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Yet another sign that the "great recession" is upon us...

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner

According to an articlein Bloomberg.com yesterday, American Express is offering some cardholders $300 to pay off and close their accounts.

The article went on to say that charges-offs rose to 8.29% in January from 7% in December.

What this means is that American Express is anticipating losses growing and as a result they want to hedge these losses by getting ahead of the problem now rather than waiting for the problem to hit them in the future.

This is yet another example that the perception within the banking and financial industries is that we are going to see continued economic headwinds for an extended period of time; think years, not months.  And it is also the reason why these same banks and financial institutions don't want to extend new credit in the same volume that they had been doing over the past several years, regardless of the TARP money they have received.

It is an interesting paradox, loose credit got us into this crisis and yet the government is trying to solve the problem by incentiveizing the banks to extend more credit.  It's kind of like the government trying to spend our way to economic prosperity, it doesn't work. 

 

Comments(6)

Jim Crawford
Long & Foster - Fredericksburg, VA
Jim Crawford Broker Associate Fredericksburg VA

It is incredible, but you really have to think that too many persons lived way beyond their means on credit.  In the past credit was only used for emergencies.  I think a lot of persons tapped out that to the max.

Feb 24, 2009 01:30 AM
Lenn Harley
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Homes and Real Estate - Leesburg, VA
Real Estate Broker - Virginia & Maryland

Makes sense.  If folks can find the money to pay their balances less $300, it's a good deal for both.  Once the account goes into default, both vendor and customer are losers.

Feb 24, 2009 01:30 AM
Andrew Mooers | 207.532.6573
MOOERS REALTY - Houlton, ME
Northern Maine Real Estate-Aroostook County Broker

Savings accounts that you were brought up bringing to school were a good thing. The  envelopes with a regular weekly plan in mind and watching the funds grow was a valuable experience. There were no credit cards...you were scared of debt and preferred to save and then when you did spend, it was after careful patient search for the best value, the best deal. You did not need things right now, there were no drive thrus. Poor impulse control is something to warn kids about..or they learn the hard way with the American average of $17,000 credit card debt load...and that is the average. Ouch! When they lose credit, they get used to living without it...as no other way unless they get gram or gramp to co sign on a loan for a car they stick the folks with in some cases.  Can you say time for correction? Sure you can!

Feb 24, 2009 02:01 AM
John Mulkey
TheHousingGuru.com - Waleska, GA
Housing Guru

Amex is just preparing for the credit card defaults which are already on the way. What they're doing may make sense, but it's insignificant when compared to the potential for loss.

Feb 24, 2009 02:01 AM
Mark MacKenzie
Phoenix, AZ

Jim:  Agreed.  It helped to fuel our economy, but now they are going into default and as a result our economy is contracting.

Lenn:  I agree it makes sense, I am all for it.  It is indeed a time of the signs though.  Banks want to deleverage.

Andrew:  This is indeed going to be a very painful correction for every American, even those that didn't borrow.

John:  Agreed.  This is a smart move by AMEX, but something tells me the people who are going to pay it off are likely not the same people that are at risk of defaulting.

Feb 24, 2009 02:29 AM
Silvia Dukes PA, Broker Associate, CRS, CIPS, SRES
Tropic Shores Realty - Ich spreche Deutsch! - Spring Hill, FL
Florida Waterfront and Country Club Living

Mark, to me the paradox is and has always been that in order to have "credit" and get more money, you have to "owe" money.  I remember my first credit card application being rejected (years and years ago) because I didn't owe anybody a penney, yet had a good paying job and substantial savings.

Feb 25, 2009 04:47 AM