Big Bear Home Sales - November 2008

By
Real Estate Agent with RE/MAX Big Bear

Home sales in Big Bear for November 2008 (50 total) dropped 25% as compared to the same month last year, and fell 32% from the October 2008 home sales number of 73.

This is a pretty big drop in sales activity, which is most likely a result of all the negative economic news over the past 60+ days. Typically, November & December are the best two months of the year for closings.

The median price for the homes sold was $240,287, down 6% from Oct. 2008 and also down 15% from Nov. 2007. The median price has been quite sporadic the past 6 months, ranging between $205,000 to $282,500. With such a limited amount of sales, any slight variation can throw these numbers around.

There remains nearly $85,000 difference between the median asking price of $325,000 and the median sales price of $240,287. If you are trying to sell your Big Bear home in this market, then it will require an aggressive price. If you are not priced aggressively, you will be one of the hundreds out there that are not selling. With an average of 56 homes selling per month, and over 1000 for sale, that is less than 6% of the total inventory. There is a lot of competition on the market, you need to be realistic!

If you absolutely do not have to sell your home, the don't even bother trying right now. It is just not the time for "giving it a try."

Bank owned & short sale properties made up a significant amount of the home sales in Big Bear in November, even more than Oct. 2008. Out of the 50 homes sales, 18 (36%, up from 23% last month) of the them were bank owned while 4 (8%, up from 5% last month) were short sales. That is a total of 22 homes, or 44% of the total sales in November, that were "distressed" sales. While the bank owned properties may be driving real estate prices downward, there continue to be buyers ready & willing to jump on the opportunity to buy them.

One important item to note, there are still buyers out there. It is common for the prospective buyers in this market to think that they are the only ones looking for property. They think they are special (like sellers used to think back in 03', 04' & 05'). The fact is, 50 people bought a home in Big Bear last month. The number may be less, but buyers are still out there. If you are looking at a property in Big Bear, and it is a "good deal," there is a good a chance that you are not the only one looking at it, even in this market.

Big Bear Homes Sales - November 2008

Month and Year/ # Homes For Sale/ Median Asking $/ # Homes Sold/ Median Sales $
Nov 2008 1032 $325,000 50 $240,287
Oct 2008 1078 $329,000 73 $255,000
Sept 2008 1109 $328,500 82 $224,500
Aug 2008     60 $282,500
July 2008     62 $205,000
June 2008     62 $247,500
May 2008     67 $290,000
April 2008     50 $299,500
Mar 2008 1082 $339,950 49 $288,000
Feb 2008 1049 $345,000 34 $249,950
Jan 2008 1094 $339,900 30 $283,250
Dec 2007     55 $273,750
Nov 2007     66 $282,500
Oct 2007     53 $310,000
Sept 2007     60 $269,750
Aug 2007     81 $310,000
July 2007     70 $293,450
June 2007     59 $350,000
May 2007     81 $309,900
April 2007     59 $340,000
Mar 2007     82 $311,100
Feb 2007     78 $302,500
Jan 2007     55 $325,000
Dec 2006     95 $320,000
Nov 2006     90 $392,000

Year to Date Sales (1/1/2008 - 11/30/2008)

Year/ # of Homes Sold/ Median Sales Price/ Average Sales Price/ Days on Market/ List Price to Sales Price
2008 621 $255,000 $330,724 135 94%
2007 734 $314,500 $407,424 123 95%
2006 1061 $319,300 $397.086 81 97%
2005 1647 $289,900 $356,108 68 98%
2004 1738 $230,000 $274,615 75 98%
2003 1481 $185,500 $226,535 58 98%

Big Bear Home Sales - Year to Date Numbers

Though we have seen a pick up in sales over the past two quarters, the number of homes sold this year is still 113 (16%) behind the 2007 numbers. 2008 will go down as slowest year for sales in Big Bear in over 20 years.

The median sales price for 2008 is down 19% from the 2007 median, and the average sales price is down 19% from 2007 as well.

Year to date sales are off more than 64% from 2004 numbers though the median & average sales prices for 2008 are still higher than 2004 by 10% & 17% respectively. That is some good news to end with!

* Note: The charts above will be updated on a monthly basis. It represents single family home sales in the Big Bear area, including Big Bear Lake, Big Bear City, Moonridge, Fox Farm, Sugarloaf, Erwin Lake, & Fawnskin. Data courtesy of the Big Bear MLS. These numbers do not include raw land or condos nor does not include homes in the Big Bear MLS that are located out of the Big Bear area.

Related Articles

Sales Up, Prices Down In Big Bear Lake

Big Bear Home Sales For October 2008

Big Bear Home Sales 2008 - 2nd & 3rd Quarters

Absorption Rates For The Big Bear Real Estate Market - October 2008

 

Syndicated from & originally posted at The Big Bear Skinny.

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Tyler Wood

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