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A Consumer's Guide To Surviving Today's Real Estate Market: You Have Options!

By
Real Estate Agent with Homesmart

In today’s topsy turvy Real Estate market, many potential players have been scared to the sidelines.  Whether it be the buyer who worries that prices will continue to plummet across the boards, or the seller who laments the inability to fetch the same price that was attainable a year ago, there is a lot of market watching going on right now.  To be sure, these are unusual times.  Before you let the condition of the market at large dictate whether or not you buy or sell Real Estate, though, bear in mind that there is opportunity amidst chaos.  Just as the worst investments are often made in the best of times, the best investments are often made in times such as those we are experiencing today.

We all know that buying low and selling high is the name of the game.  The difficulty comes in recognizing the apex and the nadir.  If it were really doable, we’d all be billionaires.  As this determination is only truly made in hindsight, the key is to make the current market work for you, rather than standing around and waiting for the mythical “bottom” as a buyer or “top” as a seller. 

So, how does one not only survive, but thrive as a consumer in this tough market?   By making purchasing and selling decisions based upon a comprehensive strategy rather than treating each as isolated transactions.   Assess your situation, and decide whether the current market will provide enough positives to offset the negatives.  Here are a few such strategies that just might make a move feasible after all.

 

The Move Up Purchase:

Sweet Pad!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The move up buyer is tailor made for this market.  Provided that you are looking to stay within the same market, if home values in your area have declined by 10% (purely arbitrary figure), that larger home that you have had your eye on is closer to your reach than ever.  If your $300,000 home took a 10% hit, and the $500,000 home of your dreams took a 10% hit, the value difference just shrunk by $20,000 (30k versus 50k in depreciation).  Such homeowners need to stop considering themselves as sellers.  They are buyers in sellers’ clothing.  That too-small home is all that stands between you and the tremendous deals that are available today.  Price it right, take your lumps, and you will free yourself to go give somebody a few lumps of their own. 

 

 

The Downsizing Scenario:

Downsizing to a smaller, less expensive home does not make good financial sense in this market.  The factors which work to the consumer’s advantage in the scenario above work to the detriment of the consumer here.  But what about the retired couple who doesn’t want to wait for the market to rebound?  One way to get on with their lives without taking it in the shorts by selling right now is to consider leasing the home.  Assuming that many people in this position will have a substantial amount of equity in their homes, they might even be in a position to draw a positive cash flow by renting out their existing home.  They would also be in a position to draw down payment funds for the home they wish to purchase in the form of a home equity line of credit (HELOC).  This is about the only scenario in which I would entertain the notion of drawing equity out of a property right now.  I have spoken with a few retirees lately who wish to downsize, but don’t want to sell in the current market.  I don’t blame them one bit.  Putting a tenant in their homes until the market is more conducive to commanding a more attractive sales price may be the way to go.

 

A More Battered Local Economy (AMBLE):

For the person moving completely out of area, it wouldn’t appear to be a very attractive proposition.  You get hammered on the selling end without getting to reap the rewards on the buying side.  So what to do?  Move somewhere that has gotten hit even harder by the depreciation bug than your community.  I admit, this is really more flippant than realistic, but if there are job transfers, family, etc. waiting in hard hit parts of the country, you can conceivably offset the low sales price of your current home with a lucrative buy.

 

INVEST, INVEST, INVEST!

We should have held out for ocean front Real Estate!Along with the move up purchase, this is the biggest no-brainer going.  With bank owned property listings, inflated inventory levels and a buyer pool diminished by tightened lending requirements, there has not been a better time to be a buyer since the Gadsden Purchase. 

While the resale market at large may have further to fall in value, there is really nowhere left to go for some of the bank property bargains I have encountered lately.  There is significant demand for the low end of the price spectrum, with multiple offers, cash buyers and bidding wars in some instances.  So when you hear that prices may fall another 10-20% across the board, it’s not going to be on the steals.  These properties may pull values down closer to them, but there is too much demand for the low end to keep falling in my humble opinion.   There are great values in land right now as builders have basically shut down until they sell off existing inventory.  Single family homes are attractive to many as a tenant can largely offset carrying costs.  It is a great time to have a few extra bucks in your jeans if Real Estate investment is in your blood.

There are more creative avenues to be explored in this market, but for the purposes of this post, I’ll stick with the basics.  The bottom line is that you can benefit from the current market with the right strategy.   Money is not only made by tucking more in your jeans, but by taking less of it out as well.  There is no such thing as a “BAD” market, nor a “GOOD” market.  There is only the market.  It’s up to you to bend it to suit your purposes.

 

Frustrated by what you hear on the news?  Don’t be.  Call or email Ray and Paul Slaybaugh today to determine the best avenue for your success in the Phoenix, Paradise Valley and Scottsdale AZ Real Estate market. 

 

 

 

Comments(21)

Lisa Heindel
Crescent City Living LLC - New Orleans, LA
New Orleans Real Estate Broker

Great information, Paul, especially the call to move up sellers.  Rather than focusing on the perceived "loss" they are taking by selling in this market they should instead be focused on the savings they will realize in their purchase.  Price it right and move on.

Jul 21, 2008 02:52 PM
Katerina Gasset
The Gasset Group & Get It Done For Me Virtual Services - Provo, UT
Amplify Your Real Estate & Life Dreams!

Paul- This is a great consumer post with loads of right on the money information. More millionaires were made during the great depression than at any other time until today's times. There were the likes of the Rocherfellers, Napolean Hill, who wrote Think and Grow Rich and Andrew Carnegie. We all have the same opportunities in this market. Believe me, Trump and Kiyosaki are not sitting on the sidelines.:)

Jul 21, 2008 02:56 PM
William Johnson
Retired - La Jolla, CA
Retired

Hi Paul, This is a wonderful and articulate post that really should speak so loudly to the consumer, especially those that are developing strategies that don't include the long tern accuracy that you so ably demonstrate.

Paul, I hope you will take a moment and consider joining our wonderful new group tailored to the consumer. It is called the Internet Empowered Consumer and it would wonderful have your best efforts included that answers the consumers question, 'What's in for me'.  I don't do links in comments posts but you can locate this easily in the groups section. Thank you so much for your consideration.

Jul 21, 2008 03:26 PM
Gary Woltal
Keller Williams Realty - Flower Mound, TX
Assoc. Broker Realtor SFR Dallas Ft. Worth

Paul, great review of the strategies. I agree the moving out of the area, unless your house appreciated a lot while you were there can be risky. You can move to a more affordable area. We see that with the California buyers cashing out and living like kings moving to Texas.

Jul 21, 2008 03:50 PM
Pam Winterbauer
Pam Winterbauer Real Estate - San Ramon, CA
"Providing Blue Ribbon Service"

Paul.....this is a great informational post that can really help the consumers.

Jul 21, 2008 04:15 PM
Paul Slaybaugh
Homesmart - Scottsdale, AZ
Scottsdale, AZ Real Estate

Eric - Thank you, sir. 

Lisa - Absolutely right.  The key is the net difference in the two transactions, not just the selling price of the current home.

Katerina - Very apt point.  There will be fortunes made in this market.  Those with deep pockets will be able to take advantage of long term buy and hold strategies, or slow-motion flips (buy now, rent for a few years until market conditions are conducive to selling, then flip).  Those with lesser means could solidify their portfolios through partnerships with like minded investors.  I forsee a lot of LLC buying activity involving such pooling of resources in the coming year.

William - If it's your group, I know it is worth joining.  I'll head there right now.

Gary - Californians have been doing that here for years as well.  For residents leaving Scottsdale, markets like Nevada, Florida, etc. would be places where relocating would allow for the potential of a great buy to offset the hard to swallow sale price of the current home.

Pam - Thank you.  I hope it does help a few folks out there who have given up on Real Estate right now.

Jul 21, 2008 04:31 PM
William Johnson
Retired - La Jolla, CA
Retired

Hi Paul, This post would be a great post to add for the consumer in the IEC group. Welcome my friend and I know that our members and consumers will love your offerings.  I think Katerina's point is so true. I have a question Paul, I had read that scores of buyers from Canada, Asia and Europe have been descending on areas including Phoenix /Scottsdale and buying up better properties. Have you seen any evidence of this? With the devalued dollar, properties in our country for 2nd homes stand out as a real opportunity.

 

Jul 21, 2008 05:17 PM
Carol Lee
Dilbeck Real Estate - Oak Park, CA
Realtor - Agoura, Oak Park, Westlake CA Homes

Excellent post, Paul.  Sometimes moving, or buying or selling is an emotional thing.  I spoke to potential sellers yesterday who bought about three years ago.  They want to move out of state to be closer to family, and are fully aware of how much they will be losing.  But the desire to have their one and three year old children grow up close to relatives is more important to them than the money they will lose.

Jul 21, 2008 05:21 PM
Pam Pugmire
Silvercreek Realty Group - Meridian, ID
Meridian Idaho Real Estate

Paul~ This is great information that sadly, we don't hear on the news!  On the move-up clients, I am suggesting to many that it's a great time to rent out their smaller home, while they move up to their dream home.  At least in Idaho, our rental market has been steadily going up while people move here from other States but can't sell their home.  That is making vacancy rates very appealing to landlords. 

Also, under the more battered local economy, you said that in jest, but it is happening.    The Northwest market had faired better than many places.  Many retirees are still leaving the Northwest (to get out of the snow) and heading south.  Not a new concept of course.  What they are finding is that they are still getting a reasonable sales price here, while finding phenominal deals in the harder hit states.  Of course, this only makes sense if you want to move to the more battered local town anyway. 

Jul 21, 2008 05:37 PM
Don Rogers
Keller Williams Realty Chesterfield - O'Fallon, MO
Realtor, Broker, CDPE, GRI, OnullFallon MO & St Charles County MO homes

Paul,  As always another post with loads of reader useful information.  Sometimes you just have to hold on tight and ride the market out too.  I think that the other side of this market is that we, REALTORS, need to know the market better than the media and be able to communicate it to our clients.

Don R.

Jul 21, 2008 09:51 PM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Hey!  Lenn just had an epiphany.

Consumers should buy the home in their price range that they would most prefer to live in for the next five years. 

Gee!  What a concept.

Jul 21, 2008 11:57 PM
Kelly Sibilsky
Licensed Through Referral Connection, LTD. - Lake Zurich, IL

Hi Paul! Excellent article. One thing that is prudent for people to remember: when you wait so that you are able to sell high, you will also be buying high, which negates much of the benefit of selling high! People need to stop worrying about buying and selling at the absolute "right" time and instead focus on doing what is right for their family and financial situation right now. The absolute most important thing? Plan on staying in your new house for several years (as Lenn pointed out)!

Jul 22, 2008 12:52 AM
Paul Slaybaugh
Homesmart - Scottsdale, AZ
Scottsdale, AZ Real Estate

William - You are right on the mark.  Lots of second home buying this year from our friends to the north.  Many of our seasonal visitors from Canada have been eying a purchase in Scottsdale for years.  As we've always attracted out of town visitors in the winter and spring, this is the first time that the current environment includes plentiful inventory to choose from, lower prices and a stronger looney.  I haven't personally noticed an increase in European purchasers, but that doesn't mean they aren't here.  I just don't have any anecdotal evidence of that myself.

Carol - It is true that there are factors that often outweigh the finances involved in a move.  When you have to go, you have to go.  It is my hope that consumers realize, though, that there are ways to offset the perceived financial hardship that such a move will occasion.  They can work with the current market to minimize the perceived loss or even come out ahead.

Pam - Good points.  What is unique, at least for us, is that buyers continue to migrate to Scottsdale and Phoenix.  The demand remains fairly constant.  Only now, they have far more purchasing choices, and the once in a year type deals are hitting the market with far greater frequency (more like once in a week) as a result.  So out of area buyers can move to a highly desirable area like Scottsdale and take advantage of that rarest of all creatures: a highly desirable community with a bargain basement price.

Don - There are absolutely people who should just hold tight right now.  No argument from me on that.  I talk to potential sellers every week who have purchased within the last year or two, and for many, the best option is just to stay put until the storm passes.  Leasing the existing home is not a great option for such folks because the rent commanded won't come close to covering the monthly mortgage payment.  Of course, some of the savvy ones don't mind taking a 50k loss by selling now if it means a 100k savings on another home.  Especially if they have an adjustable rate getting ready to reset in the near future or some other financial burden that makes selling more attractive than holding.

Lenn - Now there's a thought!  Find a house that you like, negotiate the best deal possible and actually live there longer than the 2 years necessary to avoid capital gains?  That is some revolutionary thinking!

Kelly - You and Lenn are both spot on, of course.  Between the mortgage meltdown and wannabe Real Estate magnates who treat properties as little more than halfway houses, the disposable housing era should be coming to an end shortly, I hope.  Buying a home that you can afford to live in the for the duration of the mortgage, if necessary, is a good place to start.  Interest-only loans, teaser rates, etc have worked fine for those who could actually afford the full amortized payment when it came home to roost, but have crippled those who could only afford the entry level payment.  The assumption that you can turn around and sell the house in a couple years for a windfall profit, before the real payment is realized, won't be made by the public in the foreseeable future.  That is a good thing.

 

Jul 22, 2008 03:12 AM
Jason Sardi
Auto & Home & Life Insurance throughout North Carolina - Charlotte, NC
Your Agent for Life

Paul Slaybaugh - I like the thread thus far and this article is excellent & realistic information for folks out there in our current economic land.  As you stated though, "There is no such thing as a "BAD" market, nor a "GOOD" market.  There is only the market.  It's up to you to bend it to suit your purposes."    It's comes down to taking the realities and make them work for you and your needs.  It's kind of like the Jeet Kun Do of economics:-)

Jul 22, 2008 04:47 AM
Paul Slaybaugh
Homesmart - Scottsdale, AZ
Scottsdale, AZ Real Estate
Sardi - though tempted to leave a Bruce Lee reference as the last comment on the thread, my manners won't allow it. Jeet Kun Do indeed. Absorb what is useful and discard the rest. Applicable to every facet of life, I'd say. Maybe it's time to open up "Dragon Real Estate" or perhaps "Way of the Intercepting Fist ... And Homes." Or not.
Jul 22, 2008 06:12 AM
Joan Whitebook
BHG The Masiello Group - Nashua, NH
Consumer Focused Real Estate Services

Nice analysis.  I think that the maket is great for some as you point out.  It is important for people to assess and understand their needs and their goals.

Jul 22, 2008 07:18 AM
Paul Slaybaugh
Homesmart - Scottsdale, AZ
Scottsdale, AZ Real Estate

Joan - Thank you for your thoughts.

Jul 22, 2008 09:02 AM
Adam Waldman
Westcott Group Real Estate Company - Hauppauge, NY
Realtor - Long Island

PAUL - I agree completely.  I like the idea of having people looking to downsize rent their homes while they wait out the market in declining areas.  Nice job on this one!

Jul 26, 2008 11:59 PM
Anonymous
Kiki DeGroyne

Bend the market to my whim? Like the mystic Uri Geller in a spoon shop? 

Sep 15, 2008 06:41 AM
#20
Paul Slaybaugh
Homesmart - Scottsdale, AZ
Scottsdale, AZ Real Estate

Adam - Thanks, my friend.  There are solutions to the difficulties out there, we just need to alter our thinking for the times.

Kiki DeGroyne?  My kids have been doing that all morning.

Sep 15, 2008 07:17 AM