So... is the sky falling?

For those of you unfamiliar with the fable of "Chicken Little" I will give you a brief re-cap: an old fable about a Chicken (or a Hare in early versions) who believes the sky is falling. The phrase, "The sky is falling" has passed into the English language as a common idiom indicating a hysterical or mistaken belief that disaster is imminent.

So, I ask, is the sky falling in Canada? Will we have a repeat of the 80's when mortgage rates rose so swiftly seemingly overnight that people were losing their homes in the blink of an eye? Will home values crash?

One of the more common themes in the media over the last few months is the progression of the mortgage meltdown debacle in the United States, the "economic crisis" and how that has parlayed into a Canadian recession that we have yet to feel the real brunt of here. Its a disconcerting thing to read all those reports isn't it? Yet for every doomsday report on a National level, there is one detailing how Winnipeg's housing market is still holding strong. I do not discount we are heading into financially trying times, however I think we are living in a unique city in that we seem to be "bucking the national trend" as media outlets have put it.

The most recent report released by Royal LePage echoes the one released by RE/MAX. The report suggests that Winnipeg is holding strong entering 2009. How is this possible some people ask? Well, Winnipeg's home prices have risen dramatically over the last half decade or so, however comparing our statistics to those of other major city centres such as Vancouver, Calgary and Toronto we are still way below the national trend. This fact is helping us avoid a major crash in our market. What you can buy for $200k here, will most likely cost two to four times that in other major cities. So, what you can buy here in Winnipeg, with all the comforts, services and benefits of a major city, we are not doing too badly!

So this is my challenge to you home buyers and sellers on the Manitoba home front. Try to think critically about what facts the media is presenting to the public as a whole. Remember that a lot of those articles are spin offs from the associated press in other provinces, and are also often national reports that don't focus on our unique situation here at home. Read the local reports, talk to local agents and brokers to see their thoughts on the market. Make up your own mind as to what is going to happen. We do not deny that we are facing economically trying times, that we will feel the squeeze eventually is inevitable.

Lastly, don't put off buying a home if you can afford it. If you want or need to move, there is no sense letting anxiety take over; fearing that we will all be thrown out into the streets because of an impending recession will do nothing for your current quality of life and sanity. Are bidding wars over? Most likely. Is the market headed for a balance? I think so.

Here is to happy house hunting and selling for everyone! Cheers!