Louisville, Colorado and surrounding areas - Real Estate Trends 4Q 2007

By
Real Estate Agent with Peak Real Estate Advisors


The average home price in Metro Denver increased +2% in the full year 2005 to the full year 2006, from $309,000 to $317,000. Comparing 2006 to 2007, the average home price across the metro dropped 2%, from $311,000. The average price of a foreclosure or short sale dropped in that time period -3% to $188,000. The average price of a non-distress sale increased 5% to $370,000. Sales volume over the last twelve months is off -4% for DSF/ASF. Foreclosure and short sale volume is up +31%; non-distress seller volume is off 20%.

Some areas did better than others. The attached chart shows different neighborhoods in North Metro Denver. Each region has the neighborhood's name and the percentage of sales in the last twelve months that were either short sales or bank-owned properties. The second line has the price change the twelve months from 2006 vs. 2007. Next, you'll see the average home price in the last twelve months and the number of homes that were sold.

There had to be at least twenty sales in the last year for an area to be included. The numbers are more reliable in areas where there were more sales. In some neighborhoods you'll see dramatic price declines, largely due to the influence of a lot of bank foreclosures. This mainly occurs in less expensive neighborhoods, where the average home price is under $200K. In more expensive areas, a change in the mix of the types of homes sold can dramatically change the price increase or decrease. Also be aware that there are often multiple builders and/or subdivisions in a given "neighborhood". These stats are a lot more interesting than reporting on the average of the entire metro, but you still have to take some care in how they are interpreted!

Source: Your Castle Real Estate analysis, MLS data

(c) Copyright  2007, Your Castle Real Estate

 

Comments (6)

Brandon Gill
Your Castle Real Estate - Aurora, CO

Any idea how the job market will impact this data?  Is Colorado expected to create more jobs in the short term. It would be interesting to see how the real estate market is effected by the job market.

Oct 22, 2008 03:39 PM
Brandon Gill
Your Castle Real Estate - Aurora, CO

Any idea how the job market will impact this data?  Is Colorado expected to create more jobs in the short term. It would be interesting to see how the real estate market is effected by the job market.

Oct 22, 2008 03:40 PM
Jim Goffred
Your Castle Real Estate - Parker, CO

Have you heard that the days on market have been decreasing the last two months?  I think that maybe we are past the bottom and climbing on up. It will still take some time but I'm seeing the first signs of things turning around.

Oct 22, 2008 04:40 PM
Karen Hinkel
Your Castle Real Estate - Denver, CO

It is amazing to see how much some of these markets have dropped and look like they are continuing to drop.  I hope the bottom is near for some of these communities.  On the flip side, what a great market to buy an investment in.

Oct 24, 2008 04:41 PM
Melanye Phipps
Innovative Real Estate Group - Arvada, CO

Can't wait to see what is happening in the 3Q of this year.  It seems that much of the map will stay the same.  It would be interesting to hear if any of these areas have it rock bottom.

Oct 25, 2008 02:29 PM
Todd Houghton
Your Castle Real Estate - Aurora, CO

Your information reflects a true depiction of what is going on in the Denver market. I like the way you have put this information. It is insightful but matter of fact.  Do you send this information to your clients or just use it in your brokerage?

Oct 26, 2008 03:17 PM

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