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The Fed and Mortgage Rates

By
Mortgage and Lending with FAIRWAY Independent Mortgage Corp

The Fed left the Fed Funds Rate unchanged when they met on Wednesday. The Fed is in a tough position right now... Inflation is hitting us all with higher prices at the gas pump and food and almost everywhere we turn. And the Fed's best way to combat inflation is to raise rates.

But, they just started lowering rates last September and the 1st quarter of 2008. These Fed cuts were to spur on the economy and the housing market.

The Fed can "feel" the inflation, yet also want to see more growth and a stronger housing market. Bernanke has done a pretty good job so far; it will be interesting to see what he does and hear how he positions the Fed over the next few months.


Below is a chart showing the price of bonds from March 23rd thru to yesterday. The red you see is bond prices dropping and green is bond prices increasing. When bond prices go down, mortgage rates go up and vice versa. A volatile market for sure.  Notice the steep drop from about May 23rd thru June 23rd... that is a 250 Basis Point drop, resulting in a 1/2% increase in 30 year fixed rates. 

Bond Prices from 3/24/08 to 6/25/08

Ken Pederson is a Certified Mortgage Planner with the CMPS designation and works at FAIRWAY Independent Mortgage in Lancaster, PA.  Ken can be reached at 717-431-9299.

Charlie Ragonesi
AllMountainRealty.com - Big Canoe, GA
Homes - Big Canoe, Jasper, North Georgia Pros

The Fed rate cuts have led to the devaluing of the currency which has led to higher prices. The higher wage componet of inflation does not seem to be there. I am not an economist but when I was in school it was basic economics government spending in the red increases their borrowing which leads to higher interest rates. Now if you cut rates and government continues to deficit spend you have currency devaluation and things cost more. Does this scenario count as inflation ? Bottom line is the Fed cut rates and made it cheaper for the people that caused the housing mess to bail each other out. They did it on our backs at the gas pumps and the grocery store. But it's hard for them not to help their Wall street Lunch buddies and downtown club members, After all the pain on their faces shows thru the 400 dollar suits

Jun 27, 2008 12:08 AM