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Market Crash??

By
Real Estate Agent with Keller Williams Evolution - 447 Boston Street, Suite #5, Topsfield, MA 92593-B

When prices skyrocket, talk of a market crash inevitably follows. I used to react the same way. My perspective changed when I accepted a foundational truth: all markets go up, and all markets go down. Media headlines love to use words like 'crash' or 'plummet.' 

In my opinion, this is often just a psychological ploy to stoke reader emotion and drive clicks. Success comes from ignoring the noise and focusing on the cycle.

If you want to take the next step, I can help you find highly ranked real estate brokerages in your area or provide data on current housing market trends. Which would you like to explore?

Meanwhile, enjoy the article.

Worried About a Housing Crash?

The Numbers Tell a Calmer Story.

Worried About a Housing Crash? The Numbers Tell a Calmer Story.

A recent survey from Talker Research asked Americans to pick one word to describe how 2026 has felt so far. The winner? Stressful. And honestly, there’s been a lot going on.

So, it’s understandable if you’ve been putting off buying or selling a home until things settle down. But you may be waiting on something that’s already happened. While everything else has felt shaky, the housing market has become one of the steadiest things out there. Look at the data.

Home Prices Have Leveled Out

After years of fast increases, data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows home prices have been remarkably steady for the past 4 years (see graph below):

a graph of blue lines

And experts say that’s what to expect going forward, too. As Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at Cotality, explains:

“In 2026, we expect home prices to remain broadly stable, with modest appreciation at a national level.”

No wild swings. Just slow, steady growth. That’s a healthy market. Of course, that pace can vary a bit depending on where you live. But nationally, steady growth like this makes it easier to plan your budget, whether you’re buying or selling.

The Supply of Homes for Sale Has Steadied

For years, the supply of homes for sale was a moving target. It dropped fast during the pandemic and has been climbing pretty reliably ever since. Now, that pace of growth has slowed down. According to Realtor.com, inventory today is very close to where it was this time last year (see graph below): 

a graph of blue lines

That’s helpful no matter which side you’re on. When the number of homes for sale isn’t changing much, you know what you’re walking into – how many options you’ll have as a buyer, and how much competition you’ll face as a seller.

Mortgage Rates Found Their Range

Yes, rates jumped dramatically back in 2022. But since then, Freddie Mac data shows they’ve stayed between 6% and 7% for the better part of the last 3 or so years (see graph below):

a graph of a graph of a graph of a graph of a graph of a graph of a graph of a graph of a graph of a graph of a graph of a graph of a graph of

Yes, there was one brief spike above that threshold, but overall, rates have stayed in that range for a while now. That predictability helps when you’re planning a move. 

And now that this seems to be a longer-term trend, people have accepted it as the new normal. Buyers have gotten comfortable purchasing in that range, and sellers have gotten just as comfortable listing in it.

That comfort’s important because when both sides know what to expect, they keep making moves. In other words, the market isn’t frozen waiting for something to change. It’s moving calmly.

Bottom Line

The rest of the world may feel unpredictable right now, but the housing market doesn't have to. Prices, inventory, and rates have all found solid ground.

If stability is what you've been waiting for, it's already here. Connect with a local real estate agent to talk through what that means for your move.

Posted by

Grace be with you, and peace, from God our Father, and the Lord Jesus Christ.

2 Thessalonians 1:2 KJV

 

Douglas W. Dawes

Keller Williams Realty Evolution

447 Newburyport Turnpike 

Topsfield, MA 01983

 978-270-3037  ~ Cell
 DougDawes@KW.com

Comments(14)

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GilbertRealtor BillSalvatore
Arizona Elite Properties - Chandler, AZ
Realtor - 602-999-0952 / em: golfArizona@cox.net

good post with great information. Thanks for sharing it. Bill

Have a fantastic week!

Bill Salvatore, Realtor- Arizona Elite Properties

Aug 31, 2026 12:09 PM
Doug Dawes

Thank You GilbertRealtor BillSalvatore for stopping in, reading and commenting

Sep 01, 2026 10:56 AM
Lise Howe
RLAH RE LLC - Washington, DC
Assoc. Broker in DC, MD, VA and attorney in DC

I agree that perspective matters. Markets move in cycles, and understanding the data can help buyers and sellers make decisions without getting caught up in the fear of the moment.

Aug 31, 2026 01:07 PM
Doug Dawes

We are in agreement Lise Howe It is up to us to smooth the market ripples out for the consumer

Sep 01, 2026 10:57 AM
Dorie Dillard Austin TX
Coldwell Banker Apex Realtors, LLC ~ 512.750.6899 - Austin, TX
Educating. Encouraging. Serving.

Good afternoon Doug Dawes,

The media is always after sensational headlines and love to induce fear into the public. Just look at the stock market..up...down..it moves in cycles just like the real estate market. people are always going to be moving which means someone is always selling and buying.

Aug 31, 2026 02:02 PM
Doug Dawes

You nailed it Dorie Dillard Austin TX 

Sep 01, 2026 10:58 AM
Kathy Streib
Cypress, TX
Retired Home Stager/Redesign

Doug- we've been around long enough to know that what goes around, comes around. Sadly the media must find something to report about so headlines aren't always truthful, or at the least, they're sensationalized. 

Aug 31, 2026 06:10 PM
Doug Dawes

And that is why media is considered not trust worthy Kathy Streib Whatever became of journalistic integrity? 

Sep 01, 2026 10:59 AM
Brian England
Ambrose Realty Management LLC - Gilbert, AZ
MBA, GRI, REALTOR® Real Estate in East Valley AZ

The market should never crash; it is always good.  There are always buyers and sellers.  It frustrates me that people talk about it, and then people follow, making something happen that shouldn't happen, haha.

Sep 01, 2026 03:37 AM
Doug Dawes

Humans are easily manipulated Brian England That's why we need to be informed when dealing with the with each other & the public

Sep 01, 2026 11:00 AM
Joan Cox, Retired Broker/Owner
Denver, CO
Enjoying Every Day to Its Fullest!

Doug, the media does enjoy sensationalizing the stories!   I know Denver has been stable now for a couple of years.

Sep 01, 2026 11:00 AM
Doug Dawes

Hello Joan Cox, Retired Broker/Owner, enjoying life in Portugal 😁

Many areas are now much more stable but the media still wants to elicit a market crash, which I find manipulative and self-serving.

Sep 01, 2026 11:42 AM
Debe Maxwell, CRS
Savvy + Company (704) 491-3310 - Charlotte, NC
The RIGHT CHARLOTTE REALTOR!

Doug, this is SUCH an important perspective. I always share your point about separating the headlines from the actual market data with my clients as well. “Crash” certainly gets more attention than “normal market cycle,” but it doesn’t necessarily tell the real story.

After years of such dramatic swings, I think many consumers are still expecting the next extreme. In reality, a market with steadier prices, more predictable inventory and rates that have settled into a range, may not make exciting headlines, but it gives buyers and sellers something incredibly valuable: the ability to make decisions based on their own needs rather than fear.

Excellent post and a great reminder to keep our eyes on the numbers, not the noise!

Sep 01, 2026 02:12 PM
Doug Dawes

Debe Maxwell, CRS Remember the commercial with the weightlifter:" I pick things up; I put things down." That's me: "Markets go up;  Markets go down." 😂🤣

Sep 04, 2026 10:45 AM
Debe Maxwell, CRS

HaHa, too funny, Doug Dawes! I am right there on that roller coaster with you!

Sep 06, 2026 09:28 PM
Steffy Hristova
HomeSmart Elite Group Tempe AZ Tel: 602.710.8161 - Tempe, AZ
Tempe AZ Realtor - Your Home Close to Your Work!

Doug,

Great way of presenting the facts of the market - narrative is easy to read, and visuals emphasize the point. I enjoyed it very much.

Sep 01, 2026 02:20 PM
Doug Dawes

Glad you like the post Steffy Hristova 

Sep 04, 2026 10:46 AM
Hannah Williams
HomeStarr Realty - Philadelphia, PA
Expertise NE Philadelphia & Bucks 215-820-3376

Doug Dawes I just told a friend of mine who constantly asks me when is the bottom going to fall out - When it happens it comes unexpected . As you say the market is slowly leveling. We have seen markets crash and it happens suddenly while everything is going smoothly . 

Sep 01, 2026 02:38 PM
Doug Dawes

 No matter the market conditions, property transactions take place. When Pam & I bought our home in 1985, we were in a rising-rate and price cycle, but we knew interest rates wouldn't stay at 13% (they went to 18%). Once rates dropped to 11%, we refinanced, then again when they dropped again. Did that 3 times and paid the note off in 23 years instead of 30 Hannah Williams 

Sep 04, 2026 10:50 AM
Charles Stallions
Charles Stallions Real Estate Services - Pensacola, FL
850-476-4494 - Pensacola, Pace or Gulf Breeze, Fl.

Fortunately, we look good across all price ranges, especially above 800k. 

Sep 01, 2026 03:23 PM
Doug Dawes

Charles Stallions We also have to understand that our fiat currency is being debased, which also has an impact on pricing.

Sep 04, 2026 10:52 AM
Corinne Guest
Corinne Guest - Lake Barrington, IL
Retired Broker. FX Trader, Golden Retrievers.

It's all about location. Our prices have skyrocketed for the first time in 20 years and I don't see it calming down either.

Sep 02, 2026 09:49 AM
Doug Dawes

20 years Corinne Guest? So from 2006 til now? Good deal for those who wanted to live in Lake Barrington.

Sep 04, 2026 10:54 AM
Avery Jules
Avery's Design - Albany, NY
Brand and logo designer for real estate brands

Had to save this post to remind myself to read it when I get the chance. I can already tell this is going to be very informative!

Sep 02, 2026 03:08 PM
Doug Dawes

I hope you find it to be Avery Jules 

Sep 04, 2026 10:54 AM
Ken Semler
ImpresaModular.com - Martinsburg, WV
Nationwide Custom Modular Home Builder

Doug, the important distinction is between a market correction and a market collapse. Slower appreciation, steadier inventory, and mortgage rates settling into a range can feel very different from the frenzy of a few years ago without signaling a crash. The useful question is not whether the market is “up” or “down,” but whether buyers and sellers understand the current cycle well enough to make rational decisions. Have a great day!

Sep 03, 2026 03:49 AM
Doug Dawes

Ditto Ken Semler 

Are you anywhere around that huge data center near Harper's Ferry?

Sep 04, 2026 10:56 AM
Ken Semler
ImpresaModular.com - Martinsburg, WV
Nationwide Custom Modular Home Builder

Doug Dawes, just 30 minutes or less away!

Sep 04, 2026 11:55 AM