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3rd Quarter Real Estate Market Report for Salem Oregon

By
Real Estate Agent with Tomson Burnham, llc Licensed in the State of Oregon

Time for stats reports...forget going for a massage, manicure, or game of pick up ball at the gym. Real estate market stats are totally exciting! You need to pay attention because there is a test at the end...Here is where our local markets currently stand. Here is what is occurring in the city of Salem in real estate...



Average Sales price:



average sold price salem oregon homes

Well...you may remember me saying in my last quarterly report, that the plateau we were seeing was a possible indicator of stabilization in our market.

 

Clearly that was presumptuous. I really should have stuck with my original thoughts which was that high inventory was going to finally catch up with us.


There is a normal real estate dip in September due to August being a huge vacation month. From September of last year there has been an 8.5% drop in price. From last month there has been 12.2% drop in the average sold price.



With the financial markets still in flux, I would be surprised if there was a significant bump back up in October.


30 day Absorption Rate/Inventory:

Salem has a current absorption rate of 117. This places the current Salem inventory at 13 months.


Home Sales Closed:

home sales volume salem oregonIn the 3nd quarter this year, 424 homes closed on the market. That is down 27 % from the same time frame last year when 581 homes closed in the third quarter. Sales volume is still off, and with the current financial markets, I don't see these numbers looking any better.


New Home Construction:

 new home sales salem oregon

New home sales were even from the same quarter last year. The average new home construction price is $318,310 down 2.7% from the same time frame last year. September home prices dropped 14% in September over August.

 

 

 


Condominiums :

condo prices salem oregon
The condo market in Salem continues to be a very small portion of our market. With the Meridian, Riverfront, and Church St condos getting close to completion, those numbers are going to make these numbers go up. All of those condos are in the luxury condo market range. So currently prices are fairly stable, but this chart may look artificially high in the coming months as they sell a few of those condos. Since the sold numbers are so small, one luxury sale will have a large impact on the average sales price.


Luxury Market ($500,000+):

luxury home sales salem oregon
There was a 77.7% decrease in luxury home sales from the same time as last year. The luxury market continues to suffer as lenders strengthen debt to income ratios, and tighten lending standards. This portion of our market has almost come to a standstill in the past two years. There was a peak in August, which was due to a 22% drop in the average price. Someone got motivated to sell.

 

 


(c) Copyright, 2008. Melina Tomson, All Rights Reserved (ie...be nice and create your own content. Don't steal mine...)

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Comments(10)

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Margaret Oscilia
Creative Concepts-Home Staging and Contracting, Salem Oregon - Salem, OR
Home Stager, Salem Oregon

Melina -- these comprehensive market reports by not only market area but also type set you apart as a true real estate professional.  This is useful information and I appreciate how specific it is.  Thank you for providing this incredible service.

Oct 11, 2008 01:17 AM
Melina Tomson
Tomson Burnham, llc Licensed in the State of Oregon - Salem, OR
Principal Broker/Owner, M.S.

You are welcome Margaret.

Oct 11, 2008 06:14 AM
Gary McNinch
Better Properties Real Estate - Renton, WA
Broker, Renton WA Real Estate

Melina - when I talked with my brother in Salem, he was totally impressed with your understanding of the market trends.   A true professional must know AND BE ABLE TO RELATE the market. Nice.

List and Sell (and always know your local market)  Gary @ RentonHomeFinder

Oct 11, 2008 07:11 AM
Marchel Peterson
Results Realty - Spring, TX
Spring TX Real Estate E-Pro

Melina, Did you make the graphs yourself?  They are very comprehensive.  Our area has had a big drop in the number of homes sold but our price has stayed about the same.  So are your prices dipping or are buyers buying less expensive houses?

Oct 11, 2008 07:32 AM
Melina Tomson
Tomson Burnham, llc Licensed in the State of Oregon - Salem, OR
Principal Broker/Owner, M.S.

Gary, your brother is a nice guy.

Marchel-I did make the graphs myself.  We had that exact same scenario here but inventories were creeping up.  People are finally dropping their prices.  Homes under $200,000 only have a 6 month inventory or so.

Oct 11, 2008 05:14 PM
Marchel Peterson
Results Realty - Spring, TX
Spring TX Real Estate E-Pro

Melina, what program did you use to make the graphs.  I have seen a lot of graphs but I like yours the best.  Next question do you mind if I use that format?

Oct 12, 2008 12:43 AM
Melina Tomson
Tomson Burnham, llc Licensed in the State of Oregon - Salem, OR
Principal Broker/Owner, M.S.

Marchel,

I just used MS Word for these.  You can set your background to whatever you want, and so I chose one of my powerpoint presentation backgrounds that I have.

You may want to try the SmartDraw 8 trial (be warned that you can't print anything without the SmartDraw logo on it until you purchase it, so just mess around with it).  I used SmartDraw in the past and thought it was clunky. They sent me an email for their new version and it is slick.  Since I do a lot of charts and graphs, I'm going to purchase it.

My next graphs will make these look ugly...

Oct 12, 2008 11:39 AM
Jean Groesbeck
Compass - Anacortes, WA
Broker, CRS, e-PRO, ABR, ASP, CNE, IMS

Great format for presenting stats!  I enjoy your blog and can tell you are a great professional!

Oct 15, 2008 04:17 PM
Bryan Schroeder
Equity Generation - Salem, OR

This is excellent I have been looking for someone who would supply a report like this.  Thanks Melina

Nov 21, 2008 09:28 AM
Melina Tomson
Tomson Burnham, llc Licensed in the State of Oregon - Salem, OR
Principal Broker/Owner, M.S.

You're welcome Bryan.

Nov 21, 2008 01:34 PM