Special offer

Buyers overpaying again?

By
Real Estate Agent with Berkshire Hathaway Home Services CalBRE#01383378

I was a bit shocked to see a house down the block sell for $876,000 when the List Price had been $750,000.  There were 14 offers.  The 1600 sf house Mid Century Modern needed a new roof, had major drainage issues, had a funky but pricey Tuscan remodel in the kitchen (one drawer couldn't open all the way as it hit the dishwasher), weird stuff going on in the bathrooms (who thought the drop down feature from the ceiling was a good idea?); floors that sloped (probably because of the water run-off that came down the mountain to this property despite the prior owner trying to fix it)....

This feels a bit like 2006-2008.

Is this just rarified Marin county (north of San Francisco) where inventory is only 1.5 months?

Well, it's a heady question that I took to my favorite wine tasting place in Sonoma, Roche Winery, this past Saturday to enjoy our 70+ degree weather.  

Could this be why the inventory is so low?   Or, fellow colleague, is this happening where you are?

 

http://www.rochewinery.com/page?pageid=aa75ec5b-e2ab-8271-73f5-bd349b9afbd5

Posted by

 Margaret Kapranos, SRES, (Senior Real Estate Specialist) and Real Estate Advisor for Sonoma and Marin County.

 

 

Andrew Mooers | 207.532.6573
MOOERS REALTY - Houlton, ME
Northern Maine Real Estate-Aroostook County Broker

Those numbers seem so high in small rural markets. Where for $800,000 you could buy a slew of homes priced in the $teens, $20,000, $30,000! Every real estate market is so so different. Less layers of players in small town ones. no stagers, one lawyer, one agent and buyers wicked savvy and in the trades, like the rest of their famlies in the show and tell turn your head and cough.

Mar 16, 2015 08:05 AM
Richard Iarossi
Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage - Crofton, MD
Crofton MD Real Estate, Annapolis MD Real Estate

Margaret,

If that's happening, some buyers have a short memory of the 2007 crash. It can happen again.

Rich

Mar 16, 2015 08:13 AM
Edward Gilmartin
CRE - Boston, MA

Most folks buying with the crowd wind up sorry later.

Mar 16, 2015 08:18 AM
David Alan Baker | Laveen & South Phoenix Realtor
Keller Williams Realty Phoenix - Laveen, AZ
Your local Expert

Here in my area of Phoenix, we are seeing inventory go down, but not yet seeing multiple offers.  Time will tell as it seems we may see inventory continue to shrink a bit.  Funny thing though here, prices have been REAL stable.

Mar 16, 2015 08:25 AM
Margaret Kapranos
Berkshire Hathaway Home Services - Novato, CA
San Francisco Bay Area REALTOR. 415-608-5070

Good to know there's stability in the Phoenix area.  

 

Mar 16, 2015 08:33 AM
Susan Nealey
Coldwell Banker Realty - Annapolis, MD
No Pressure! Ever!

Oh crap! Not again!

Mar 16, 2015 08:57 AM
Russ Ravary ~ Metro Detroit Realtor call (248) 310-6239
Real Estate One - Commerce, MI
Michigan homes for sale ~ yesmyrealtor@gmail.com

Margaret, I am seeing high prices here in Metro Detroit too.  I believe you should be so over the top that you will be years underwater 

Mar 16, 2015 11:05 AM
Les & Sarah Oswald
Realty One Group - Eastvale, CA
Broker, Realtor and Investor

Margaret, I experienced first hand last weekend on a property in Silicon Valley. The accepted offer was $50k over listed price, for a fixer up property no bigger than 500sqfeet. It is crazy what is happening in the Bay area. But I have to say that economics is playing a big factor as many local companies  started hiring and even offering sign in bonuses. There just isn't enough inventory for buyers and the rental situation is not any better. There is even a run on hotel rooms...It does feel like 2007-2008, however, home prices are way above what it use to be...(buyers/investors sure have a short term memory)

For Southern California - Riverside County, we finally saw an up tick in home prices last three weeks. (S)

Mar 16, 2015 11:40 AM
Chris Ann Cleland
Long and Foster Real Estate - Gainesville, VA
Associate Broker, Bristow, VA

Sounds like Marin County is experiencing a strong seller's market for results like that.

Mar 16, 2015 12:20 PM
Margaret Kapranos
Berkshire Hathaway Home Services - Novato, CA
San Francisco Bay Area REALTOR. 415-608-5070

Yes, totally.

Mar 16, 2015 12:53 PM
Patricia Kennedy
RLAH@properties - Washington, DC
Home in the Capital

Oh, Margaret, I think they call it appreciation!  And I think this crazy multiple offer stuff is going on in a lot of places.  We are certainly seeing it in the DC Metro area.

Mar 16, 2015 01:01 PM
Joan Whitebook
BHG The Masiello Group - Nashua, NH
Consumer Focused Real Estate Services

Wow - I hope that things don't overheat.  We certainly don't want a repeat of the last several years!

Mar 16, 2015 01:14 PM
Praful Thakkar
LAER Realty Partners - Burlington, MA
Metro Boston Homes For Sale

Margaret Kapranos - it does not happen in all the towns here in MA. And afterall, it's always supply and demand, correct?

Mar 16, 2015 02:29 PM
Christine Donovan
Donovan Blatt Realty - Costa Mesa, CA
Broker/Attorney 714-319-9751 DRE01267479 - Costa M

Margaret - We aren't seen numbers quite like that though we've seen a lot of competition and multiple offers. 

Mar 16, 2015 02:47 PM
Laura Cerrano
Feng Shui Manhattan Long Island - Locust Valley, NY
Certified Feng Shui Expert, Speaker & Researcher

The market has fluctuated quite a bit these days in the last few years, but we could all do more, I believe!

Mar 16, 2015 04:48 PM
Nina Hollander, Broker
Coldwell Banker Realty - Charlotte, NC
Your Greater Charlotte Realtor

I suppose we are back to the reality of "buyers pay for a home what they think it's worth to them."

Mar 16, 2015 09:06 PM
Richie Alan Naggar
people first...then business Ran Right Realty - Riverside, CA
agent & author

When both sellers and buyers can fare well, then we have a balanced market.

Mar 17, 2015 12:00 AM
Nicole Doty - Gilbert Real Estate Expert
Zion Realty - Gilbert, AZ
Broker/Owner of Zion Realty ZionRealtyAZ.com

We have way too much inventory in my market. About four and a half months worth and it's been supressing resale home prices for about a year now. 

Mar 17, 2015 01:14 AM
Margaret Kapranos
Berkshire Hathaway Home Services - Novato, CA
San Francisco Bay Area REALTOR. 415-608-5070

We could use some of your inventory here!  In our area six months of inventory would be seen as a healthy level of inventory to keep things balanced.

It always starts with investors.  They dropped like flies during the down turn, blocking out legitimate first time buyers with their all cash deals.  These units have been turned into rentals for the most part.  If they were flipped, buyers paid more.  With each move, the ante was upped.

I have a belief that the long arm of the crash is still with us.  Factor in that approximately 25% of those who either bought or refinanced at the height of the market are sitting waiting to recover valuations and equity (more than likely, their downpayment).  However, where do they go?  They're stuck, otherwise they become part of the hoardes looking for housing.  

Add to this, our area is experiencing tremendous job growth.  Freeways are clogged, young tech people have more money than they know what to do with, long time folks are being displaced in record numbers from San Francisco...one tenant's rent just went up from $2,200 per month to $9,000 (not a typo) per month.  She's an accupuncturist and can't afford this so she's moving. It's crazy here.

Mar 17, 2015 02:20 AM
John Meussner
Mortgages in AZ, CA, CO, DE, FL, GA, IN, MD, MN, MT, NC, NJ, NV, OK, OR, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WI - Fair Oaks, CA
#MortgageMadeEasy Fair Oaks, CA 484-680-4852

Margaret, I read just today an article about what looks like another tech bubble in the Silicon Valley.  Any time people are waiving contingencies, ignoring appraisals (along with common sense and recent history), it's a recipe for bad things.  When inventory is so low in such a popular area, and so much money is being made, things get a little out of control.  Hoping this bubble quietly deflates rather than bursts.

Mar 18, 2015 09:44 AM