With Home Prices Coming Down in Some Areas, Will Your Rent Lower as Well?

Real Estate Agent with Re/Max Classic 314578

If you’re a renter, you’re probably well aware that rents went up more than 20% over the past few years, but your income most likely didn’t increase by nearly as much. So this realtor.com article probably sounds like promising news when the headline claims that rent prices are finally falling in some areas.

However, the article actually says that economists are predicting rental prices to keep increasing in the coming year. When they say “falling” they’re referring to the fact that they just won’t be increasing as much per year as they have been over the past few years.

Considering home prices are reportedly coming down for the first time in a number of years, it might not seem fair that rents don’t as well.

Unfortunately, it doesn’t typically work that way. While home values fluctuate up and down depending upon the economy and real estate market, rental prices historically haven’t gone down even during most recessions. According to this Forbes article, other than rents coming down between 1940-1950, rents have gone up every decade since, and there have been plenty of economic downturns that negatively affected home values in those years. In fact, rents went up during the last recession between 2007 and 2011.

Oddly, many people who rent cite that they’re afraid to buy a house because house prices or mortgage rates are too high, or the value of a home they buy may go down. People also seem to constantly worry about a recession or housing bubble coming along and destroying real estate values. At face value, they sound like legitimate concerns and reasons not to buy a house. But when you stop to consider that rents have historically only gone up over the years, it might be worth reconsidering those reasons.

Yes, home prices fluctuate, and they’re coming down in some areas right now. Sure, some people who bought in the past few years might see the value of their home drop below what they paid for it in the recent past. Mortgage rates have more than doubled over the past year, so anyone buying right now has a higher payment than somebody who bought over the past few years (assuming equivalent price points).

But, it’s a fairly safe bet that those houses will be worth more years from now than people paid for them. If they purchased with a fixed-rate loan—other than small increases due to taxes or insurance—their payment is the same forever. And, if they have a higher rate mortgage, they can always refinance if rates come down and lower their payment. Last, but certainly not least, they will have built up equity by paying down what they owe along with the value of their house most likely appreciating.

So if you’re a renter, this actually might be the perfect time to buy a house, despite mortgage rates being higher. There’s currently less competition in the market than there has been for the past few years, and houses aren’t always selling as quickly as they have been, so you even have a little breathing room to make a more relaxed decision. And rents don’t appear to ever be coming down, let alone anytime soon.

The Takeaway:

With the real estate market shifting and home prices coming down, it might seem like there’s a chance that rents will as well. The good news is that rents may not increase as much as they have on a yearly basis in recent years. The bad news is that they’re still predicted to increase in 2023, and a look back in time shows that they’ve more or less gone up every decade since 1950, regardless of any real estate downturns.

While there’s always a chance that you could buy a house and find that the value goes down during economic downturns, the value (and your equity) historically go up over the long term. In addition, if you buy a house with a fixed rate mortgage, your payment stays pretty much the same year after year, while renters have to deal with seemingly endless increases. So if you’re frustrated with ever-increasing rents, you might want to seriously consider buying a house during this current market shift.



About Tom

Realtor-Tom Gilliam is your expert to buy or sell your home in Oakland County, Michigan, the Oakland County community’s number one Realtor. In Oakland County, Michigan, you need to find a Realtor who knows the community.

Tom Gilliam currently lives in the Oakland County Area and is very familiar with the market, neighborhoods, schools and community issues. His office is located into the heart of Farmington Hills, with five additional offices throughout the south east metropolitan area to serve his clients real estate needs.

Tom is always ready to help families find the perfect home in the Oakland County area including: Farmington Hills, Novi, Birmingham,Troy, Rochester Hills, West Bloomfield, Bloomfield Hills, Ferndale, Royal Oak, Northville , Novi, Troy, Rochester and Rochester Hills to name a few.

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Comments (4)

Sean Gilliam
LoKation Real Estate - Longmont, CO
Real Estate on the Front Range

Good information on rental rates.  Great tool to educate buyers on why it's better to own.

Jan 18, 2023 01:46 PM
George Souto
George Souto NMLS #65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages - Middletown, CT
Your Connecticut Mortgage Expert

Tom Gilliam- RE/MAX Classic I have lived my share of years, and I have not ever seen rents decrease during that time.

Jan 18, 2023 03:39 PM
Andrew Mooers | 207.532.6573
Northern Maine Real Estate-Aroostook County Broker

Start owning, stop renting no matter what interest rates were last year or will be next year. The mortgage rates are still attractive if you remember the real estate market in the early 1980's with 16.5 % adjustable. Instead of what realtor magazine says is the trend for parts of the country, spell out what specifically is happening in your unique real estate market right now Tom Gilliam- RE/MAX Classic . You know that market better than anyone far from it.

Jan 18, 2023 05:40 PM
Joe Jackson
Keller Williams Capital Partners Realty - Columbus, OH
Clintonville and Central Ohio Real Estate Expert

This is an excellent post with great information. Thanks for sharing it.

Have a super fantastic week!
Joe Jackson, Realtor-KWCP

Jan 19, 2023 03:53 AM