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What’s Next for Mortgage Rates? Insights from Recent Economic Data

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Real Estate Agent with Meridian Capital Real Estate BRE# 01435250

In today’s real estate climate, navigating mortgage rates is challenging, especially with the broader economy adding extra layers of complexity. The recent surge in mortgage rates, fueled by a strong jobs report, raises questions for prospective buyers, sellers, and investors alike.

Lisa Sturtevant, Chief Economist at Bright MLS, points out that mortgage rates hinge on economic factors, particularly the labor market. If job growth continues to beat expectations, we could face even higher mortgage rates or, at the least, a pause on any further declines. With rates already ticking up this week, potential homebuyers may need to plan accordingly.

The Peak and Recent Drop in Mortgage Rates

After soaring to a high of 7.79% in October 2023, average 30-year fixed mortgage rates have gradually come down, stabilizing around 6.12% by early October 2024. This recent dip seems to have rekindled interest among buyers, though the question now is how the housing market will respond as rates drop and inventory rises. Lisa Sturtevant suggests that lower rates could indeed lead to slower home price growth if more sellers enter the market and inventory climbs.

Is Now the Time to Buy?

While lower mortgage rates this fall may seem enticing, experts advise caution. Waiting for even lower rates might risk a surge in buyer demand, which could push home prices up again. With the average mortgage rate already trending down, some buyers are ready to re-enter the market, but they’re advised not to delay if they’re seriously considering homeownership.

In Pasadena, for example, the number of homes sold decreased slightly by 3.5% from the previous month but jumped by 52.7% compared to last year. This shift shows a mixed but ultimately positive picture for the local market, underscoring how demand has held up despite recent rate volatility.

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Comments(1)

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Patricia Feager
Flower Mound, TX
Semi Retired Real Estate Agent

Matt Helganz

In banks and Mortgage Lenders we have to trust! I hope the best for you, myself, and all others.

Oct 30, 2024 05:06 PM
Matt Helganz

Totally agree! Trusting our banks and lenders is so important, especially with something as big as a mortgage. Here’s hoping for the best for all of us, may we all find lenders who are transparent and genuinely helpful!

Oct 31, 2024 09:41 AM