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The Doctrine Of Unintended Consequences—Currently In Play For The Mortgage Market

By
Mortgage and Lending with Greenville, NC

I recently completed a six part review the Homeowners Affordability and Stability Plan. In many of these posts, I mused about the Unintended Consequences that may be associated with elements of this plan.

 

As a disclaimer I must inform you this six part series was written between the time of the announcement of the plan and the March 4th date of details being released. I will need to conduct further review now that details have been released. I took a break and wrote about other subjects last weekend and Good News I’ve been really busy with my day job, originating mortgages in Greenville, NC.

 

The Obama administration, in the Affordability, section of the plan advanced the concept that borrowers with loan to value exceeding 80% could not benefit from the current refinance environment. This left me scratching my head, because this was, in large part, untrue. Then the light went on, there will be unintended consequences!

 

In the conventional lending space changes aplenty are occurring for both pricing and loan program guidelines. Let me share with you just a few! This is by no means an all inclusive list. It would take too long to detail them all. In fact, I haven’t even absorbed them all. Good News, I’ve bee too busy booking loans ahead of the changes!

 

Coming Soon To A Lender Near You, If Not Already Implemented

Change

Old Guidelines

New Guidelines

LTV’s > 95%

Allowed under certain conforming programs

The maximum LTV is 95%

LTV’s > 80%

The minimum credit score was 620 on conforming programs

The minimum credit score is now 680 on conforming programs for LTV’s > 80%

Second Homes

The maximum LTV was 90% on conforming programs

The maximum LTV is now 80% for second homes

Cash-Out

The maximum LTV was 85% on conforming programs

The maximum LTV is 80% for cash-out loans on conforming programs. And paying off subordinate liens (second mortgages) is now deemed as cash out and is not allowed above 80%

Maximum Debt to Income Ratio

The maximum DTI was 45% for LTV’s > 80% or determined by automated underwriting systems

The maximum DTI is now 41% for LTV’s above 80% on conforming loans regardless of the automated underwriting system findings

Reserves

Were determined by automated underwriting

Minimum two months reserves and stricter requirements may apply for all conforming loans above 80% LTV

 

Well, I’m no longer scratching my head! What was untrue is becoming true. I haven’t even touched pricing changes and I think I will save that for another day.

 

I will share additional changes for soft markets. Any of you ever heard of the soft market policies? I thought so!

 

Soft Market Guideline Changes Coming Soon To A Lender Near You, If Not Already Implemented

Credit Score

The minimum credit score was 680 for LTV’s between 80.01%--90%

The minimum credit score will be 700

Condominiums

Condos were allowed up to 95% LTV

The maximum LTV is now 85% for condos in soft markets

Interest Only

Previously, interest only was allowed for LTV’s 80.01%--90%

Interest only no longer allowed for LTV’s > 80% in soft markets

 

Mortgage clients, now more than ever, you will need to be working with a knowledgeable home loan professional!

 

Realtors and builders, if you are not firmly aligning your business model to include a true partnership with a trusted mortgage professional, then you can expect messy and difficult transactions.

 

So here we go, expect more Unintended Consequences!  Wait a minute are the consequences intentional? You be the judge!!!

 

As always, your comments are welcome.

 

Related Posts

Affordability

Stability

Stability 2

Loan Modification

Here Comes The Judge

Looking For Acorns

Reserves

 

Jay Williams

 

www.myhomeloanwithjay.com

 

 

 

 

Karl Peidl
Moorestown, NJ
Accredited Loan Consultant

And that's just the tip of the iceberg.  I'm seeing mortgage insurance companies as the catalysts to most of these changes.  We still are seeing quite a few loans we can qualify for a program, then not be able to get MI.  FHA has never been so popular.

Mar 14, 2009 04:10 AM
Jay-Paul Lowry
Riverside, CA

Jay,

 

Tell me about it. I just closed a owner occupied purchase loan in southern CA on a condo shortsale and it was a nightmare. You wouldnt believe the borrowers profile (i will probably not see another bororwer of this quality all year) and how rediculously hard it was to get the loan to fly. Thanks for posting those comparisons.

 

JP Lowry--President--Preferred Financial Funding

 

Mar 14, 2009 10:05 AM
Jay Williams
Greenville, NC - Greenville, NC
Mortgage Loan Officer - Getting You The Right Loan

Karl, It's like the MI companies are going to put themselves out of business. If they don't provide coverage how do they collect premiums. AKA make money.

Jay

Mar 14, 2009 11:46 AM
Jay Williams
Greenville, NC - Greenville, NC
Mortgage Loan Officer - Getting You The Right Loan

JP, loans on condo's just have a life, or death as the case may be, all of their own. Becoming increasingly difficult.

Good luck

Jay

Mar 14, 2009 11:44 PM
Karen Cooper
Karen Cooper | Sr Mortgage Loan Originator ! NMLS # 223305 | First Federal Bank of Florida, Ocala, FL - The Villages, FL
Helping Homeowners w/Home Loans in 27 US States

Hi Jay - I'd been bucking the idea of jumping on the bandwagon to offer FHA loans, because I didn't see how they really were the best loan for my client base - until the past several months! These changes you highlight have been weaving in to the guidelines, now making FHA the better alternative to conventional Fannie/Freddie loans - even for the HIGH Fico, well-established homeowner! I haven't had a loan with PMI in months - not because of a lack of demand, rather because a lack of availability!

Mar 15, 2009 01:54 AM
Paul McFadden
Responsive Pest Control - Seattle, WA
Pest Control, Seattle, WA.

Jay: Thanks for the insight. I was arguing with my wife about the success of these new program changes in the long term. I told her the lenders are the ones that need to loosen (not tighten) the reins before we can have economic growth again. The proposals by the Obama administration will do very little to rectify the problem. It sounds good in theory but the lender guidelines are way too restrictive. Suboridinating the second? That's doubtful for a high loan-to-value. In some cases, I've heard the lender will be willing to do it but only if the first is originated with them as well. Only time will fix what has been created. Great post!

Mar 15, 2009 08:06 AM
Jay Williams
Greenville, NC - Greenville, NC
Mortgage Loan Officer - Getting You The Right Loan

Karen, I agree, FHA has become the program of choice for mortgages much above 80% LTV. Hopefully the FHA lending limit in your area will accommodate a large percentage of your market.

Good luck as you do what is best for your clients.

Jay

Mar 15, 2009 08:32 AM
Jay Williams
Greenville, NC - Greenville, NC
Mortgage Loan Officer - Getting You The Right Loan

Paul, I'm afraid the current government initiatives are going to make things more restrictive. As to subordinating the second you can just about forget about it. Time is a great healer.

Jay

Mar 15, 2009 10:58 AM
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Mar 28, 2009 12:06 AM
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