I am not too pleased about the yet to be defined $700 billion dollar bail out that Henry Paulson is proposing. First, I believe the banks made their bed so they need to lay in it. Second, I am not sure this is going to do anything to actually stabilize the housing market. I believe we need to be focusing on a bottom up approach by helping the Joe Blow on Main Street instead of the Fat Cats gambling with our money on Wall Street. Here are a couple of things I think they could do with the money that would probably have more of an impact: Federal Works Programs: What is missing from our economy is a wholesale job creation strategy. I mean real jobs that pay real wages. Since it is obvious we need more oil refineries and infrastructure improvements, the government should take the bulk of this money and fund building oil refineries to get the cost of gas down and improving the infrastructure of our highways and public transportation systems. This creates jobs which are what people really need. Most foreclosures are because of job losses and medical issues, not predatory lending, exotic mortgage programs and the like. The government needs to focus on helping deserving homeowners get back on their feet with real job opportunities that benefit the public at large. Stop-Gap Lending: The housing market is in the toilet and many homeowners are stuck in their mortgages because lenders have constricted underwriting guidelines to the point of absurdity. Of course no homes are selling and prices are falling. No one can get a freaking mortgage to buy a home! They went from making loans to dead people to only making loans to over qualified applicants leaving the bulk of folks with no decent financing options. Expedite Foreclosures: Yes, they need to expedite the foreclosure process. Target this at the specuvestors with the option ARMs and $3 million in properties they though they could flip in the hot new condo development in Miami. Get these properties foreclosed on quickly. Next start the public lashings of those involved in obvious fraud from the Loan Officers, Consumers, Realtors, Attorneys all the way to the Wall Street titans. Incentives to Buy Foreclosures: Provide some significant and real incentives to buy foreclosed properties. Maybe have a 10 year property tax holiday for buyers of foreclosed properties. Provide financing programs that allow home owners to buy foreclosed homes with zero down and get loans to fix up the properties as well. Moratorium on New Housing Development: There needs to be a massive moratorium on any new developments from these crap box subdivisions out in the middle of corn fields to over priced yuppie condo ghettos. We do not need any more developers until we get inventories back to a manageable level. National Standards & Licensing: Not going to go into it here in detail, but the rest of the money should go to creating new standards and oversight at the National Level that trump State qualifications for Realtors and Loan Officers. Turn the fields into a real profession and not the joke that it is today. We need to purge about 80% of the people who call themselves Realtors and Loan Officers. Most importantly, the law makers need to LISTEN to those of us who do this everyday and the lobbyist and executives… Rant over.
Russ, that sounds like a sound financial platform however I can't remember when we saw anything more than Knee-jerk reaction from the people in Washington. Just throw money at it and go on Vacation...
Most of the guys people who can affect change are so far removed I don't think they really have a clue what is causing what. I still can't figure out how Wall Street didn't know they were buying junk mortgages. Certainly every joe blow mortgage broker I know knew the loans were garbage. I am waiting on the emails to surface showing that Wall Street knew the products they were creating were crap though - kind of like happened with the dot com boom.
I just think we can have a bigger impact with the $700 billion by doing other things that helping out the banks.
Steve:
I hope all of these guys get tossed under a bus by their constituents in the next election. We need a wholesale cleaning of both the senate and congress. We have way too many professional politicians who don't know their ass from their elbow and are only interested in ensuring they get elected again. But then again, we don't get the government we deserve, we get the one we elect.
Hopefully, this will wake people up as to how both parties are screwing us royally.
Hi Russ.... Thanks for your grea post. 700,Billion might be "low." Hey . . . whats the climate lie in your neck-of-the-woods? Here on Kauai we have very few sales and Sellers are still entrenched in their concept of the old prices. Its a battle of wills at this point.
Aloha
Jim
Even if they would implement a portion of what has been posted it would be a miracle. Washington isn't going to change anything. They may try to prosecute a couple of high profile executives but the donations will keep coming, the lobbyists will still be employed ad influencig....it's truly pathetic what the government FOR the PEOPLE has turned into.
Jim:
It honestly isn't too bad. My personal business was pretty strong this year. Probably from the fact there is far less competition. The housing market is flat. The biggest issue we face in Chicago is that we aren't considered a high cost area so we couldn't benefit from the increased conforming loan limits. That ticked a lot of people off as you can't get much here in the city proper for $417k. With the jumbo market in shambles, it pretty much eliminated a large portion of buyers when you need 20% down to get a mortgage - a lot of high income young professionals.
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