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Would Home Buyers Who Got the Credit Have Bought Anyway?

By
Education & Training with Corcoran Consulting & Coaching

cherry, cakeA recent NAR survey indicated only 6% of first time homebuyers took the plunge because of the credit, but claimed that interest rates and falling home prices were what made them buy.  Analyst Keith Gumbinger of HSH.com poo-pooed the credit indicating that we are rewarding people for doing what it take issue with they have done anyway. 

I take issue with this reaction.  Owning a home is an important part of fulfilling the American Dream for many people.  It's just a matter of time for those who see this in the best interest of themselves and their families. So, of course, they would have eventually bought!

Only a fool would buy a home he was not prepared to buy just to get $8,000.  This amount would mean little if home prices and interest rates were sky high.  A combination of factors whetted buyers' interested; I'm betting that the credit was the cherry on the icing on the cake that encouraged those who were waiting to become homebuyers.  That made them think of buying now and probably pushed up their time table.  The credit was not the sole reason they bought but when packaged together with the other things was too good to pass up.

As I have said many times, a responsible agent would not encourage an unqualified person to buy a home just because of the credit; in fact, I bet many agents have told those with credit problems, for example, to wait.  On the other hand, if the people were prepared to buy, a smart agent would stress the value of the credit and give a nudge where appropriate!

Joan Whitebook
BHG The Masiello Group - Nashua, NH
Consumer Focused Real Estate Services

Bob -- I would agree with you.  Most of my buyers were a bit nervous, but took the plunge given all the positive factors at work.  I am not sure they would have done so without the credit.

Nov 22, 2009 11:43 AM
Cindy Jones
Integrity Real Estate Group - Woodbridge, VA
Pentagon, Fort Belvoir & Quantico Real Estate News

Bob I agree.  I don't see the tax credit as a driving factor for current buyers.  The housing market needs to recover without all of the government interference.

Nov 22, 2009 11:46 AM
Ellen Crawford
Maximum One Executive REALTORS® - Alpharetta, GA
Alpharetta Real Estate Agents & Alpharetta REALTOR

Well a lot of fools purchased homes in the last few years that were also very unprepared for the reality of owning a home.  I have never expected to see as many foreclosures as we have now.  I do not think the 8K credit induced many of my clients to buy.

Nov 22, 2009 11:49 AM
Sam Miller
RE/MAX Stars Realty - Howard, OH
Knox County Ohio Real Estate Specialist

Bob - The tax credit actually created a boost in our 1st time buyer purchases.  It also has helped move some of the lower priced homes and this created an opportunity for those who sold their home to a 1st time buyer...to move up in price and take advantage of the outstanding pricing, low interest rates and excellent selection.  The Knox County Ohio real estate market is unique because the average price for a home is close to $100,000 and the first time buyers have been buying from $50,000 to $125,000...so the tax credit can be a higher net percentage of the total purchase price in my market as compared to other higher priced markets.  We utilized a customized and branded video from David Knox to spread the word on the original tax credit and at NAR San Diego I bought an upgrade.  You can see a the newest video here.

Sam 

Nov 22, 2009 12:04 PM
Bob Corcoran
Corcoran Consulting & Coaching - Swansea, IL

Thanks for all your comments. I think Sam hit the nail on the head.  In areas where housing is more moderate, the credit makes an appreciable difference.  In northern VA, where housing averages in the $300-400 K range, $8,000 will hardly make a dent.

Nov 22, 2009 02:32 PM