It's that time of year, so be prepared for those who have cleaned off their crystal balls and looked into the future. đ I say this in jest. Predictions based on valid data can be remarkably accurate, especially when combined with an intimate understanding of your own market. Here's how one source looks at the 2026 Real Estate market.
2026 Housing Market Outlook
After a couple of years where the housing market felt stuck in neutral, 2026 may be the year things shift back into gear. Expert forecasts show more people are expected to move â and that could open the door for you to do the same.
More Homes Will Sell
With all of the affordability challenges at play over the past few years, many would-be movers pressed pause. But that pause button isnât going to last forever. There are always people who need to move. And experts think more of them will start to act in 2026 (see graph below):
Whatâs behind the change? Two key factors: mortgage rates and home prices. Letâs dive into the latest expert forecasts for both, so you can see why more people are expected to move next year.
Mortgage Rates Could Continue To Ease
The #1 thing just about every buyer has been looking for is lower mortgage rates. And after peaking near 7% earlier this year, rates have started to ease.
The latest forecasts show that could continue throughout 2026, but it wonât be a straight line down (see graph below):
Thereâs a saying: when rates go up, they take the escalator. But when they come down, they take the stairs. And thatâs an important thing to remember. Itâll be a slow and bumpy process.
Expect modest improvement in mortgage rates over the next year but be ready for some volatility. There will be volatility along the way as new economic data comes out. Just donât let it distract you from the bigger picture: the overall trend will be a slight decline. Forecasts say we could hit the low 6s, or maybe even the high 5s.
And remember, there doesnât have to be a big drop for you to feel a change. Even a smaller dip helps your bottom line.
If you compare where rates are now to when they were at 7% earlier this year, youâre already saving hundreds on your future mortgage payment. And thatâs a really good thing. Itâs enough to make a real difference in affordability for some buyers.
Home Price Growth Will Be Moderate
What about prices? On a national scale, forecasts say theyâre still going to rise, just not by a lot. With rates down from their peak earlier this year, more buyers will re-enter the market. And that increased demand will keep some upward pressure on prices nationally â and prevent prices from tumbling down.
So, even though some markets are already seeing slight price declines, you can rest easy that a big crash just isnât in the cards. Thanks to how much prices rose over the last 5 years, even the markets seeing declines right now are still up compared to just a few years ago.
Of course, price trends will depend on where you are and whatâs happening in your local market. Inventory is a big driver in why some places are going to see varying levels of appreciation going forward. But experts agree weâll see prices grow at the national level (see graph below):Â
This is yet another good sign for buyers and overall affordability. While prices will still go up nationally, itâll be at a much more sustainable pace. And that predictability makes it easier to plan your budget. It also gives you peace of mind that prices wonât suddenly skyrocket overnight.
Bottom Line
After a quieter couple of years, 2026 is expected to bring more movement â and more opportunity. With sales projected to rise, mortgage rates trending lower, and price growth slowing down, the stage is set for a healthier, more active market.
So, the big question:Â will you be one of the movers making 2026 your year?
If so, connect with an agent now if you want to get ready.





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