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Option ARM Mortgage Defaults Hitting Long Island In 2009

By
Real Estate Agent with BangThePhones.com
For the past 3 years, we've heard about mortgage defaults and lots of people talking about the "subprime loan crisis" but Option ARM mortgage defaults will shortly become the unfortunate talk of the town. Option Adjustable Rate Mortgages are mortgages that reset after a specific time to a capped mortgage rate and they adjust with market pricing. Watch the video to get a better insight into these and similiar loans.

Now if you watched the video, you'll get a sense of doomsday. Others that I've talked to about the next wave of mortgage defaults and foreclosures say the government will solve the "problem" by mandating massive loan modifications and just buying more banks. Let's take a look at some information first before we say the government can solve the problem.
option-arm-resets.jpg If you look closely, you'll see that the subprime mortgage crisis is "behind us", although we're still feeling the pinch from this because many of those borrowers have their homes on the market as a short sale or have already foreclosed. However, looking forward, you'll notice a gigantic increase beginning halfway through 2009 and through 2011, that Option ARM loans and Alt A loans will see their resets begin to occur. This means those homes (many are already behind on their mortgages) will see an increase of their mortgage payments (that they can't afford now).
The amount of these loans that were written are astounding as well. Option ARM's make up nearly 18% of every mortgage in America (that's nearly 2 out of every 10 household). If that doesn't make you scratch your head and say, "Hmm", you're either brain dead, simply really don't understand (call me), or you don't care. And to get to the point of the title of this article, while I don't have statistical data as of yet, it's a very well-known fact that "a ton" of these types of loans were written here on Long Island. That's where a lot of people, made a lot of money.
When you think about 50% of these loans being unable to be paid, that's alot of loans in default. And to touch on the point about the government "saving the 'victimized' people from losing their homes", who's to say that after the government "saves" them, that they'll continue to pay the mortgage or maybe people who are paying their mortgage will scratch their head and say, "Why am I paying my mortgage...

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Comments (10)

J. Philip Faranda
Howard Hanna Rand Realty - Yorktown Heights, NY
Associate Broker / Office Manager

Option ARMs being sold to regular homeowners was one of the biggest travesties of the past decade. They were a specialized niche, and few people understood the negative amortization factor. They were designed to be short term investor loans for the very savvy, not Joe Sixpack.

Mar 15, 2009 01:40 PM
Terry Lynch
LAR Notary and Closing Services - Saint Clair Shores, MI

We had a large company advertising the Option ARMs to  owner occupants for a long time.  J Philip is absolutely right. This is going to be bad when they all recast and no one can make the payments. I don't know what can be done for these people?

Mar 15, 2009 02:56 PM
Thomas McGiveron
BangThePhones.com - Sayville, NY
Thomas McGiveron Lic. R.E. Broker Associate

What are your thoughts about loan mods and gov't bail outs for homeowners?

I mean, how realistic are they?  The interventions last year fell flat on their face.  And this is a whole other situation with regard to these people being completely upside down on their value.

Crazy.

Mar 16, 2009 09:31 AM
Laurie Mindnich
Centennial, CO

When my partner attended an REO event, it was shared that (last spring) we'd only seen 25% of the defaults headed our way. Scary for everyone.

Mar 17, 2009 03:58 PM
Thomas McGiveron
BangThePhones.com - Sayville, NY
Thomas McGiveron Lic. R.E. Broker Associate
Well if you've positioned yourself in the market correctly, there's plenty of opportunity.
Mar 18, 2009 12:20 PM
Anthony Vosilla
Tony's Appraisal Services - Centereach, NY

I still have a problem with a majority of the folks who now claim that they did not understand these loans.....the problem is or was that after they heard they they can get $xxxx in a cash out refi they didn't hear anything else...

As J. Philips and Terry have already stated these loans have/had nothing but trouble written all over them.

Mar 19, 2009 10:28 AM
Laurie Mindnich
Centennial, CO

Thomas, the oddity about positioning is that there's backlash behind it- except, it's a reality that has to be addressed, and is a huge part of the market. To ignore it leaves vacant houses in existing neighborhoods- no benefit to anyone.

Mar 20, 2009 11:49 AM
Thomas McGiveron
BangThePhones.com - Sayville, NY
Thomas McGiveron Lic. R.E. Broker Associate

Agreed - that's why BPO's are important and building relations with banks and asset companies is vital.

Mar 24, 2009 02:52 PM
Anonymous
Alanna

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Mar 27, 2009 10:03 PM
#9
Thomas McGiveron
BangThePhones.com - Sayville, NY
Thomas McGiveron Lic. R.E. Broker Associate

Thanks for the compliment.

Mar 30, 2009 01:37 AM