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The New Tax Credit and What it Means to the Industry

By
Mortgage and Lending with LINCOLN MORTGAGE

The newly proposed tax credit that is to be voted on Feb 10th by Congress has many implications for anyone associated with the real estate industry. This $15,000 tax credit would replace the $7,500 tax credit which only benefited first time homebuyers. This new credit is an attempt to motivate the six-figure income bracket to upgrade a princ. residence.

Certainly on the surface, it would appear to be great motivation to purchase. People in this income bracket are more likely to need a tax break. And wiping clean up to $15,000 in taxes, while at the same time taking advantage of the low housing prices and interest rates, would seem a no-brainer for anyone in that position. Also, this is a true credit as opposed to an interest-free loan, which the previous one was. This new credit would not have to be repaid. Home purchasers would have the ability to claim two $7,500 credits in successive years.

The credit is part of the $780 billion stimulus package and the bill still has to get through the House to be included as part of the overall plan. With all the pork ( a blog topic for another day ) that's tagging along with this stimulus package, it sure would be nice to see something of value such as this tax credit get pushed through along with it.

There are, of course, some dissenting voices. Quoting a comment from a Bloomberg interview, Robert Carroll, VP for economic policy at the Tax Foundation, states that, "Propping up a failing industry is certainly outside the scope of the stimulus package."

To which I can only say, if Mr. Carroll has gone through the package item by item, and his biggest issue is a homebuyers' tax credit, he must eat a lot of pork dinners.

Comments(9)

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Marilyn Katz
Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices New England Properties - Westport, CT
ABR, e-PRO - WestportCTProperties.com

"Propping up a failing industry is certainly outside the scope of the stimulus package."

Is he kidding?  Without fixing the housing industry, nothing will bring back a healthly economy.

Feb 08, 2009 07:53 AM
Jason Crouch
Austin Texas Homes, LLC - Austin, TX
Broker - Austin Texas Real Estate (512-796-7653)

Marty - I think the tax credit is certainly a step in the right direction, but I think the only thing that will provide any movement toward a true recovery is loosening the credit markets again.  The pendulum has swung too far in the other direction now, eliminating a huge chunk of the buying market.

Feb 08, 2009 07:55 AM
Alan Brown
Coldwell Banker Realty - Davenport, FL
35 Years of Real Estate Experience .

I am not a big fan of messing with the free market either, however if they feel like they need to give the housing market a boost, this $15,000 tax credit for buying a principal residence without having to pay it back, just might help a few people. Very witty at the end.."Pork Dinners"

Feb 08, 2009 07:55 AM
Tim and Pam Cash
Crye-Leike (Sango) - Clarksville, TN
Real Estate Professionals - Clarksville TN

At this point, anything that can spur qualified buyers to get out there we should certainly look at. 

Feb 08, 2009 08:04 AM
MARTY HANCOCK
LINCOLN MORTGAGE - Sewell, NJ

Marilyn,

Exactly. The statement seems almost absurd. If a failing industry is outside the scope of the stimulus, I guess the Big Three auto companies may just want to pack it in.

Jason,

You're right. I was at a sales rally last week and a very high profile economist was the guest speaker. He said what we all know, that the guidelines have over-tightened, that the pendulum has swung too far the other way, and banks need to relax them a bit for the market to jump-start.

Curiously, he was asked twice HOW that loosening can be acheived, and he never did answer that one.

There are several factors preventing that loosening. First, is the falling values. Once its established that prices have hit bottom and are stabilizing, lenders will relax their guidelines. The only thing worse than getting a property back is getting a property back that's not worth what it was appraised for during time of purchase. There's also the threat of rates going yet lower, which lessens the likelyhood of their risk being rewarded by a long and satisfied payment history, due to the chance of refinancing.

But I think the biggest obstacle to relaxation of lending criteria is lenders are waiting to see exactly what F'mae has become; how it will be run now that its overseen by the government? Will it guarantee loans as it once did? (We all know how valid their last 'guarantee' turned out to be). Will it operate as a sort of watchdog? Will it endorse looser guidelines by accepting these loans so that they can be secured on the secondary market? So far, all they've put in to place are harsher regs, pushing almost everyone who doesn't have 20% down and pristine credit to go FHA.

 

Alan,

Thanks. You should have seen what I wrote before I cleaned it up.

Diane,

I think the max income is capped at $150,000, but I haven't seen anything re a scale-down.

 

Tim, Pam,

Yes. If you get a chance to review some of the 'pork' rolled into this thing, you'll be all for ANYTHING that may help us. Even if the effect is similar to throwing a brick into the Grand Canyon.

 

Feb 08, 2009 08:48 AM
Catherine C Capasso
Catherine Cornelia Real Estate - Eastchester, NY
Cottage or Castle, What's Your Dream!

I like the possibility of this; however, I don't like the fact it is included in the stimulus package which I feel will cost too much in so many ways. Why can't this be a separate proposal?

What is the real problem in the housing market - excess inventory that is overpriced. Reduce prices and watch the offers come in.

Feb 08, 2009 09:17 AM
MARTY HANCOCK
LINCOLN MORTGAGE - Sewell, NJ

Catherine,

My guess is that the reality of politics (and how the back-room deals are made) just makes it easier to throw this bill in with the rest of the package. Like it or not, the stimulus package is now a reality. If there's a bill in there which may spur the housing market, why would you look that gift horse in the mouth?

And I respectfully disagree that overpriced nad excess inventory is the biggest problem with the market. This basic law of supply and demand is irrefutable, but there are other forces at work here besides over-priced over-supply. I touched on them in my reply to Jason (above).

Marty

Feb 08, 2009 09:39 AM
Tony Grego, 317-663-4173 #1 Trade Association for Alternative Inv
REISA - 317-663-4173 - Indianapolis, IN

It will be interesting to see how the market will react. Not getting too excited until I see the final version then go from there.

Thanks

Tony

Feb 08, 2009 10:50 AM
MARTY HANCOCK
LINCOLN MORTGAGE - Sewell, NJ

Well, SS,

What are you saying? That we should not be optomistic? If you want to be pessimistic, just read the papers every day.

Marty 

Feb 09, 2009 06:06 AM