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Mortgage applications near 8-year low

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Affinity Realty

Mortgage application volume fell last week to its lowest level in nearly eight years, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday.

The fall in application volume is the latest sign of a struggling housing market. On Tuesday, a Commerce Department report showed construction of homes and apartments fell in July to the lowest level in more than 17 years.

And while fewer new homes are being built, fewer customers are also refinancing existing mortgages. A sharp drop in refinance volume in recent weeks has been the leading driver of declining application volume.

The trade group's application index fell to 419.3 during the week ending Aug. 15, its lowest level since the index hit 298.3 in December 2000, and a 1.5% decline from the prior week. Application volume is down 61% from its 2008 peak in February.

The MBA's index peaked at 1,856.7 during the week ending May 30, 2003, at the height of the housing boom. An index value of 100 is equal to the application volume on March 16, 1990, the first week the MBA tracked application volume.

The survey provides a snapshot of mortgage-lending activity among mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. It covers about 50% of all residential retail mortgage originations each week.

Application volume fell despite a drop in interest rates as well. The average rate for traditional, 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell to 6.47% during the week ending Aug. 15, from 6.57% the previous week.

The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, often a popular option for refinancing a home, fell to 5.99% from 6.17%. The average rate for one-year adjustable-rate mortgages fell to 7.07% from 7.15%.

Comments(4)

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Ann-Marie Clements
Candidate for an Ed.D. in Educational Leadership - Saint John, NB
Ed.D. candidate, Innovative Proactive Principa

Hi Calvin,

Why would anybody in their right mind buy now???  The housing hasn't flatlined yet, it's still going down and to top it off, Mortgage companies are "tightening their belts" on all applications.  That would discourage any buyer into purchasing property now. 

In August, it will probably be worse, since most families have moved and school is basically around the corner.  The only buyers I do see, is any out-of-towners moving in and Investment buyers, who can buy properties "dirty cheap" due to foreclosures that banks want to get off their hands.

After the next presidential election, maybe within a year or so, the housing industry might pickup, if Congress and the next "New" President go through the process to begin getting this country out of their recession, if the "depression" isn't already there then.

 

 

Aug 21, 2008 09:27 AM
Richmond Virginia
Richmond, VA

Some people have to buy now...life goes on.  They get a job transfer, expand their family, want to live in the country, whatever.  Fact is, we can't predict where the bottom is or when it'll happen.

Buying a home is a long term investment and in the long run it will go up in value.  People buying now aren't going to be in trouble...it's folks who bought 18 months ago that are feeling the pain.

Aug 21, 2008 09:33 AM
Christopher Bonta
The Bean Group - Londonderry, NH
Realtor, Integrity and Honesty

Tim, your comment is right on target, couldn't have said it better myself. If a Buyer can buy now, why not purchase their buying at the bottom (or near bottom) of the market and if the hold onto their property like they should, they won't be getting burned.

Your right when you said the people who are getting hurt are the ones who bought 18 months ago, I'll even expand that and include people who bought 2-3 years ago and all people within the last year who refinanced their house, sucking out all equity.

Aug 21, 2008 09:37 AM
Sasha Miletic - Windsor Real Estate
RE/MAX Preferred Realty Ltd. - Windsor, ON

Hi Calvin, Welcome to AR, Be a Blogholic and start writing your own blog soon on AR. All the best for your RE business. This is the right place for customers, friends, realtionships etc.

Best - Sash 

PS: FREE blog traffic strategy video...Hope this will help you... click here

Aug 22, 2008 12:35 AM