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IS THERE A REAL ESTATE TURN AROUND IN THE MAKING?

By
Services for Real Estate Pros with Ron Taylor and Sons Real Estate and Auctioneers

In an effort to turn around the depressing attitude of many realtors across the country because of the market we are in, some local North Carolina real estate publications are trying to put a positive spin on the market by stating that 2009 will be good year and that preparation needs to be made now to take advantage of the 2009 "turnaround."

Yet, several of the major on-line networks reported this morning that foreclosures doubled during the first half of this year and that 2009 doesn't look any better.

As a North Carolina auctioneer, I have tried and tried to approach lenders in North Carolina to let us auction some of their REO properties. With very few exceptions, the answer has been a resounding no.

Reality has not set in with many of these lenders and banks. Surely they understand that these "non-income producing assets", as they call them, will affect their book value. If they get too many, the Feds will step in.

The BPO agent (Brokers Price Opinion) seems to hold the key to the lender's decision. In hopes of "getting a listing", what we in the auctioneering business call the "list and wait" method of selling, the BPO agent gives a range of unrealistic values to the lender/bank.

Why pull comps that are three to six months old or older, to determine a range of values, when we are in a declining market? Hello! The home sits on the market for many months, some over a year. The home deteriorates, some are broken in, not to mention the holding cost and the loss value of money while it sits.

An auction determines "market value." When you have a group of people in a room bidding on a home, when the bidding stops, market value is established, viz., what a  buyer is willing to pay for the home.

"Market value" is not what sold next door three months ago or three streets over six months ago but what someone is willing to pay today.

For more information on auctions, go to my website at www.canSellnow.com.

Comments(5)

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Dick Betts
Dick Betts National Speaker - The Villages, FL
Realtor, Team Leader

Ron, great blog, I hope you are enjoing yourself her in AR.  I hope you are getting back what you invest to blog, I know I am!

Jul 25, 2008 02:40 AM
Jim Crawford
Long & Foster - Fredericksburg, VA
Jim Crawford Broker Associate Fredericksburg VA

Great post!  It is so true, that all the facts, and all the news aren't in just yet.  The jury is still out!

Jul 25, 2008 02:42 AM
Bill Gillhespy
16 Sunview Blvd - Fort Myers Beach, FL
Fort Myers Beach Realtor, Fort Myers Beach Agent - Homes & Condos

Hi Ron,  Seems like more and more I hear people blaming the lenders and their foot-dragging as one of the main reasons why these things take so long to close.  We just closed one which was 3 days shy of 5 months !

Jul 25, 2008 02:54 AM
Stu Magid
First Centennial Mortgage - Naperville, IL

Ron,

I agree that while foreclosures are up and at record levels, much of the "doom and gloom" is perpetuated by a media that thrives on sensationalism and the "if it bleeds it leads" mentality. 

Many of the foreclosures are on property that was purchased by people though the SISA, NIVA and No Doc products that were being pushed by the very lenders that are now crying for a bail-out.  It seems to me that when you create a No Doc product that only requires a 620 credit score (up to $500K!!!) and a pulse you're asking for trouble.

Home values are being driven downward by these foreclosures and the people that took loans they couldn't afford and the lenders that didn't bother to verify the borrower's capacity to afford.  For the people that bought at the top of the market the decline in their home value is currently only a "paper" loss.  They'd have to sell now to realize that loss.

For new home and existing home purchasers, and especially first time home buyers, this is a great opportunity.  Even for people that want to refinance, as long as they can verify their income and assets, the market is not bad.

If the media reported that this is a great time to buy, rather than foreclosures are up, I think we would see a turnaround much quicker.

 

Jul 25, 2008 02:58 AM
Tracey Shrouder
360 Realty - Greensboro, NC
Listing Specialist

I LOVE when the banks auction my REO properties...it always moves them and I still get paid :)  We have been having people fighting over REOs here, and today I have a highest and best situation by 2pm with at least 5 offers on the table.  Maybe that is why they are holding out right now in NC.  Greensboro is doing quite well.  Check out my sister's auction at 203 Elmwood, Greensboro NC.  It is on the MLS here and is being auctioned in August.  She wanted to try something new.

Tracey

 

Jul 25, 2008 03:01 AM