MMG Update - Tuesday, July 8, 2008 10:35am ET Current Trend Direction: Sideways and Volatile Risks favor: Cautiously Floating Mortgage Bonds have advanced in early trading on the heels of a speech by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. Pending Home Sales for May were down -4.7%, a bit worse than estimates of -2.8%. However, the prior month's number was revised higher to 7.1% from the previously reported 6.3%. This report is not a big surprise, and indicates the housing market is not out of the woods just yet. Alcoa, Inc. kicks off 2nd Qtr. earnings season today in what is expected to be a poor series of corporate earnings reports. Thomson Reuters is estimating 2nd Qtr. earnings have fallen by 11.1%, significantly worse than the 2% decline they predicted in April. If the Stock market continues to head lower on worse than expected earnings, we could see Bonds regain lost ground. |
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