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The Future...

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Real Estate Agent with Keller Williams Evolution - 447 Boston Street, Suite #5, Topsfield, MA 92593-B

It's that time of year, so be prepared for those who have cleaned off their crystal balls and looked into the future. 😁 I say this in jest. Predictions based on valid data can be remarkably accurate, especially when combined with an intimate understanding of your own market. Here's how one source looks at the 2026 Real Estate market.

2026 Housing Market Outlook

2026 Housing Market Outlook

After a couple of years where the housing market felt stuck in neutral, 2026 may be the year things shift back into gear. Expert forecasts show more people are expected to move – and that could open the door for you to do the same.

More Homes Will Sell

With all of the affordability challenges at play over the past few years, many would-be movers pressed pause. But that pause button isn’t going to last forever. There are always people who need to move. And experts think more of them will start to act in 2026 (see graph below):

a graph of a graph showing the number of the company's salesWhat’s behind the change? Two key factors: mortgage rates and home prices. Let’s dive into the latest expert forecasts for both, so you can see why more people are expected to move next year.

Mortgage Rates Could Continue To Ease

The #1 thing just about every buyer has been looking for is lower mortgage rates. And after peaking near 7% earlier this year, rates have started to ease.

The latest forecasts show that could continue throughout 2026, but it won’t be a straight line down (see graph below):

a graph with numbers and linesThere’s a saying: when rates go up, they take the escalator. But when they come down, they take the stairs. And that’s an important thing to remember. It’ll be a slow and bumpy process.

Expect modest improvement in mortgage rates over the next year but be ready for some volatility. There will be volatility along the way as new economic data comes out. Just don’t let it distract you from the bigger picture: the overall trend will be a slight decline. Forecasts say we could hit the low 6s, or maybe even the high 5s.

And remember, there doesn’t have to be a big drop for you to feel a change. Even a smaller dip helps your bottom line.

If you compare where rates are now to when they were at 7% earlier this year, you’re already saving hundreds on your future mortgage payment. And that’s a really good thing. It’s enough to make a real difference in affordability for some buyers.

Home Price Growth Will Be Moderate

What about prices? On a national scale, forecasts say they’re still going to rise, just not by a lot. With rates down from their peak earlier this year, more buyers will re-enter the market. And that increased demand will keep some upward pressure on prices nationally – and prevent prices from tumbling down.

So, even though some markets are already seeing slight price declines, you can rest easy that a big crash just isn’t in the cards. Thanks to how much prices rose over the last 5 years, even the markets seeing declines right now are still up compared to just a few years ago.

Of course, price trends will depend on where you are and what’s happening in your local market. Inventory is a big driver in why some places are going to see varying levels of appreciation going forward. But experts agree we’ll see prices grow at the national level (see graph below): 

a graph of green rectangular objectsThis is yet another good sign for buyers and overall affordability. While prices will still go up nationally, it’ll be at a much more sustainable pace. And that predictability makes it easier to plan your budget. It also gives you peace of mind that prices won’t suddenly skyrocket overnight.

Bottom Line

After a quieter couple of years, 2026 is expected to bring more movement – and more opportunity. With sales projected to rise, mortgage rates trending lower, and price growth slowing down, the stage is set for a healthier, more active market.

So, the big question: will you be one of the movers making 2026 your year?

If so, connect with an agent now if you want to get ready.

Posted by

Grace be with you, and peace, from God our Father, and the Lord Jesus Christ.

2 Thessalonians 1:2 KJV

Douglas W. Dawes

Keller Williams Realty Evolution

447 Newburyport Turnpike ;

Topsfield, MA 01983

 978-270-3037  ~ Cell
 DougDawes@KW.com

Comments(8)

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Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

Doug, you are the 2nd blogger to put out your predictions for 2026.   I try to refrain, as it could go anywhere.    I know the last 2-3 years have been really quiet.

Oct 16, 2025 09:03 AM
Doug Dawes

Hi Joan Cox I don't usually make predictions. If I were any good with them, I'd be a very wealthy man...lol

Oct 16, 2025 11:20 AM
Wayne Martin
Wayne M Martin - Oswego, IL
Real Estate Broker - Retired

Good morning Doug. My crystal ball is out for maintenance. So, no predictions, but indications are some on the fence, may jump off on their own or maybe forced as prices are stabilizing, and rates are easing. Enjoy your day waiting for the future to prove some right and some wrong.

Oct 16, 2025 09:38 AM
Doug Dawes

Some are right and some are wrong Wayne Martin that's what makes markets

Oct 16, 2025 11:22 AM
GilbertRealtor BillSalvatore
Arizona Elite Properties - Chandler, AZ
Realtor - 602-999-0952 / em: golfArizona@cox.net

 

 great information. Thanks for sharing it. Have a good week! Bill 

Bill Salvatore, Realtor- Arizona Elite Properties

 

 #AZVHV / Arizona Veterans Helping Veterans

 

Oct 16, 2025 10:19 AM
Doug Dawes

Thank you GilbertRealtor BillSalvatore wishing you the same

Oct 16, 2025 11:18 AM
Dorie Dillard Austin TX
Coldwell Banker Realty ~ 512.750.6899 - Austin, TX
NW Austin ~ Canyon Creek and Spicewood/Balcones

Good afternoon Doug Dawes ,

My crystal ball is not quite clear enough but from where I sit I'm leaning towards 2026 to be a year that shifts back in gear. With lower mortgage rates and home prices buyers are itching to make a move and plenty of seller would like to make their move..could be a very good year!.

Oct 16, 2025 12:00 PM
Doug Dawes

Good Morning Dorie Dillard Austin TX 

Lower rates could result in higher prices, which negates the lower interest rates and solves nothing. I'd like to see lower prices and rates

Oct 17, 2025 06:29 AM
Brian England
Ambrose Realty Management LLC - Gilbert, AZ
MBA, GRI, REALTORÂŽ Real Estate in East Valley AZ

I really thought that things would boom in 2025 and everything was in place to do so, but too many sheep follow the wrong leader, haha.

Oct 17, 2025 06:14 AM
Doug Dawes

Hi Brian England I think 2025 has been a good year. New home construction is up, and inventory is up. If rates and prices would ease a it then we could see a surge

Oct 17, 2025 06:31 AM
Lew Corcoran
Better Living Real Estate, LLC - East Bridgewater, MA
Expert guidance. Exceptional results.

This was a sharp and steady look ahead, Doug Dawes. You laid out the forecast with just the right mix of optimism and realism, and I really appreciate how grounded and useful your insights are. Thanks for helping us see the road a little more clearly.

Oct 17, 2025 12:09 PM
Doug Dawes
Keller Williams Evolution - 447 Boston Street, Suite #5, Topsfield, MA - Topsfield, MA
Your Personal RealtorÂŽ

Good Morning Lew Corcoran 

Thank you for reading and commenting. Enjoy the weekend

Oct 18, 2025 03:56 AM
Patricia Feager
Referral Specialist - DFW FINE PROPERTIES - Flower Mound, TX
Licensed to April 2027

Doug Dawes - you tell the real estate market story so well. I would not hesitate to take your advice and follow through. Doug, I wish you the very best. May you prosper and stay healthy. 

Nov 04, 2025 04:39 PM