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Housing is slowing and rents are going up.

By
Education & Training with Thneed, LLC

An interesting phenomenon has been going on across the country.  Housing transactions are going down, and rental rates are going up.  I think we are all feeling the burn from a much slower transaction market.  Properties are sitting longer, and aggressive range pricing now results in expired listings.   

The phenomenon that I find interesting is that even though there is a larger inventory of homes, rental rates are going up in many parts of the country.   Depending on the market, rents have increased from just a few percent to over ten in the past ten months.  So why the shift?  Finally, those that have been waiting to buy a home can negotiate to get into one.    

My personal feeling is that there are a lot of people out there that have heard that the bubble has burst and are waiting until the prices drop substantially.    I have a couple of associates that desperately want to buy homes, but are adamant about waiting until the market fully corrects.  I have told them that chances are that if they wait, they will still end up paying more than they will right now.    Right now it seems like a lot of people are standing by the sidelines and willing to pay higher rents instead of jumping into the game.

Our strategy to overcome the objections of these people are to educate them about market dynamics.  Chances are that housing prices will not correct to any great degree, but will continue to go up at a much slower pace.  Today's price will still be lower than tomorrow's.  In contrast, interest rates will never be as low as they currently are again.  The cost of money is cheaper now than it will be in the future.  Therefore, it is going to cost a lot less money for you to buy that dream home today than to wait a year and try again. 

Roberta Murphy
San Diego Previews Real Estate - Carlsbad, CA
Carlsbad Real Estate and Homes
Barrett: We have begun to pursue lease options for people seeking a lease with possible future purchase.
Aug 30, 2006 04:19 AM
Bob Pavey
RE/MAX Hometown - Aventura, FL
CRS
We need to send articles to the local papers that the market is picking up there is good deals to buy now and that you are succssful in this market. To much bad press is going on
Aug 30, 2006 04:20 AM
Shane Eastman
Vacaville, CA

Great Info, The thing I love most about this business is when you area lacks start pushing another! RENTS are up its a great time to buy a rental property!!!!

Aug 30, 2006 04:20 AM
Terry Moravec
Keller Williams Premier Realty - Blaine, MN
I think rental rates are tied to interest rates. As it becomes less affordable to buy a house, rental demand increases, even if there are a lot of houses on the market. Unless sellers drop the price to adjust for the monthly payment increase due to rising interest rates, some renters can't afford to buy. Most data I've seen shows home values appreciating more slowly, but not decreasing. This is especially true in the starter home market. More renters means higher demand and increased prices. Also, as interest rates rise, the cost to operate rental property goes up, putting additional upward pressure on rental rates.
Aug 30, 2006 04:55 AM
Scott Daniels Florida Real Estate 2.0. Agents Earn 100% Commission.
Florida List For Less Realty, Inc. Broker/Owner. - Cooper City, FL

Problem with that theory is that rental rates can only go so high, before a tenant finally walks and or becomes a homeowner themselves.

Rentals as a whole never move that fast as you`re proposing...

Aug 30, 2006 05:08 AM
Terry Moravec
Keller Williams Premier Realty - Blaine, MN

Scott,

You've made may point. Most renters will become home-owners if they can. That's what holds rental rates below mortgage payments, on average. But the converse is also true. As mortgage payments increase (through rising interest rates), the market will bear higher rent payments as well.

Aug 30, 2006 06:45 AM