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Will Subprime Bailouts help, or are they a waste of taxpayer money?

By
Real Estate Agent with Key Realty Group Inc. 200512291
Non-profit groups and legislators are increasing efforts to help people facing foreclosure. Critics state the programs will do little to stop the trend of foreclosures sweeping the nation right now.

On Wednesday, the Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America (NACA), a nonprofit devoted to helping people who have been the victim of predatory lending, announced a $1 billion program that will refinance strapped borrowers out of adjustable mortgages with soaring rates into low fixed-rate 30-year loans.

Here in our local Eugene market, things are quite stable compared to the national market. We have seen some leveling, but this has just lead to a return to a balanced market, favoring the buyers.

  • What do you think about the Federal Government or even these non-profit groups stepping in to attempt to prevent a large portion of these foreclosures by refinancing them with 30 -year fixed loans?

They say they have a 60% failure rate, but what that statement is overlooking is that that means there is a 40% success rate. A lot better than the odds sales people like ourselves are used to facing.

  • How do you regulate a situation like this though? How do you make sure the limited funds make it where they need to go without prioritizing based on factors that would violate the Fair Housing Act.
The Boom is Dead-Out of the black and into the red

Borrowers who enter the NACA program will be able to refinance out of their loan into a 30-year fixed mortgage at a rate that is 1 percentage point below what would be available through a for-profit bank.

Currently NACA is offering loans with a 5.62 percent interest rate.

Citigroup and Bank of America have pledged the combined $1 billion to fund the program, which NACA hopes will help as many as 10,000 homeowners at risk of default.

The delinquency rate among borrowers with poor credit has risen to 13.3 percent, according to First American LoanPerformance. That's the highest level since the company started tracking delinquencies in that group a decade ago.

For all borrowers, delinquency rates have risen nearly 50 percent in the past two years to a recent 2.87 percent, according to Equifax Inc. and Moody's Economy.com. Historically, more than half of all borrowers who become delinquent on their mortgage eventually enter foreclosure with their bank.

"There are hundreds of billions of dollars worth of problem loans out there," says Zach Schiller, research director at Policy Matters Ohio. "We have much larger problems than can be dealt with by these programs."

 

If you're looking for a safe market to invest in, Eugene is still seeing steady growth. We have leveled off on our appreciation growth rate, but this has helped to normalize our market leaving some lower priced inventory affordable to the local buyers. (Eugene is not traditionally a high wage city to live in, therefore we need to preserve some inventory from outside investors, for the first time buyers.)

 

Kelli Fronabarger
Bend River Realty Inc. - Bend, OR
Realtor - Bend Oregon

Hello Team Thayer-

Interesting post. I think the Feds need to help. Certainly the banks cannot do it all on their own, there is just too much. However, like you, I am concerned that the bailout/tax dollars will not make it to the folks who will need it the most. Who makes the call on that anyways? A bit of a quagmire it seems. Good post : ) Have a great weekend.

Apr 13, 2007 05:52 AM
Steven Shewell
Primary Residential Mortgage, Inc. - Ephrata, PA
The Mortgage Maverick

It would be nice if the Feds were to say they are going to help, but all we have to do is look at the people who were "helped" during Hurricane Katrina and you can get a good idea of the massive fraud that is perpetrated.

Sounds good on paper, but in practical application I fear it will come up well short of its intentions.

Apr 13, 2007 06:00 AM
R. B. "Bob" Mitchell - Loan Officer Raleigh/Durham
Bank of England (NMLS#418481) - Raleigh, NC
Bob Mitchell (NMLS#1046286)

Great Post...I heard about this bailout on NPR the other day and thought that it was a great idea!  It's just as important for a housing advocacy group to help people stay in their homes as it is to get them into homes in the first place!

I do think that the government needs to step in and help these folks.  I don't think however that the government needs to regulate sub-prime lenders out of the business.

One of the things that bothered me by that report was the lady who they interviewed that was crying about how her broker lied to her and such.  Well, I have no way of knowing that this was true or not, but I do know that she can't claim that she wasn't disclosed to.  The broker disclosed the terms to her, more than likely the investor disclosed the terms to her and she signed all kinds of papers at closing that disclosed the terms to her.  Was sh not paying attention?

Don't be so quick to blame the broker on this.  First of all, it might not have been a broker and second of all her loan was underwritten by an investor (probably a large corporation).  There is an elaborate series of checks and balances, especially with sub prime loans and it's irresponsible to simply blame the mortgage broker!

R.B. "Bob" Mitchell

ValueList Real Estate Services, Inc. 

Apr 13, 2007 06:05 AM
David Petrovich
S.P.O.C.H. a 501c3 Charitable NP - Oakhurst, NJ
Good Post.  Perhaps you would include it for discussion on:  ForeclosureFocusUSA
Apr 13, 2007 06:18 AM