - East Valley
Arizona Elite Properties - Chandler, AZ
Realtor - 602-999-0952 / em: golfArizona@cox.net

Hi,

Enjoyed your blog page, and I added you as a friend. I would love the follow back. Bill

Oct 11, 2022 12:16 PM
Debe Maxwell, CRS
Savvy + Company (704) 491-3310 - Charlotte, NC
The RIGHT CHARLOTTE REALTOR!

We are seeing the same exact thing here in Charlotte too, Lynnea! 

Oct 21, 2022 07:49 PM